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 Investors are trading carefully ahead of chip designer Nvidia's eagerly awaited earnings report that could either stop or further boost this year's AI-led rally. The Fed is also due to release minutes.

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Wall Street returns and remains subdued after a long bank holiday weekend. Earlier today, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) unveiled a record cut in its five-year prime lending rate, in a bid to boost the property market and stimulate the economy. But that wasn’t enough to boost global indices.

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Investors were cautiously optimistic ahead of the producer price report for January, with Futures on the Nasdaq 100 up 0.4% this morning. But indices quickly fell after the PPI was posted at 8:30 am ET. 

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US shares recovered from their slump induced by stronger than expected inflation data in January. Large caps are driving gains, with artificial intelligence luring investors like moths to a flame. Nvidia – the stock that’s got the biggest AI label - has now surpassed Alphabet to become the country's third most valuable firm, just days after it overtook Amazon.com.

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There’s a saying in finance - Don't fight the Fed – and it's there for a reason! Investors were hoping for six rate cuts this year, starting as soon as March, despite all the Fed officials claiming that it was too soon to think about rate cuts, and that more work needed to be done to tame inflation.

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Inflation returns to the forefront with today’s release of US CPI figures for January, which were higher than expected and reawakened speculation on the date of the first Fed rate cut. 

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Monday starts on a quiet note after last week’s record-breaking week on Wall Street. The S&P 500 passed the 5,000 points milestone for the first time on Friday, while the Nasdaq briefly traded above the 16,000 level, bringing it closer to its all-time high.

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Investors are hoping for a finish above 5,000 points for the S&P 500 today, after the publication of revised inflation data, which they believe strengthens the case for early rate cuts.

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Earnings season is running at full steam, with big names releasing their results today, including Philip Morris, ConocoPhillips and S&P Global. Futures on Wall Street are muted after a strong session yesterday, that saw the S&P 500 index rise 0.8% to within five points of breaking the 5000 mark for the first time.

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