The LightShed Podcast

The LightShed Podcast

By LightShed PartnersBusinessInvesting
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The LightShed Podcast episodes

  • Episode 99: March 25, 2022

    [0:00] 99.

    [0:50] The elephant in The Mouse’s room.

    [7:01] A Roku television?

    [12:15] YouTube building on its big screen momentum.

    [15:42] Does Apple care about Spotify’s new deal with Google?

    [19:38] Is Instagram winning back share from TikTok?

    [23:10] Pricing power in an inflationary market.

    [28:53] Uber Eats via a NYC taxi is gross.

    [31:30] Nielsen is making a mistake by not selling.

    [33:35] Monetizing esports is proving to be very hard.

    [36:00] Netflix’s gaming strategy: buy not build.

    [37:55] Will Apple be your future wireless service provider?

    [41:44] Snap’s R&D and mind control.

    [44:12] SVODs need passion and tonnage.

    [47:32] Sports announcers don’t drive ratings.

    [52:12] Can live betting flourish?

    [53:09] 99 Luftballons.

    58 min
  • Episode 98: March 18, 2022

    [0:00] Rebellion (Lies).

    [2:20] Can you have a dollar sign in a domain name?

    [4:03] Jake Paul calls out LightShed. Is he right about the UFC?

    [11:11] Netflix has levers to pull to re-accelerate sub growth.

    [19:23] Walt is frustrated with Comcast’s focus on business model over the consumer

    [25:31] Expect Jim Dolan to be even more involved in MSG Sphere going forward.

    [29:08] Will Apple win in AR, pushing VR to the side?

    [33:30] Pent up concert demand outweighs inflationary pressures.

    [36:14] The FTC never had a case against Amazon/MGM.

    [41:10] What’s the point of Spotify or anyone naming a stadium?

    [44:28] New ownership for CryptoPunks doesn’t mean great content will follow.

    [49:15] NFT ownership is currently about community as much as broader utilities.

    [50:27] AMC buys gold. Where are the creditors?

    [52:30] Reminder: Clubhouse (allegedly) turned down a $4bn bid.

    [55:04] Wake up.

    59 min
  • Episode 97: March 11, 2022

    [0:00] Maria También.

    [1:25] We should have skipped the Sixers’ game.

    [3:50] Apple needs Sunday Ticket, not MLB rights.

    [9:11] Apple TV+’s high churn is unsurprising.

    [15:03] Comcast and NBCU should be separate companies.

    [17:40] Is the future of TV ad-supported weekly releases?

    [18:47] Netflix’s two key differentiators: scale and ad-free.

    [22:58] Does Disney’s likely exit from IPL signal a shift in broader sports strategy? 

    [26:32] Breaking down Rutledge’s claims.

    [36:18] Samsung is not going to give up on its OS.

    [39:05] Russian impact is largely immaterial to media companies.

    [41:09] Dynamic movie ticket pricing brings more questions than answers.

    [45:39] Whose family plan are you on?

    [47:17] Jason Robins needs to stop tweeting and execute.

    [49:07] Yellowstone Theme.

    53 min
  • Episode 96: March 4, 2022

    [0:00] Strawberry Letter 23.

    [2:07] Synesthesia or psychedelics?

    [8:36] Be kind to each other.

    [11:20] Will Verizon’s +play be the start of the great content rebundle and Netflix’s savior?

    [23:52] Did Zas know that Warner Bros. might lose the Tolkien Estate rights?

    [26:57] No one is going to pay for CNN+.

    [27:28] Disney’s Disney+ 180.

    [34:43] Netflix is going to build its games expertise through acquisition.

    [36:58] TikTok is eating the world.

    [39:55] Will Amazon walk from MGM or send Lina Khan a message?

    [45:05] The flailing MLB and Charter’s RSN penetration demands.

    [49:00] Cox closer to being a Verizon MVNO.

    [50:15] It’s getting harder for CableCo’s to deny relevance of Wireless Home Broadband.

    [52:41] Why Twitter could win as a podcast platform.

    [57:07] Fanatics and Fox Sports would be a fascinating partnership.

    [59:36] Epic’s curious acquisition.

    [1:02:30] WWE needs younger talent.

    [1:05:35] Microsoft has the best chance to win in cloud gaming.

    [1:07:50] Pixelmon is another NFT rug.

    [1:10:02] Amazon; don’t buy sports talent, open up audio.

    [1:10:44] Disco Inferno.

    1 hr 13 min
  • Episode 95: February 25, 2022

    [0:00] Peaches En Regalia.

    [1:05] Our most geographically diverse podcast ever.

    [2:51] Walt’s internet is better in Rome than in Westchester.

    [7:10] Warner Bros. Discovery is naïve to think spending does not need to increase a lot.

    [12:40] Live entertainment is on fire.

    [13:44] Concert tickets are vastly underpriced.

    [22:04] Does everyone needs a Truth strategy?

    [27:32] Call of Duty delay is a symptom of ATVI’s problems, not the reason they sold.

    [30:17] Mobile casual gaming companies are still struggling and looking for a way out.

    [33:09] Rationalization of sports betting costs has already begun.

    [35:34] YouTube is turning the TV upfronts on its head.

    [37:58] An unforeseen Netflix hit that should have been foreseen.

    [39:49] We agree to disagree on how successful Netflix can be in India.

    [43:48] Meta is putting in place the building blocks of the metaverse.

    [46:55] Reddit’s Dubsmash pivot.

    [49:25] Amazon is thinking creatively on how to use the NFL to drive other parts of its business.

    [51:45] Spotify’s Car Thing is not a gamechanger but should increase global usage.

    [55:15] Who is going to subscribe to Sinclair’s DTC product?

    [57:15] IMAX concerts are interesting, but not a substitute for the real thing.

    [57:54] Heartless.

    1 hr 1 min
  • Episode 94: February 18, 2022

    [0:00] Stand On The Word.

    [2:08] Sports betting is more profitable for Walt than the sportsbooks.

    [5:00] Investors are no longer advantaging companies spending for top line growth.

    [10:15] The NFL is the only sport that drives viewership.

    [11:17] Telcos pivot marketing to wireless home broadband.

    [13:25] Coinbase’s DR and brand advertising success but does it matter?

    [15:54] We are as bullish on Roblox as we have ever been.

    [21:45] We remain skeptical that VR will be a true daily habit.

    [24:21] Disney needs an acquisition to build the next generation platform.

    [28:59] Roku talks supply chain but the market is most worried about competition.

    [32:39] DTC losses only acceptable if there are clear projectable returns.

    [33:45] Streaming will see a shakeout just as sports betting has.

    [34:30] Investors need to recognize the scale of Apple’s content ambitions.

    [37:14] Is Disney telling ESPN that you have enough sports rights?

    [37:50] Streaming services should differentiate through content, not sports rights.

    [38:43] Vix+ is good for Televisa Univision, but not the overall streaming space.

    [40:06] Do consumers trust Google over Apple? Doubtful.

    [45:05] Live entertainment is going to have a huge summer.

    [48:15] Snap is becoming a more important utility.

    [49:54] Thank you, Chamath.

    [51:46] Azzurro.

     

    54 min
  • Episode 93: February 11, 2022

    [0:00] Axel F.

    [3:20] Brandon is taking the Rams, so bet the Bengals.

    [5:34] James Harden is going to fall in love with Philly cheesesteaks.

    [6:36] PointsBet should have cashed out instead of partnering with NBCU.

    [8:52] ESPN may want Sunday Ticket, but is that "best" for Disney?

    [10:40] The NFL should prefer Apple gets Sunday Ticket to increase partners.

    [15:35] Roblox is the perfect platform to reach young (potential) NFL fans.

    [18:49] Disney must solve Hulu’s ownership and create a single SVOD service.

    [25:03] Studios are getting more and more comfortable with streaming releases.

    [27:35] How many Oscars Best Picture nominees can you name?

    [31:02] Warner Bros. Discovery should increase HBO Max’s value, not its price.

    [36:12] Most sports fans will stay in the bundle for now - not buy OTT RSNs.

    [43:08] Fubo telegraphs churn or cash issues, or both.

    [46:06] User growth + improving DR ad products = nice tailwinds for Twitter.

    [50:48] Microsoft wants to use upfront sales to show subscription’s relative value.

    [52:14] Barry McCarthy knows subscription but does he know M&A?

    [57:42] Networks continually fail in marketing sporting events.

    [1:01:50] Wise words from a New York City crypto expert.

    [1:02:58] Crystal Blue Persuasion.

    1 hr 7 min
  • Episode 92: February 4, 2022

    [0:00] Tubthumping.

    [1:20] Why is Rich’s hair Red?

    [4:42] Snapchat has a different use case than TikTok.

    [8:55] Zuckerberg is fighting a multi-front war.

    [15:00] Sony buying Bungie is a positive for Microsoft.

    [21:00] Rockstar is working on a new GTA (no kidding).

    [22:56] Spotify’s platform changes are better late than never.

    [24:07] Spotify’s stock was not down because of Joe Rogan.

    [31:20] T-Mobile’s confetti bubble.

    [33:12] Do ARPUs rise in a “competitive” wireless market?

    [40:48] Should WWE be part of a much larger platform?

    [51:04] CNN+ is DOA – Say Hello to HBO Max.

    [54:00] When licensing sports rights, you don’t control your future.

    [55:46] Amazon’s advertising business has truly arrived.

    [59:18] Consolidation of sports betting operators is inevitable.

    [1:03:44] Reminder: January’s box office was down over 52% from both 2020 & 2019.

    [1:05:51] We trust the instincts of the two smartest executives in streaming.

    [1:07:00] An NBA “RedZone” would have winners (the NBA) and losers (local RSNs).

    [1:08:19] NBC learns from their Olympic mistakes.

    [1:09:20] Dreams and Nightmares.

    1 hr 12 min
  • Episode 91: January 28, 2022

    [0:00] Whipping Post.

    [1:48] The market is taking off its beer goggles.

    [8:15] “Capitulate”, “LightShed”, and “Fubo” should not all be in the same sentence.

    [16:07] Bob Iger’s refreshingly honest view of the theatrical business.

    [19:17] Legacy media does not have video gaming DNA.

    [22:19] Is Iger’s “Web 3.0” evolutionary or revolutionary?

    [28:59] Netflix telegraphs acceleration of their M&A strategy.

    [31:18] The DOJ may be poised to “try” to block more vertical deals.

    [38:22] Is Bobby Kotick playing 3D chess?

    [39:52] Microsoft’s commitment to widespread Call of Duty release is unsurprising.

    [42:20] Peacock sub growth underscores why Comcast and NBCU should not be together.

    [48:57] Fixed wireless increasing share of broadband pie is simple math.

    [53:46] Sohn one step closer to becoming FCC commissioner.

    [55:52] Jack trolling Mark: Carpe Diem.

    [57:59] Consolidation of sportsbooks is inevitable.

    [59:06] Apple’s content ambitions should terrify legacy media.

    [1:02:15] Neil Young leaving Spotify only matters if others follow.

    [1:04:53] Steve Aoki finds utility on the blockchain.

    [1:08:30] Disney’s WWE deal means very little.

    [1:10:50] Awaiting the great Marcelo’s next move.

    [1:11:17] Helpless.

    1 hr 14 min
  • Episode 90: January 21, 2022

    [0:00] Bat Out of Hell.

    [0:14] RIP Meatloaf.

    [3:39] Netflix’s terrible forecast doesn’t change their long-term streaming TAM.

    [9:32] Long Netflix is now a bet on Ted, not Reed.

    [16:56] Netflix is re-running their initial content playbook but in gaming.

    [19:46] Activision Blizzard’s employee and recruitment issues spelled the end.

    [22:11] Subscription gaming requires popular first-party content.

    [33:28] Activision Blizzard catalyzes Microsoft’s metaverse ambitions.

    [35:13] Looking at the Peloton time capsule.

    [37:20] The Onion cuts their Fubo price target.

    [38:54] AWS Telecom scores another major telco.

    [40:42] Why did Disney choose a non-content exec to head international content?

    [43:27] Early NY sports betting winners (including the MSG properties).

    [48:13] YouTube does not need to spend money on premium content.

    [52:28] NFT wallet growth is the most important NFT adoption metric.

    [1:01:27] Kids on-demand audio could be huge.

    [1:02:58] Would you rather be UFC heavyweight champion or a Free Agent?

    [1:06:20] IG subscriptions should make the platform stickier.

    [1:08:22] No one cares about your Wordle.

    [1:08:54] Infinite Content.

    1 hr 11 min

About The LightShed Podcast

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The LightShed team discusses TMT news and topics critical to investors, giving listeners a window into the idea flow and banter that have been our “process” for the past 15+ years. @richlightshed…