Red is still dominating on stock markets as investors await the next round of quarterly corporate results, due to start in two weeks' time. Stagflation fears have returned with a vengeance and the lack of catalysts has been obvious for some weeks now.

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Wall Street futures were in the red in premarket trading, with investors still reeling from the hawkish speech of central bankers last week. And Jamie Dimon just added fuel to the fire... The risk of a US shutdown, which could come as early as next Sunday if Congress fails to agree on a budget for the next fiscal year, is also weighing on sentiment.

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Things aren’t great on stocks markets at the moment, with Wall Street coming off a third consecutive week of declines. After the recession that everyone talks about but never sees, investors are focusing on the Fed pivot that everyone talks about but never sees. 

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Stock markets continued to fall yesterday, as investors realize that key interest rates will remain higher for longer. The mood has become heavier and financiers are taking the Fed's threats seriously. As proof, the yield on 10-year US debt touched the symbolic 4.5% mark, while the 2-year hit a 17-year high of 5.19%. 

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Central banks are at the forefront this week, with the Fed decision yesterday and the Bank of England’s today. Although they both kept their rate unchanged, their hawkish stance didn’t please the market.

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It's hard to escape the Fed today. The market is expecting a rate hike pause, but is still concerned about inflation. How concerned? That's one of the issues at stake today. Investors are in a wait-and-see mode, driven only by the big tech IPOs in the US.

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Caution is the word on financial markets on the eve of a major decision by the Fed on its key interest rates, with futures on the main Wall Street indices remaining flat this morning. There is little suspense about the decision itself, but there is much greater uncertainty about what comes with it, including the stance of US central bankers and their intentions for the future. And rising oil prices are only adding more worries.

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How will the Fed impact the market this week? That's the hundred-billion dollar question, and in the meantime investors are trading cautiously, with Wall Street futures slightly in the red Monday in pre-market trading.

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The atmosphere on Wall Street exchange is rather gloomy, between weak economic data in China and Europe and signs that inflation is resilient in the US. The U.S. services sector unexpectedly did better than expected in August, which goes against the idea that the US economy and inflation is cooling, and strengthens the case for higher rate hikes for longer. Lower than expected jobless claims also dampened the mood as it shows the job market is still very tight. Even Apple, the crown jewel of the NYSE, is having problems!

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What will the economic damage be if central banks are forced to keep rates high to cool the rise in prices? It sounds like déjà vu, but this has again become the number one question on investors' minds.

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