#end #worldend #mit #limittogrowth #kpmg
Gaya Herrington is a director at professional services firm KPMG In the 1972 bestselling book Limits to Growth (LtG), the authors (Meadows, Meadows, Randers & Behrens) concluded that if humanity kept pursuing economic growth without regard for environmental costs, global society would experience sharp declines in available food, standards of living, and ultimately the human population, within the 21st century.
The LtG authors used a dynamic systems model, World3, to study key interactions between global variables for population, fertility, mortality, industrial output per capita (p.c.), food p.c., services p.c., nonrenewable resources, and pollution. World3 is based on the work of Forrester (e.g, 1971; 1975), at the time a professor at MIT and the founder of system dynamics: a modeling approach for the interactions between parts of a system, which often produce non-linear behavior like delays, feedback loops, and exponential growth or decline. Gaya Herrington conducted a quantitative comparison between World3 scenarios and empirical data available in 2019 to figure out if humanity has done better over recent years, or are we still following the Business As Usual scenario? The Audio quality is bad but I have tried to support the conversation with visual data, this was an interesting conversation that will find yourself questioning the impact of Profit at any cost & business as usual approach by industry, govts & the world.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/gayausa
https://www.clubofrome.org/blog-post/herrington-world-model/
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