Wall Street futures were down today as investors worry about interest rates following Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Tuesday. They are now awaiting tomorrow's employment report for February, which could lead the central bank to go for a 50-basis points rate hike later this month instead of 25 basis points.

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Jerome Powell got tough yesterday: he warned that rates will have to be raised higher than expected to regain control of prices. Investors were expecting this, so indices took a hit but did not collapse. Investors struggle to consider the possibility of a recession, because negative signals continue to be contradicted by an economic reality that, on the surface, remains dynamic. 

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Today’s highlight is Jerome Powell's first testimony in before the Senate Banking Committee. Investors are eager for clues about the interest rate and inflation outlook. If the Fed is looking at a 50-basis point hike this month instead of the expected 25 basis points, there should be signs in Powell’s speech.

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We’re at the start of a crucial week for monetary policy, as it includes a testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday and Wednesday and a monthly payrolls report on Friday. Investors are looking for cues on the trajectory of interest rates after the release of data showing that the job market is still hot and that inflation remains resilient.

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The head of the Atlanta Fed invigorated the American market yesterday by adopting a more conciliatory tone than expected. As a result, investors are already looking forward to a positive weekly result. This will require overcoming a few pitfalls on the day's session, including the latest round of weekly data. 

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Worries about a tightening of monetary policy seem to be taking hold again among investors. The data seems to be pointing in that direction and projections of key rate hikes are being revised upwards.

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Investors are still stuck in the rate-growth-inflation quagmire, so much so that they might be missing positive signals sent by China.

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Today ends a volatile February, which saw the return of Fed rate hike worries, as the US economy shows no sign of abating and data points to resilient inflation.

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It was looking so good… Inflation had been tamed, and central banks were about to end their rate hike cycle… But this ideal scenario ended abruptly on Friday with the publication of stronger-than-expected US inflation data.  

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Futures for Wall Street’s main stock index tumbled on Friday after the release of higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data that could influence the Fed’s rate hike policy. 

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