The stock market had a relatively quiet day, with the S&P 500 closing essentially flat, up just 16 basis points. Key focus remains on the 5870 support level, which has been tested multiple times. A breach of this level could signal a larger decline, potentially completing a head-and-shoulders pattern. Equity markets are closed tomorrow, while the bond market remains open until 2 PM. Friday’s reopening coincides with the jobs report, and today’s rise in the VIX suggests hedging ahead of this event. Globally, rate movements in the UK, Japan, and Europe are notable, with implications for market volatility. Bitcoin’s decline signals possible liquidity concerns, while collapsing equity financing costs hint at reduced demand for leverage. These dynamics, along with activity in Chinese and global markets, underscore complex trends in the current environment.
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