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LINKS FROM TODAY’S EPISODE
Read the full transcript from Jonathan’s interviewVariant PerceptionJonathan’s books on AmazonVariant Perception on TwitterDETAILED SHOW NOTES
(0:43) Jay’s introduction of Jonathan Tepper(1:31) Jonathan’s self-introduction and background(3:22) How and why Variant Perception was founded(5:47) Jonathan’s introduction to his presentation(6:23) Variant Perception provides research for hedge funds, family officers, and asset managers(7:09) The three pain points Variant Perception aims to address[0:10:26) How Variant Perception’s leading indicator tools can make a difference[0:13:02) Why trades based on lagging indicators bear little fruit[0:15:02) Some of the true leading indicators that Variant Perception watches[0:17:18) On predicting recessions[0:21:20) On determining valuations, on sentiment and positioning[0:23:25) Variant Perception’s debt and currency crisis tools[0:26:39) How to determine “excess liquidity”[0:30:48) Leading relationships — examples from Australia and China[0:33:07) Leading relationships — example from the UK