The Money Mosaic

The Money Mosaic

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The Money Mosaic episodes

  • Dollar-yen at 158.1568 as ECB, BoJ loom this week
    Euro-dollar closed at 1.12, up 0.0029 or 0.26%, cable finished at 1.3221 after a 0.0021 rise of 0.16%, and dollar-yen ended at 157.94, down 0.16 or 0.1%. Across the week, euro-dollar fell 1.25%, cable slipped 0.08%, and dollar-yen gained 0.42%. 📉💱
    Dollar-yen was the standout, pressing up toward 158.1568 before slipping back below it. The pair sits inside a five-session range of 156.38 to 158.46, with both moving averages above spot and the rally now testing resistance.
    The pivotal level is 158.1568 for dollar-yen, with price below it at 157.94. The next few sessions bring Bank of Japan Governor Ueda on Tuesday, October 6th, Bank of Japan releases on Wednesday, October 7th, and Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman on Tuesday, October 6th, any of which could shape the break or rejection.
    What remains unresolved is whether 1.1161 and 1.3181 can hold for euro-dollar and cable, and whether dollar-yen can clear 158.1568 before those central-bank voices land. The Money Mosaic examines whether the euro’s floor, cable’s support, and dollar-yen’s resistance decide the week.
    14 min
  • FTSE 100 Falls 2.18% Weekly, Below 50-Day Average
    The FTSE 100 finished Friday at ten thousand four hundred and sixty-two, down two point one eight percent on the week from ten thousand six hundred and ninety-five the previous Friday. It traded between roughly ten thousand three hundred and ninety-one and ten thousand seven hundred and fifty-nine, ending below its 50-day average around ten thousand seven hundred and sixty-three. 📉
    The most telling backdrop came from the rate environment: the US two-year Treasury yield was 4.83 percent, while the ten-year was 5.28 percent, up zero point eleven on the week. Higher global bond yields can weigh on equity valuations and keep risk appetite cautious.
    The week beginning Monday, 5th October brings UK international reserves for September, a Bank of England speech and fireside chat from Catherine L Mann on Tuesday, 6th October, and FOMC minutes on Wednesday, 7th October. Thursday, 8th October includes further Bank of England speeches and a scheduled half-year results announcement from a large FTSE 100 retailer, followed by the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey on Friday, 9th October.
    The open question is whether the FTSE 100 can hold above the lower end of its range near ten thousand three hundred and ninety-one or whether a move back above ten thousand seven hundred and sixty-three begins to repair the technical damage. The Money Mosaic examines whether central-bank communication, the FOMC minutes, and the rates backdrop can shift that balance.
    11 min
  • Euro-dollar Holds 1.1215 as Cable Stays Flat 📉
    Euro-dollar closed at 1.1252 after a week defined by a 1.1215 to 1.1391 range and a -1.18% decline. Cable finished at 1.3238, nearly unchanged on the week, while dollar-yen ended at 157.82 after trading between 156.38 and 158.46. 📊
    The clearest level call came in euro-dollar: the 1.1215 floor held, leaving price near the lower end of its range and still below the 50-day moving average at 1.15322 and the 200-day average at 1.16133.
    The euro move is framed as a firmer dollar week, or at least a euro that could not generate lasting demand, with the script pointing to a shift in rate expectations and a cautious tone rather than a single verified release.
    Going into the new week, 1.1215 remains the key support in euro-dollar, cable is still boxed inside 1.3181 to 1.3311, and dollar-yen is back below 158.1568 after failing to hold above it. The Money Mosaic reviews whether those levels held, broke, or simply made a nuisance of themselves.
    10 min
  • Euro-Dollar at 1.1359, Cable at 1.3204, Dollar-Yen at 156.5
    Euro-dollar closed at one point one three seven four, down one point three pips on the day; cable finished at one point three two five, up zero point zero zero zero eight; and dollar-yen ended at one hundred fifty-seven, down zero point seven seven. The broader week was softer for all three pairs. 📉💱
    Dollar-yen stood out most, falling zero point seven seven on the day and sitting below both the 50-day average at one hundred fifty-eight point seven zero four five and the 200-day average at one hundred fifty-eight point four five eight zero four, while remaining above its five-session low at one hundred fifty-six point five.
    The pivotal level is one hundred fifty-six point five, and price is above it. Japan’s Bank of BoJ Summary of Opinions and Tankan survey arrive on Thursday, September 30, at eight fifty Japan time, with Friday’s US Employment Situation adding another test for the pair.
    What remains unresolved is whether one hundred fifty-six point five breaks cleanly or rejects price, while euro-dollar still has one point one three five nine and cable still has one point three two zero four ahead of Friday’s euro-area HICP flash estimate, Wednesday’s UK quarterly national accounts, and Friday’s US Employment Situation. The Money Mosaic examines where these three pairs stand, which levels matter, and which releases could force the next move.
    12 min
  • FTSE 100 Posts Modest Weekly Gain Amid Mixed Signals 📈
    The FTSE 100 finished Friday at ten thousand six hundred and ninety-five point two five, up from ten thousand six hundred and fifty-nine point one three on 18th September. That made for a gain of thirty-six point one two points, or zero point three four percent, over the week. 📊
    The most telling driver was the weaker pound: cable fell one point one one percent over the week. That gave support to the FTSE 100 by improving the sterling value of overseas earnings, even as higher US yields kept the backdrop cautious.
    The week beginning Monday, 28th September brings Bank of England speeches on quantitative tightening, including Dave Ramsden on Monday and Catherine Mann and Alan Taylor on Tuesday. Wednesday adds the UK quarterly national accounts for April to June 2026, the September Financial Policy Committee Record, and the ADP National Employment Report, before Friday’s US Employment Situation for September 2026.
    What remains unresolved is whether the index can clear the weekly high of ten thousand seven hundred and seventy-four point six six and move above the fifty-day average at ten thousand seven hundred and sixty-seven point nine five. The Money Mosaic examines whether the range can break, how sterling and US yields may shape sentiment, and what Friday’s US jobs report could mean for risk appetite.
    11 min
  • EUR/USD and Cable Held Floors; Dollar-Yen Reversed
    Euro-dollar closed at 1.1391 after moving from 1.1359 to 1.1496 and finishing down 0.76% across the five sessions; cable ended at 1.3243 after ranging from 1.3204 to 1.34 and falling 1.09%; dollar-yen closed at 157.28 after trading between 156.57 and 159.04 and rising 0.19% on the week 📉💱
    The clearest weekly confirmation came in dollar-yen, where 156.57 held but the final session dropped 0.98%, leaving price near the lower part of the range and below both longer-term averages.
    The move was framed as less one-sided than the European pairs, with a change in rate expectations or a shift toward a less supportive risk tone for the dollar helping explain the reversal in dollar-yen.
    Going into next week, 156.57 remains the key test for dollar-yen, while euro-dollar and cable are still stuck near the bottoms of their ranges and below their longer-term averages. The Money Mosaic reviews which floors held, which charts stayed heavy, and whether the next break comes from support or a recovery.
    10 min
  • Dollar-yen Near 158.06 as Euro-Dollar Tests 1.1455
    Euro-dollar closed at 1.1481, up 0.0004, or 0.04%; cable finished at 1.3381, down 0.0002, or 0.01%; and dollar-yen ended at 157.28, up 0.34, or 0.21%, after a mixed Monday, September 21st, 2026. 📉💱
    Dollar-yen stood out by extending its recent advance, rising 1.42% over five sessions and sitting just below the 158.06 top of its range, with 154.82 to 158.06 framing the move.
    The most pivotal level is 158.06 for dollar-yen, with price still below it; the week’s key catalyst is the Bank of Japan Indicators for Core CPI on Friday, September 25th, at two in the afternoon Tokyo time.
    What remains unresolved is whether 1.1455 in euro-dollar or 1.34 in cable gives way first, and whether Wednesday, September 23rd, at 9:30 London time, or Friday, September 25th, at two in the afternoon Tokyo time, alters the picture. The Money Mosaic examines whether the five-session floors and ceilings hold, and which scheduled release matters most for the next move.
    12 min
  • FTSE 100 Edges Higher on Week, Still Below 50-Day Average
    The FTSE 100 finished Friday at 10,659.13, up from 10,650.44 the previous Friday, a rise of 8.69 points, or 0.08%. The index moved between 10,586.39 and 10,823.0, leaving a narrow weekly gain after a busy but indecisive stretch 📉📈
    The softer pound was the clearest support, with cable falling 0.97% on the week. That sterling move helped offset pressure from higher global bond yields, while the FTSE still ended below its 50-day average at 10,749.66.
    The week ahead starts on Monday, 21 September, with a release on measuring artificial intelligence in the UK economy. Tuesday, 22 September, brings UK public sector finances for August and a large FTSE 100 company scheduled to report, while Wednesday, 23 September, adds regional economic activity by GDP and another large FTSE 100 company report; Thursday, 24 September, brings the UK’s real-time economic indicators and business insights releases.
    What remains unresolved is whether the FTSE 100 can reclaim 10,749.66 and hold above it, or whether it rolls back toward the lower end of the weekly range. The Money Mosaic examines the battle between weaker sterling, gold support, higher US yields and a muted Wall Street backdrop.
    9 min
  • Euro-Dollar Held 1.1455 as Pound-Dollar Broke 1.34 📉
    On Saturday, 19 September 2026, the review covered euro-dollar, pound-dollar, and dollar-yen. Euro-dollar closed at 1.1486 after losing 0.92% over the five sessions, pound-dollar ended at 1.3392 after falling 0.83%, and dollar-yen finished at 156.85 after gaining 2.24% across the week. 📊💱
    The clearest confirmation came in pound-dollar, where the 200-day average at 1.34 was left behind and the pair closed at 1.3392. That puts cable below both the 200-day average at 1.34 and the 50-day average at 1.35, while still inside the 1.3336 to 1.3528 range.
    The main driver across the week was a firmer dollar, with rate expectations favouring the dollar rather than the euro and sterling. That pressure kept euro-dollar heavy and prevented cable from reclaiming its trend markers, while dollar-yen’s rise reflected stronger dollar-side momentum against the yen.
    Going into next week, the unresolved levels are 1.1455 in euro-dollar, 1.34 in pound-dollar, and 158.06 in dollar-yen, with cable still inside the 1.3336 to 1.3528 range and dollar-yen still capped by its range top. The Money Mosaic reviews whether 1.34 in cable can be reclaimed, whether euro-dollar can recover above 1.15359, and whether dollar-yen can clear 158.06.
    10 min
  • Dollar-yen at 154.74, euro-dollar near 1.1536, cable below 1.35
    The episode covers euro-dollar, cable and dollar-yen. Euro-dollar closed at one point one five four on Monday, down zero point zero zero three four, or zero point zero two nine percent, while cable finished at one point three four eight six, down zero point zero zero one nine, or zero point one four percent, and dollar-yen ended at one hundred fifty-four point fifty-eight, up zero point five, or zero point three three percent 📉📈
    Dollar-yen stands out for pressing the top of its five-session range, with the move running from one hundred fifty-two point ninety-four to one hundred fifty-four point seventy-four. Price is still below both the 50-day average and the 200-day average, so the recent rise is testing resistance rather than confirming a broader turn.
    The most pivotal level is euro-dollar’s five-session range low at one point one five three six, and price is just above it. The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting runs from Tuesday, September 15, to Wednesday, September 16, with the decision and press conference on Wednesday, then euro-area consumer-price data is scheduled for Thursday, September 17, at noon central European time.
    What remains unresolved is whether one point one five three six for euro-dollar and one point three five for cable will hold, and whether one hundred fifty-four point seventy-four for dollar-yen will break. The Money Mosaic examines where the levels sit, which catalysts could force the issue, and what the week may reveal by Saturday.
    13 min

About The Money Mosaic

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The Money Mosaic is a market analysis podcast for investors following London, brought to you by AI (artificial intelligence). Two hosts, a technical read and a fundamental read, work through the numbers together.