The Psychology of Money & Markets

US 30-year Treasury yields have climbed to 5.19%—the highest since 2007—fueled by the 2026 Iran conflict disrupting the Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil above $100/barrel and reigniting inflation pressures. This expanded episode summarizes The Kobeissi Letter’s urgent thread, integrates the latest data from the BLS, Treasury, EIA, and mortgage markets, deepens the debate with historical parallels and expert perspectives, explores real-world impacts on households and investors, and delivers a balanced conclusion on risks versus resilience. Essential listening for anyone concerned about borrowing costs, housing, retirement, and the 2026 economic outlook.

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This episode reviews the principal economic indicators released on May 22, 2026, including U.S. leading indicators, consumer sentiment, and international GDP figures, together with an assessment of their implications for growth, inflation, and monetary policy. We deliver updates on equity, commodity, and bond markets, with technical observations and an overview of geopolitical factors shaping investor sentiment. Listeners will gain a structured perspective on how these developments influence the global economic environment amid persistent uncertainties.

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

This episode examines the latest U.S. and European economic indicators released today, alongside the Federal Reserve’s April meeting minutes from yesterday, assessing their implications for growth, inflation, and monetary policy. We provide updates on equity, commodity, and bond markets, incorporating technical analysis and key geopolitical developments influencing investor sentiment. Join us for a professional overview of how these factors shape the broader economic landscape amid ongoing global uncertainties

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

This episode analyzes a highly active global data print day, highlighting how a surprise deceleration in UK inflation to 2.8% triggered a drop in US Treasury yields to lift domestic equity futures. We trace the international macro ripple effects, from defensive interest rate hikes in emerging markets like Indonesia to the structural gridlock remaining in the US housing sector. Finally, we preview the afternoon's critical macro risk events, detailing what institutional desks are looking for in the 2:00 PM FOMC minutes and how it sets the stage for Nvidia’s pivotal corporate earnings release.

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

Today’s episode examines the SEC’s anticipated “innovation exemption” for tokenized stocks, a pivotal step toward integrating digital assets with traditional securities on decentralized platforms. We analyze surging South Korean margin debt reaching record levels amid aggressive retail betting on semiconductors, alongside broader U.S. and global market movements influenced by elevated oil prices and bond yields. Additional coverage includes gold and commodities performance, technical analysis, key economic data releases, and ongoing U.S.-Iran geopolitical developments

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

This episode analyzes accelerating global inflation driven by energy shocks, key economic announcements from the United States, Japan, Europe, China, and other regions, along with their implications for the U.S. economy. We provide technical perspectives on gold and silver, broader market technical analysis, and assessments of geopolitical developments. Additionally, we examine hedge fund allocations toward semiconductor stocks amid technological investment momentum.

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

Since December 2023, the U.S. healthcare and social assistance sector has added 1.76 million jobs while the rest of the private sector has lost nearly 128,000. This extreme concentration reveals a labor market dangerously reliant on one industry driven by demographics rather than broad-based growth. In this episode, we unpack the data, explore the implications for workers, businesses, and the Fed, and ask whether this is sustainable or a warning sign of deeper weakness.16

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

In today’s edition, we unpack President Trump’s high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, including fresh updates on trade, Iran, and energy security. We assess the implications of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s departure as the central bank navigates persistent inflation, alongside sharp moves in U.S. and U.K. bond markets, robust retail investor participation in equities, gold’s technical positioning, and significant drawdowns from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve amid ongoing geopolitical strains.

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

April retail sales advanced 0.5 percent month-over-month in line with forecasts, underscoring steady consumer demand, while initial jobless claims rose modestly to 211,000, signaling slight labor-market softening. Import and export prices climbed sharply on energy costs, reinforcing yesterday’s hotter-than-expected producer-price data. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new Federal Reserve chair, and Cisco delivered strong earnings on robust AI demand. In this edition, we deliver technical analysis on equities, gold, and silver, alongside coverage of the ongoing Trump-Xi summit and its implications for commodities and global trade.

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.

April CPI data show U.S. inflation reaccelerating to 3.8 percent year-over-year, highest since May 2023, driven by energy costs from the Iran conflict, as President Trump engages in high-stakes talks with Xi Jinping in Beijing. This episode provides authoritative analysis of the latest CPI, Fed signals, deep commodity trends, equity dynamics, and sector rotation, with precise technical breakdowns for gold and the broader market. It includes a dedicated segment on Nvidia stock—its current performance, implications, and sector-wide influence—plus strong/weak sectors, behavioral insights, two Trump-Xi market scenarios, and practical takeaways.

Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.