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After a monster week of winners, Mike and Jeff have the book's cash burning a hole in their pocket so there are lots of picks. Jeff explains how to use common opponents to find comps for the point spread. A rare head-to-head ultimate decision closes things out.
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The guys rolled in week 2 and are putting all the money back in play with lots of action. Jeff discusses the slim historical odds for 0-2 teams making the playoffs and the almost guaranteed chances for 2-0 teams to play in January. Mike is sticking with Thursday night for his ultimate decision, while Jeff is back to the always not fun world of unders. Ugly Betty as always and the return of share-of-square along with a buzzer beating double like.
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Jeff and Mike are talking about the nice betting trend for playing 0-1 teams against 1-0 teams. This leads to some fun trends within the trends that deal with travel, time zones and prime time fades. Lots of action including the ugliest bet of the week.
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Jeff and Mike dive into why division underdogs do so well in week one. Jeff discusses his week 1 interpolation theory and may have made up a word to describe it. Mike helps narrow down the ugly Betty pick to a desert dwelling franchise while the guys give advice on laying off revenge early in the year. Mike wants some sunshine for his ultimate decision while Jeff wants to suck all the fun out of betting by making his largest wager on an under.
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Jeff discusses the dichotomy of removing gatekeepers, yet dismissing curators when it comes to podcasts and how it affected his decision to come back for another year. Mike joins to scrutinize Jeff's in-depth power ratings for the upcoming season, adding some futures bets along the way.
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The game lived up to it's "meh" expectations. Jeff enjoyed the defensive and special teams chess match that Mike MacDonald employed to oust Mike Vrabel. Seattle followed the first rule of winning which is not to lose, while Drake Maye chose a rough spot to play a terrible game. Jeff knew his bet was dead after the first series, when the Patriots offensive line couldn't block Seattle's front.
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Jeff is joined by Mike to talk the big game! Jeff explains why Sam Darnold is the story that goes beyond football. He delves into a Robert Kraft conspiracy to get the trophy back to Foxboro. The guys dive into thematic prop parlays and other advice to have a fun gambling Super Sunday.
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Jeff had a monster weekend betting the championship games. He talks how fatigue caught up to the Rams, while Seattle made great plays and even better coaching decisions. He loves the Sam Darnold redemption story from a quarterback and human point-of-view. He got it wrong thinking New England would score on Denver's defense, but liked the old school defensive game that Mike Vrabel executed better than Sean Payton.
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Jeff believes that the market is putting too large of a gap between Bo Nix and Jarrett Stidham. He makes the case for the Rams being in a terrible spot with travel and games played while the Seahawks have lived at home with division opponents. Go sports, as the over is appealing in both games.
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Jeff recaps the best round of divisional games in recent memory. Heartbreak for Bo Nix. The closing of the window in Buffalo. A bright future for the Bears.
From the publisher's feed
Two amateur sports bettors take a more subjective approach to sports betting. The pros use analytics, Jeff and Mike use the eyeball test. There are plenty of podcasts to listen to the ego driven…