The Open Outcry

With the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada (BoC) travelling on what appear to be different policy trajectories, Jason Daw, head of North American rates strategy for RBC Capital Markets, joins Bipan Rai to discuss what that means for North American bonds. The pair also discuss the latest Financial Stability Report from the BoC. This podcast was recorded live on May 13, 2015.

GFC: the Great Financial Crisis, also known as the 2008 financial crisis or global financial crisis, refers to a severe global economic downturn triggered by the collapse of the US housing market.

Yield curve: a line that plots the interest rates of bonds having equal credit quality but differing maturity dates. A normal or steep yield curve indicates that long-term interest rates are higher than short-term interest rates. A flat yield curve indicates that short-term rates are in line with long-term rates, whereas an inverted yield curve indicates that short-term rates are higher than long-term rates.

Term premium: the extra money you get if you're going to the trouble of locking up your money for a decade or more in a bond.

Foreign buyer strike: a situation where foreign buyers significantly reduce or halt their purchasing activity in a particular market, often impacting prices and supply.

Liquidity: The degree to which an asset or security can be quickly bought or sold in the market without affecting the asset’s price.

Terminal rate: the interest rate level that a central bank believes is consistent with a balanced economy in the long run.

DV01: means the “Dollar Value of 01,” a term used to quantify the sensitivity of a fixed-income security's price to a change in interest rates.

Duration: a measure of a bond's sensitivity to changes in interest rates. It is expressed in years and helps investors understand how much the price of a bond is likely to change when interest rates move. Essentially, duration estimates the percentage change in a bond's price for a 1% change in interest rates.

Rate spread: refers to the difference between two interest rates or other financial rates. It's essentially the margin or premium applied when comparing one rate to another.

GOC: The Government of Canada.

Disclaimers:

The viewpoints expressed by the speakers represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication and do not necessarily represent the views of BMO Global Asset Management. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations.

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus. BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.

This podcast is for information purposes.

“BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.

Bipan Rai is joined by Alex Singh, alternatives partnerships lead for BMO Global Asset Management to discuss the benefits of hedge funds in an overall portfolio, as well as talk about the new partnership between BMO GAM and Goldman Sachs Asset Management to launch a multi-strategy fund for Canadian investors. Note: the investment product mentioned in this podcast is only available to BMO Nesbitt Burns and BMO Private Investment Counsel advisors to date. This podcast was recorded live on May 1, 2025.

Please visit: Alternative Investments | BMO Global Asset Management for more information.

BMO Alternative Investments are generally available only to Canadian residents that qualify under the “accredited investor” exemption, under National Instrument 45-106 Prospectus Exemptions (“NI 45-106”) or, if resident in Ontario, section 73.3 of the Securities Act (Ontario) (the “OSA”).

Please refer to NI 45-106 or the OSA for more information regarding the availability of this exemption.

Alpha: A measure of performance often considered the active return on an investment. It gauges the performance of an investment against a market index or benchmark ,

Beta: A measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole.

Correlation: A statistical measure of how two securities move in relation to one another.

Volatility: Measures how much the price of a security, derivative, or index fluctuates.Disclaimers:

Goldman Sachs and its affiliates are not in any way responsible for the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of the information contained herein, other than any information provided by the Investment Manager specifically for inclusion in this presentation, (ii) the fund described herein is not in any way affiliated with Goldman Sachs or its affiliates; (iii) Goldman Sachs and its affiliates are not directly or indirectly involved in management, marketing or distribution of the fund described herein; (iv) each potential investor understands that such potential investor is not a direct investor in a Goldman Sachs fund, has no privity of contract with Goldman Sachs or its affiliates and will not have recourse against Goldman Sachs or its affiliates with respect to its investment in the fund described herein.BMO Global Asset Management (BMO GAM) is a brand name under which BMO Asset Management Inc. and BMO Investments Inc. operate. “BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under license. Certain of the products and services offered under the brand name, BMO Global Asset Management, are designed specifically for various categories of investors in Canada and may not be available to all investors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Certain statements included in this material constitute forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, those identified by the expressions "expect", "intend", "will" and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements are not historical facts but reflect BMO GAM’s current expectations regarding future results or events.. Although BMO GAM believes that the assumptions inherent in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance.

Prospective investors should consider the risks described in the confidential offering memorandum (OM) of the Fund before purchasing units of the Fund. Any or all of these risks, or other as yet unidentified risks, may have a material adverse effect on the Fund’s business and/or the return to investors.

A post-election special from BMO ETFs and alternatives strategist Bipan Rai and guest Ali Jaffery, executive director and senior economist at CIBC. Housing, infrastructure and defence spending are top priorities for the newly elected Liberal government. However, the pair discuss how rising trade and recession risks could upend that agenda and force new stimulus measures instead. This podcast was recorded live on April 29, 2025.

*Nominal GDP measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy using current prices, while real GDP adjusts for inflation, using constant-dollar prices.

*The USMCA stands for the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.

Disclaimers:

The viewpoints expressed by the speakers represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent simplified prospectus.

The ETF referred to herein is not sponsored, endorsed, or promoted by MSCI and MSCI bears no liability with respect to the ETF or any index on which such ETF is based. The ETF’s prospectus contains a more detailed description of the limited relationship MSCI has with the Manager and any related ETF.

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. Exchange traded funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.

For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus. BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.

BMO ETFs are managed by BMO Asset Management Inc., which is an investment fund manager and a portfolio manager, and a separate legal entity from Bank of Montreal.

This podcast is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Particular investments and/or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

BMO Global Asset Management is a brand name under which BMO Asset Management Inc. and BMO Investments Inc. operate.

“BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.

A volatile U.S. dollar amid broader trade uncertainty has many Canadian investors questioning whether to add or pare their FX hedges. Bipan Rai, managing director of ETF and structured solutions strategy at BMO ETFs, provides a brief history of the dollar’s evolution as the global reserve currency, and his view on where the greenback goes from here. This episode was recorded live on April 22, 2025.

The Bretton Woods system: an international monetary system established in 1944 based on a fixed exchange rate regime where currencies were pegged to the U.S. dollar, which was itself pegged to gold.

Debt ceiling: describes in general the upper limit set on the amount of money that a government may borrow.

The Great Depression: a severe global economic downturn that lasted from 1929 to 1939.

U.S. reserve currency usage information, Bloomberg/BMO Global Asset Management, as of April 30, 2025.

Disclaimers:

The viewpoints expressed by the speaker represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time.

Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent simplified prospectus.

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. Exchange traded funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.

For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus. BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.

BMO ETFs are managed by BMO Asset Management Inc., which is an investment fund manager and a portfolio manager, and a separate legal entity from Bank of Montreal.

This podcast is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Particular investments and/or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

“BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.

Tariff risk is a significant challenge for the Canadian economy—but it’s certainly not the only one confronting policy makers and the private sector. Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist for CIBC joins Bipan Rai, director of ETF strategy at BMO ETFs to discuss how to handle Trump’s tariff shock, as well as other economic risk factors facing Canada. This episode was recorded live on April 10, 2025.

Disclaimers:

The viewpoints expressed by the speakers represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent simplified prospectus.

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. Exchange traded funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.

For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus. BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.

BMO ETFs are managed by BMO Asset Management Inc., which is an investment fund manager and a portfolio manager, and a separate legal entity from Bank of Montreal.

This podcast is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Particular investments and/or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

“BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.

Gold prices have skyrocketed as investors both big and small have poured into the precious metal seeking its relative stability amid ongoing trade uncertainty and market risks. Daniel Ghali, director, commodities strategy at TD Securities joins Bipan Rai, director of ETF strategy for BMO ETFs to discuss who’s behind gold’s big moves and where prices could go as the year progresses. This episode was recorded live on April 8, 2025.  

Intrinsic value: the real value of an asset based on fundamental factors, as opposed to the price assigned by the market.

Spot price: the current market price at which an asset, such as a security, commodity, or currency, can be bought or sold for immediate delivery.

Yield curve: a line that plots the yields, or interest rates, of bonds that have equal credit quality but different maturity dates.

PBOC: The People’s Bank of China, the central bank for China.

Disclaimers:

The viewpoints expressed by the speakers represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent simplified prospectus.

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. Exchange traded funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.

For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus.  BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.

BMO ETFs are managed by BMO Asset Management Inc., which is an investment fund manager and a portfolio manager, and a separate legal entity from Bank of Montreal.

This podcast is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Particular investments and/or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

“BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.

Volatile markets have greeted the tariff regime the Trump Administration appears intent on enacting. Ahead of a key April 2nd deadline for a wave of U.S. reciprocal trade levies to be imposed, Chris Krueger, Managing Director, Washington Research Group, TD Cowen and host Bipan Rai, BMO ETFs Strategist, discuss some of the pressing questions that investors, policymakers and markets are seeking clarity on. This episode was recorded live on March 23, 2025.  

Disclaimers:

 The viewpoints expressed by the speakers represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent simplified prospectus.

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. Exchange traded funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.

For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus.  BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.

BMO ETFs are managed by BMO Asset Management Inc., which is an investment fund manager and a portfolio manager, and a separate legal entity from Bank of Montreal.

This podcast is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Particular investments and/or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance.

“BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.