The Money Mosaic

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The Money Mosaic episodes

November 02 EUR/USD range high, GBP/USD 200-day line and USD/JPY ceiling
EUR/USD closed at one point one two zero nine, up zero point three percent on the day; GBP/USD finished at one point three four one two, up zero point one seven percent; USD/JPY ended at one hundred fifty-seven point ninety-four, unchanged, with all three pairs framed by key technical levels 📈💷
GBP/USD stood out for sitting above its two hundred-day average at one point three four, while also remaining above its fifty-day average at one point three three, leaving the recovery intact but still dependent on that reclaimed level.
For EUR/USD, the decisive level is one point one two four, and price is below it at one point one two zero nine. Tuesday’s euro-area flash estimate of inflation for October is the immediate catalyst linked to whether the recent five-session rise can extend beyond the range high.
The unresolved question is whether EUR/USD can break one point one two four, whether cable can keep one point three four from turning back into resistance, and whether USD/JPY can clear one hundred fifty-eight point thirteen after the Bank of Japan minutes, Governor Ueda’s speech and US employment. The Money Mosaic examines which levels held, which ones gave way, and how the week’s catalysts shaped the next move.
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More from Pastime Agency: Glitch of History · Jewels of History · THE CONTINENT
11 min
November 01 FTSE 100 higher, BoE decision and sterling
The FTSE 100 finished at 10,729.78, above 10,690.36 the Friday before, a gain of 39.42 points or 0.37%. It traded between 10,643.25 and 10,778.72 and ended the week above its 50-day average at 10,704.01 📈
Cable rose 0.12% on the week. That firmer pound matters because it can trim the value of overseas earnings when translated back into sterling, leaving the FTSE’s advance looking resilient but not effortless.
The coming week is led by the Bank of England’s decision and Monetary Policy Report on Thursday, 5 November, plus several UK company updates. Friday, 6 November brings the US Employment Situation report for October, which could shift rates, yields and London sentiment.
What remains unresolved is whether the FTSE can hold above 10,704.01 and turn this week’s modest rise into a cleaner break, or whether Thursday’s Bank of England message and Friday’s US jobs data alter the picture. The Money Mosaic examines whether the FTSE’s range can give way, how sterling may react, and which policy signal matters most.
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More from Pastime Agency: Cyprus - Short and Sweet · Glitch of History · Jewels of History
10 min
October 31 EUR/USD floor held, GBP/USD cap held and USD/JPY higher
Euro-dollar closed at 1.1158 after a 0.52% fall, cable finished at 1.3387 after a 0.04% rise, and dollar-yen ended at 157.57 after a 0.49% gain. The week kept euro-dollar inside 1.1105 to 1.1227, cable inside 1.3272 to 1.3434, and dollar-yen inside 156.65 to 158.35. 📉💱
Euro-dollar provided the clearest level check: the 1.1105 floor held, while the pair still sits below the 50-day average at 1.14072 and the 200-day average at 1.15634, leaving the finish nearer the lower edge of the range.
For dollar-yen, the script points to a firmer dollar against the yen, with the move framed as potentially reflecting shifts in rate expectations rather than a decisive new trend. The pair held above 157.47025, but stayed below the 200-day average at 158.5396.
Going into the new week, cable remains unresolved with 1.34 acting as a cap and the pair still boxed inside 1.3272 to 1.3434, while euro-dollar and dollar-yen each keep their key levels in play. The Money Mosaic reviews whether those levels accept price or reject it, whether cable can finally make 1.34 hold, and what remains unresolved in the week ahead.
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More from Pastime Agency: Cyprus - Short and Sweet · Glitch of History · Jewels of History
9 min
October 26 EUR/USD range low, GBP/USD range low and USD/JPY 50-day line
EUR/USD closed at 1.1194 after falling 0.0029 today, or 0.26%, GBP/USD closed at 1.3347 after slipping 0.0035, or 0.26%, and USD/JPY closed at 157.49 after rising 0.68, or 0.43%. The week’s setup is defined by nearby support, a rebound into resistance, and policy risk. 📉📊
USD/JPY stood out as the most notable mover, recovering on the day but still remaining below its fifty-day average at 157.59435 and its two-hundred-day average at 158.55032. The bounce has not yet reclaimed the level that would open the door to a stronger short-term recovery.
For EUR/USD, the decisive level is 1.1185, the bottom of its five-session range, and price is currently above it at 1.1194. The ECB has a two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, October 28, and Thursday, October 29, with the policy decision scheduled for Thursday at 14:15 Central European Time and the press conference at 14:45.
What remains unresolved is whether 1.1185 for euro-dollar, 1.3342 for cable, and 157.59435 for dollar-yen will hold or give way before the week’s policy events land. The Money Mosaic examines whether range lows break, whether the fifty-day average caps USD/JPY, and how the Federal Reserve, ECB and Bank of Japan shape the next move.
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More from Pastime Agency: Cyprus - Short and Sweet · Glitch of History · Jewels of History
12 min
October 25 FTSE 100 lower, Federal Reserve and cable
The FTSE 100 finished Friday at 10,690.36, down from 10,881.9 the previous Friday. That was a fall of 191.54 points, or 1.76%, with the index trading between 10,630.0 and 10,889.9 through the week. 📉
Cable rose 0.37% on the week, a firmer pound that can weigh on the FTSE 100 because overseas earnings translate back into fewer pounds, all else equal.
The coming week starts light on Monday, 26th October, then turns to the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Tuesday, 27th October. Wednesday, 28th October, brings the Fed decision and press conference, with Thursday, 29th October, and Friday, 30th October, adding UK and US data alongside more FTSE 100 updates.
The open question is whether the index can reclaim 10,705.8 or whether 10,630.0 gives way, with Wednesday's Federal Reserve outcome the key swing factor. The Money Mosaic examines whether the FTSE 100 has merely slipped beneath a line that matters, how the rate backdrop may affect sterling and London, and whether Wall Street's softer tone is a warning or just noise.
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More from Pastime Agency: THE CONTINENT · Cyprus - Short and Sweet · Glitch of History
11 min
October 24 EUR/USD range low, GBP/USD 50-day line and USD/JPY floor
Euro-dollar, cable and dollar-yen are reviewed after a week that left euro-dollar at one twelve oh three, cable at one thirty-three seventy-one and dollar-yen at one fifty-six eighty-one. Euro-dollar fell minus zero point two five percent, cable rose plus zero point zero three one percent, and dollar-yen dropped minus zero point eighty-three percent 📉📊
Dollar-yen stands out as the clearest test: the five-session low at one fifty-six oh seven held, yet the pair finished near the bottom of its one fifty-six oh seven to one fifty-eight sixty range, keeping downside pressure in focus.
The broad explanation offered for the week is a firmer dollar against the euro, while cable is framed as a mix of competing rate expectations and dollar-yen as a softer dollar tone with changing rate expectations. The result is contained but uneven price action rather than a decisive trend.
What remains unresolved is whether euro-dollar can stay above one eleven eighty-three, whether cable can reclaim and hold one thirty-four, and whether dollar-yen can keep one fifty-six oh seven intact. The Money Mosaic reviews which of those levels held, which gave way, and what each pair’s range now leaves open.
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If you enjoyed this episode, please rate and follow the show. It helps other listeners find it.
More from Pastime Agency: THE CONTINENT · Cyprus - Short and Sweet · Glitch of History
9 min
October 19 EUR/USD range high, GBP/USD 1.3372 and USD/JPY 200-day line
Euro-dollar closed at 1.1221, down 0.09% on the day and up 0.19% over the last five sessions. Cable finished at 1.3332, up 0.01% on the day and 0.58% over five sessions. Dollar-yen ended at 158.21, up 0.06% on the day and down 0.06% over five sessions. 📉💷
Cable stood out by pressing furthest toward the top of its five-session range, running from 1.3137 to 1.3372 while still sitting below both the 50-day and 200-day averages at 1.34. That left the pound’s recent advance looking strongest, but not yet decisive.
For cable, 1.3372 is the key level, and price is below it. Tuesday brings the UK labour-market release, Wednesday, October 21, at 7:00 London time, brings UK consumer price inflation for September, and Friday brings UK retail sales for September.
What remains unresolved is whether 1.1269 for euro-dollar, 1.3372 for cable, and 158.56578 for dollar-yen will break, reject, or keep the pairs boxed in, with the UK inflation release still to land. The Money Mosaic examines whether range highs hold, whether inflation can settle cable’s tension, and whether dollar-yen is waiting for data or for price to choose a direction.
14 min
October 18 FTSE 100 higher, and UK inflation test
The FTSE 100 finished Friday at 10881.9, up from 10552.05 the previous Friday. That was a rise of 329.85 points, or 3.13%, with the index ending near the top of its weekly range and above its 50-day average. 📈🟦
The most telling backdrop was Brent crude, which rose 4.91% to 109.86, while gold slipped 0.83%. That oil strength offered support to the index even as sterling firmed and broader global signals were mixed.
The coming week is shaped by UK labour-market releases on Tuesday, 20 October, consumer price inflation, producer price inflation and public sector finances on Wednesday, 21 October, US initial and continuing jobless claims on Thursday, 22 October, and UK retail sales on Friday, 23 October.
What remains unresolved is whether the FTSE 100 can stay above 10716.75 and keep pressing against 10892.38, or whether Wednesday’s inflation data shifts sterling enough to test that momentum. The Money Mosaic examines whether the index can extend a break above the 50-day average, how UK inflation may move sterling, and whether the recent range can be left behind.
11 min
October 17 EUR/USD range high, GBP/USD range high and USD/JPY 50-day line
Euro-dollar closed at one twelve thirty-nine, cable at one thirty-three twenty-two, and dollar-yen at 157.98. Over the five sessions, euro-dollar rose 0.26%, cable gained 0.57%, and dollar-yen fell 0.15%, with all three still defined by nearby technical levels. 📈💱
The clearest read came in euro-dollar and cable, where the upper edges held: one twelve sixty-nine for euro-dollar and one thirty-three seventy-two for cable. Both pairs finished in the upper part of their ranges, but neither turned resistance into support.
For euro-dollar, the softer-dollar tone helped explain the weekly lift, but the pair still finished below its 50-day average at one fourteen eighty-zero-six and below its 200-day average at one fifteen eighty-six-five. That leaves the move as a contained recovery rather than a confirmed shift in the broader trend.
What remains unresolved is whether one twelve sixty-nine can give way for euro-dollar, whether one thirty-three seventy-two can be cleared for cable, and whether dollar-yen can hold above 157.71652 after reclaiming it from inside the week’s range. The Money Mosaic reviews whether the week’s ceiling held, whether the break/reclaim in dollar-yen matters, and which pair still sits between competing signals.
12 min
October 12 EUR/USD range low, GBP/USD range low and USD/JPY range high
Euro-dollar closed at one point one one seven six, down zero point three percent on the day and one point one one percent over the last five sessions. Cable finished at one point three two three three, off zero point one percent on the day and zero point three one percent over five sessions. Dollar-yen ended at one hundred fifty-eight point sixty-one, up zero point two five percent on the day and zero point three three percent across five sessions. 📉📈
Dollar-yen stood out by pressing the top of its recent range while also sitting above both its moving averages. The five-session range runs from one hundred fifty-seven point fifty-one to one hundred fifty-eight point sixty-four, leaving price just below a clear ceiling.
Euro-dollar is treated as the most pivotal test, with one point one one six five at the bottom of the five-session range as the decisive level and price just above it at the close of one point one one seven six. The calendar adds euro-area industrial production on Wednesday, October 14, euro-area inflation on Thursday, October 15, and the US Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, October 14, at one thirty London time.
What remains unresolved is whether one point one one six five in euro-dollar, one point three one eight four in cable, and one hundred fifty-eight point sixty-four in dollar-yen will break, and whether the scheduled inflation and growth releases can force that issue. The Money Mosaic examines where price sits versus the range edges, which level matters most, and whether the week’s data changes the tone.
15 min

About The Money Mosaic

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The Money Mosaic is a market analysis podcast for investors following London, brought to you by AI (artificial intelligence). Two hosts, a technical read and a fundamental read, work through the numbers together.

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The Money Mosaic

The Money Mosaic episodes

About The Money Mosaic