Donald Trump's Nemesis, Ron DeSantis, stroke a very large victory in Florida, against the Democrat Charlie Crist. He now stands as the main rival of Trump's presidential bid for 2024.

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Donald Trump's Nemesis, Ron DeSantis, stroke a very large victory in Florida, against the Democrat Charlie Crist. He now stands as the main rival of Trump presidential bid for 2024.

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It's election day today in the US, and the stakes are high. Its consequences on stock markets are hard to predict. For now, indexes are showing signs of stabilization. But the election results and US inflation figures on Thursday might bring new turmoil.

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Investors are optimistic by nature. Although Jerome Powell made it clear on Wednesday that the much-awaited pivot towards a dovish monetary policy was not for now, today's bad employment numbers have boosted indexes, with the Dow opening at +1.1%, the S&P at +1.5% and the Nasdaq at +1.8%. The data supports speculation that the Fed may slow the pace of its rate hikes as soon as December.

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They were sure the pivot towards a dovish policy was for now, buy investors got a hard reality check yesterday when Chairman Powell made it clear that the time wasn't now. However, he didn't shut the door completely, so there are still reasons to hope.

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There is a lot of anticipation around the Fed's monetary policy decision this afternoon. Investors are hoping that the U.S. central bank will introduce some flexibility into the steering of its monetary policy. As this has been the main fuel for the rebound of the last fortnight, a confirmation would be welcome to avoid the double step backwards that follows every step forward in 2022 in the stock market.

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Investors are trading cautiously ahead of the Fed’s meeting tomorrow. A fourth 75 basis points increase is widely expected, bringing the lending rate to a 3.75%-4.00% range However, investors hope that the central bank will take a softer stance and start talking about easing its pace of rate hikes.

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Today is the start of a crucial fortnight for markets, with a monetary policy decision by the US central bank this week and the mid-term elections in eight days. Investors have regained some appetite for risk.

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Downbeat guidance from Amazon and Apple was taken by investors as a sign that the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes have worked and are now slowing the economy. This might be the signal the Fed needed to start easing its monetary policy. However, today's lower-than-expected inflation data and better-than-expected consumer spending data confused investors.

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