The SPY Trader

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1253.

Hello, market mavens! This is Captain Cashflow, your friendly neighborhood financial analyst, ready to navigate the currents of the market on another episode of Spy Trader. It's 12 pm on Friday, June 20th, 2025, Pacific time, and we've got quite a bit to unpack from Wall Street. Let's dive right in. The US stock market is showing some truly mixed signals today, a fascinating blend of geopolitical rumblings, shifting expectations for the Federal Reserve, and varied sector performances. Starting with the big picture, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has managed modest gains, climbing around 0.4% today, though it's still down 0.64% yeartodate. The S&P 500 has also seen slight increases, hovering around 0.2% to 0.32% in recent sessions, despite dipping 0.3% this Friday. The S&P 500 has actually climbed 2.15% over the past month and is up a healthy 9.26% compared to this time last year, though it's down about 7.40% yeartodate from its alltime high in February 2025. The Nasdaq Composite, however, has been a bit more cautious, slipping slightly below flat or showing small gains of around 0.37%. Looking at our sectors today, Consumer Discretionary is up 1.10%, but down 4.74% yeartodate. Consumer Staples is showing strength, up 0.86% daily and 3.51% yeartodate. Energy is modestly up 0.27% today and 1.92% yeartodate. Financials gained 0.43% daily and 4.62% yeartodate. Health Care saw a daily increase of 0.34% but is down 2.85% yeartodate. Industrials are up 0.14% daily and are strong performers yeartodate with 8.46%. Technology has a daily gain of 0.39% and is up 4.57% yeartodate. Materials are down 0.51% daily but up 4.04% yeartodate. Real Estate gained 0.62% daily and 4.49% yeartodate. Communication Services performed well with a daily gain of 1.07% and 7.50% yeartodate, and Utilities are up 0.36% daily and 6.00% yeartodate. It's worth noting that valuestyle sectors like Industrials and Utilities have been among the top performers yeartodate, while growth sectors such as Technology and Consumer Discretionary have lagged a bit. Now, for the headlines that are moving the needle. President Donald Trump's twoweek deadline on a possible USIran conflict has certainly introduced some uncertainty, making investors a bit uneasy about broader Middle East instability and its potential impact on oil prices. Despite this, history often tells us that geopolitical risks, while unnerving, tend to lead to shortlived market weakness, with equities typically recovering in the medium term. On the monetary policy front, hopes for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut by July have been a significant market driver. Fed Governor Chris Waller even hinted at a potential July rate cut after some tame inflation data. However, the Fed's latest 'dot plot' still reflects expectations for two rate cuts this year, with next year's forecasts dialed back to just one. The Fed maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25%4.5% after its June meeting. We're also seeing some shifting tariff policies continuing to impact the economic outlook, potentially pushing up prices and weighing on economic activity. There's an expectation that tariffs might come down in the coming months, but likely remain higher than before the election. Good news for the tech sector though, chip stocks have seen a sharp rebound after a recent slump. And a big market event today, Friday, June 20th, 2025, is a 'triple witching' day, with an estimated over $6 trillion of options expiring, alongside the S&P quarterly rebalance. This can certainly lead to increased volatility, so buckle up! The US stock market is currently in a state of cautious optimism, constantly reacting to a pushandpull between positive economic data and those everpresent geopolitical and policy uncertainties. The slight upward movement in the Dow and S&P 500 suggests some underlying confidence, likely buoyed by the prospect of a Fed rate cut, which could ease financial conditions and stimulate growth. The Fed's continued expectation of two rate cuts this year provides a somewhat dovish signal to the market. However, the Nasdaq's more subdued performance indicates lingering caution, particularly in the tech sector, which is more sensitive to economic uncertainties and interest rate expectations. The rebound in chip stocks offers a glimmer of sectorspecific strength within technology, but the yeartodate underperformance of growth sectors compared to value sectors suggests a rotation of capital as investors seek stability amidst volatility. The ongoing geopolitical tensions, specifically President Trump's deadline regarding Iran, are a significant source of market apprehension. Such events introduce unpredictable elements that can rapidly shift market sentiment and impact sectors like energy due to potential supply disruptions. While historical data suggests shortterm impacts, the current environment is highly sensitive to any escalation. Macroeconomic indicators paint a mixed picture. The slight contraction in Q1 GDP, primarily driven by imports, suggests some underlying softness, though robust consumer spending and investment offer partial offsets. The slowing, but still resilient, labor market and healthy personal income growth provide a foundation for consumer spending, which is a major component of US GDP. However, the anticipated downshift in consumer spending and job growth due to tariff impacts poses a future headwind. On the bright side, inflation appears to be moderating, strengthening the case for potential Fed rate cuts. As for company events, while no single company announcement is causing widespread market swings today, we are seeing ongoing developments. CoreWeave announced new AI cloud software to help AI developers iterate faster, and Amdocs is demonstrating joint AI agent solutions with NVIDIA, showcasing advancements in telcograde AI. DICK'S Sporting Goods is working on an exchange offer related to its anticipated acquisition of Foot Locker, and Meta is partnering with Oakley to launch AIpowered performance glasses. These innovations highlight areas of growth and technological advancement that can drive longterm market performance. Finally, that 'triple witching' and S&P rebalance on June 20th introduce a technical element that could lead to increased trading volume and shortterm volatility, as options expire and index compositions are adjusted. So, Captain Cashflow's concrete recommendations for you, my friends, given these current market conditions, involve a balanced and adaptive approach. First, maintain diversification but consider a tilt towards value and defensive sectors. While tech growth stocks have longterm potential, their recent underperformance and sensitivity to volatility suggest balancing your portfolio with more stable areas. Industrials and Utilities have shown stronger yeartodate performance and tend to be more resilient. Consumer Staples and Healthcare also offer those defensive characteristics. Second, keep a close eye on geopolitical developments and their impact on energy. The USIran situation is a wild card. Any escalation could lead to sharp spikes in oil prices. For investors, this might mean a tactical, shortterm allocation to energy stocks or energyfocused ETFs if tensions escalate, but be ready for pullbacks if things deescalate. Third, stay informed on Federal Reserve policy and macroeconomic data. The Fed's stance on interest rates is a primary market driver. Pay attention to inflation reports, employment data, and Fed communications. Understanding their trajectory can help you adjust your portfolio risk. If the Fed signals more aggressive rate cuts, growth stocks might become more attractive. Conversely, if inflation persists, a more cautious stance would be prudent. Fourth, evaluate individual company fundamentals very carefully. Even in a mixed market, strong companies with robust business models, healthy balance sheets, and consistent earnings can outperform. Look for companies with strong competitive advantages, effective debt management, and consistent profitability. Consider leaders in their sectors, especially those showing innovation in areas like AI. Lastly, be prepared for increased volatility, especially around market events like today. Days with triple witching and index rebalances can lead to unpredictable shortterm price swings. For longterm investors, these are typically noise, so avoid impulsive decisions. For shorterterm traders, understanding these dynamics is crucial, but requires advanced strategies and risk management, like setting stoploss orders. That's all for this episode of Spy Trader! Stay smart, stay diversified, and I'll catch you on the next market update. Happy trading!

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1252.

Welcome to Spy Trader, your goto podcast for navigating the choppy waters of the stock market! I'm your host, Bucky Bucks, and it's 6 am on Friday, June 20th, 2025, Pacific time. We've got a lot to unpack this morning, so let's dive right in to get you prepped for the trading day!The US stock market is showing a really mixed bag as of late. Yesterday, June 19th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down a slight 0.10% at 42,171.66. The Nasdaq Composite, however, managed a small gain, up 0.13% to 19,546.27. The S&P 500 saw a marginal decline of 0.03%, closing at 5,980.87. Looking at the broader US500 index this morning, we've seen it rise to between 6020 and 6025 points, gaining about 0.65% to 0.74% from the previous session. Over the last month, this index has climbed a solid 3.00% to 3.09%, and it's up a substantial 10.16% to 10.26% compared to this time last year.Sector performance on June 19th was quite varied. We saw positive moves in Real Estate, up 0.20%; Utilities, up 0.27%; Communication Services, up 0.08%; and Technology, gaining 0.15%. On the flip side, Consumer Staples, Energy, Health Care, Industrials, and Materials all experienced slight declines. Financials and Consumer Discretionary remained effectively flat.Yeartodate, Industrials, Communication Services, and Utilities have been strong performers, while Consumer Discretionary and Health Care have seen some declines.Now, for the big headlines impacting the market. Geopolitical tensions continue to simmer, with the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran creating unease for investors. There are reports that President Trump is considering a potential military strike on Iran, which is certainly adding to the uncertainty. President Trump's new tariffs and trade policies are also a key factor; the Federal Reserve is closely watching how these will impact inflation, with expectations of nearterm price hikes for consumers. This has definitely contributed to market volatility.On the monetary policy front, the Federal Reserve maintained its policy interest rate range at 4.25% to 4.50% at its June 2025 meeting, as widely expected. The FOMC's updated projections still suggest two rate cuts are coming in 2025, but the forecast for 2026 was reduced to just one cut. The Fed is taking a cautious approach, waiting for more data on inflation and the economic impact of those tariffs before making further moves.In company specific news, Marvell Technology, ticker MRVL, saw a jump of over 7% on June 18th, driven by optimism around its AI growth pipeline after an investor event. IBM, ticker IBM, reached an alltime closing high on June 18th, having gained nearly 30% since the start of 2025, fueled by new software launches and advancements in quantum computing. Other notable movers yesterday included Coinbase Global, COIN, up 16.32%; Caesars Entertainment, CZR, up 4.91%; and Enphase Energy, ENPH, up 4.18%. Looking ahead, we've got big earnings reports next week from companies like Nike, Micron, and FedEx, which will give us more insights into retail demand, the trade war's effects, and semiconductor trends.From a macroeconomic perspective, the annual inflation rate for the US was 2.4% for the 12 months ending May 2025, a slight uptick from April's 2.3%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, held steady at 2.8% in May. Remember, the Fed's target is 2%. The US unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% in May for the second consecutive month, right where experts expected it. Wage gains are still outpacing inflation at around 3.9%, which is good news for consumers. As for economic growth, the US economy actually contracted by 0.20% in the first quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter, marking the first quarterly GDP contraction in three years. However, the GDPNow model estimates for the second quarter are currently projecting a rebound with 3.4% growth. The Federal Reserve has slightly downgraded its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.4% from its previous 1.7%, and for 2026 to 1.6%.So, what does all this mean for your money? The current market is really a tugofwar. On one side, we have resilient economic fundamentals: a stable unemployment rate, positive real wage growth, and a projected rebound in Q2 GDP. These factors underpin consumer spending and indicate underlying economic strength. On the other side, we're battling increasing geopolitical and traderelated uncertainties. The Fed's cautious stance, holding rates steady and anticipating only two cuts this year, shows they're prioritizing inflation control amidst these uncertainties, even with a slight GDP growth downgrade for the year.The escalating tensions in the Middle East and the shifting sands of President Trump's tariff policies are creating significant headwinds. These external factors introduce volatility and can lead to sudden market shifts, which we've seen with cautious reactions to news about potential military action or new tariffs.When we look at sector performance, there's a clear preference for both defensive and growthoriented sectors. Technology and Communication Services are showing strength, likely benefiting from ongoing innovation, especially in AI. Utilities and Real Estate, often seen as safer havens, are also showing positive daily performance, perhaps signaling investors seeking stability. Conversely, energy and industrials saw slight declines, likely due to fluctuating oil prices influenced by geopolitical events and broader concerns about global economic growth impacting industrial demand.Considering all this, here are some general recommendations for investors. First, maintain diversification. In this environment of uncertainty and fluctuating data, a welldiversified portfolio across different sectors and asset classes is key to mitigating risk. Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Second, focus on quality and fundamentals. Prioritize companies with strong balance sheets, consistent earnings, and robust business models. These companies tend to be more resilient during choppy market waters. The upcoming earnings season will be crucial for assessing individual company performance. Third, keep a very close eye on macroeconomic data. Upcoming inflation reports, like the one due July 15th, employment data, and any communications from the Federal Reserve are critical. Any significant shifts could impact interest rate expectations and overall market sentiment. Fourth, consider defensive sectors. Given the ongoing uncertainties, sectors like Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare, which are generally less sensitive to economic cycles, could offer relative stability for your portfolio. Fifth, evaluate growth opportunities very carefully. While technology and communication services have shown strong performance, their valuations need scrutiny. Companies with clear growth drivers, such as advancements in AI, could continue to perform well, but be aware of potential overvaluation. Lastly, stay informed on geopolitical developments and trade policy. These external factors are proving to be significant market movers, so understand how potential escalations or policy changes could impact specific industries and your portfolio. And as always, remember to keep a longterm perspective. Despite shortterm fluctuations and uncertainties, a longterm investment horizon often helps ride out market volatility and achieve your financial goals. That's all for this edition of Spy Trader. I'm Bucky Bucks, and I wish you profitable trading!

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1251.

Hello, Spy Traders, and welcome back to the only podcast that makes market moves make sense! I'm your host, Market Maverick Mike, and it's 6 pm on Thursday, June 19th, 2025, Pacific Time. We've got a lot to unpack after a mixed week and a federal holiday, so let's dive right in. The U.S. stock market is heading into Friday after a somewhat choppy week. Before the Juneteenth holiday, on Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped slightly by 0.1%, and the S&P 500 was fractionally lower, down 0.03% to 5,980.87 points. However, the techheavy Nasdaq Composite managed to nudge up by 0.13% to 19,546.27 points. Overall, the S&P 500 is still up 8.33% from a year ago, showing some underlying resilience. When we look at sector performance, it's been a tale of two markets. Technology and Communication Services continue to be the stars, largely thanks to the strong demand for artificial intelligence, with companies like Marvell Technology jumping 7% after its Custom AI event and IBM shares hitting an alltime high, up nearly 30% this year. On the flip side, Consumer Discretionary has seen declines, and Health Care has been a bit of a laggard yeartodate, with losses from big names like Eli Lilly and UnitedHealth. The Federal Reserve made headlines on June 18th by keeping the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50% for the fourth straight meeting. They did signal the likelihood of two rate cuts later in 2025, which is a slight increase from their previous projection. But here's the kicker: they also raised their inflation forecast, with core PCE now expected to hit 3.0% by yearend, and they downgraded their GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.4%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell was clear that inflation remains somewhat elevated, and tariffs could make commodity prices tick higher. On the geopolitical front, the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran continues to be a source of market volatility, stirring concerns about crude oil supply. Good news on the trade front, though: there are reports of an agreement reached between the U.S. and China on trade and tariffs in London. Now, let's get into the analysis and what this all means for your portfolio. The market is in a bit of a tugofwar. On one side, we have strong corporate earnings, especially from those big tech players, and expectations of easing monetary policy. On the other, we're facing significant macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds. The Fed's 'wait and see' approach, coupled with a split among FOMC members, means the path to lower rates isn't guaranteed and is very much datadependent. The raised inflation forecast and lower GDP projections signal a slowing economy, which could put pressure on corporate earnings outside of the strongest sectors. And let's not forget those geopolitical risks; the Middle East conflict has a track record of sparking market volatility. While the overall market might appear moderately valued, growth stocks are still trading at a premium, implying that a lot of good news has already been priced in for those high flyers. So, what's a savvy Spy Trader to do? Here are our recommendations. First, maintain diversification but consider tilting towards value and defensive sectors. With a slowing economy and persistent inflation, value stocks, which are currently at a discount, could offer more resilience. Think Utilities and certain Consumer Staples. Second, selective exposure to highgrowth tech and AI is still a smart move. Demand for AI is robust, driving earnings for key players. Focus on individual companies with strong balance sheets and clear competitive advantages, not just broadbrush exposure. Third, keep a close eye on geopolitical developments. The IsraelIran conflict can quickly impact energy markets and overall sentiment. Be prepared to adjust if tensions escalate significantly. Fourth, always emphasize quality and strong fundamentals. In uncertain times, companies with solid balance sheets, consistent cash flows, and proven profitability are your best friends. Fifth, don't forget international diversification. International markets have actually been outperforming the S&P 500 yeartodate, so exploring global equity funds could enhance your portfolio diversification. And finally, stay liquid and patient. With volatility likely to continue and the future of monetary policy still somewhat murky, having cash on hand allows you to seize opportunities when market pullbacks occur. Avoid overleveraging, and focus on your longterm investment goals. That's all for today's Spy Trader. Thanks for tuning in, and remember, stay informed, stay diversified, and keep those eyes on the market!

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1250.

Hey there, Spy Traders! Market Maverick Max here, bringing you your midday market update. It's 12 pm on Thursday, June 19th, 2025, Pacific time, and we've got a lot to unpack from the financial world. Grab your favorite beverage, because we're diving deep into the movements that matter for your portfolio.The US stock market is showing a real mix of signals today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is sitting around 42,171, down a slight 0.10% from yesterday. Over the last month, it's actually dipped about 1.18%. The S&P 500 is hovering around 5,980, with a modest 0.03% decrease in the last 24 hours, and it's down 0.27% over the past month, though still up a solid 8.24% year over year. Seven of its eleven sectors ended yesterday in the red, which tells you a bit about the cautious mood. On the flip side, our techheavy Nasdaq Composite is showing some strength, up 0.39% today to around 19,546.Looking at the sectors, it's a bit of a mixed bag. Recently, technology and utility stocks have been showing the most gains, while energy and communication sectors have been lagging. Over the year, value sectors like industrials and utilities are up over 8%, outperforming growth sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary. More recently, we've seen Retailing up 1.46% and Automobiles up 0.25% today, while Hardware, Diversified, Metals and Mining, and Software and IT are among those seeing declines.Now for the big headlines shaping these movements. The Federal Reserve, at its June 2025 meeting, kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50%. This marks the fourth meeting in a row without a change, signaling a careful 'waitandsee' approach. They're definitely keeping an eye on President Trump's policies, especially tariffs, and the potential for those to reignite inflation. The Fed's updated projections now forecast just two rate cuts in 2025, fewer than previous expectations, and they've even downgraded GDP growth forecasts while nudging inflation forecasts higher.Geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing IsraelIran conflict in the Middle East, are also creating a 'riskoff' sentiment, pushing investors towards safer assets like the US dollar and gold.On the company front, Coinbase stock recently surged 16% thanks to momentum from a landmark crypto bill. Southwest Airlines is making news by announcing assigned seating options. And the NTSB issued an urgent safety bulletin regarding certain Boeing 737 Max jet engines, which is something to watch.So, what's really driving all this? The Fed's cautious stance is a huge factor. Their decision to hold rates steady shows their concern about stubborn inflation, which, by the way, ticked up slightly to 2.4% in May, still above their 2% target. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, held at 2.8% in May, with shelter costs being the main culprit. The Fed's revised forecast, with fewer rate cuts and higher inflation and unemployment projections, suggests a more challenging economic path ahead, maybe even hinting at some stagflationary pressures.Economically, we saw a contraction in US GDP in the first quarter of 2025, shrinking by 0.2%, which was the first decline since early 2022. But, good news is a rebound to around 3% growth is expected in the second quarter, largely due to solid household consumption. The unemployment rate is holding steady at 4.2% in May, showing a resilient labor market where wage gains are actually outpacing inflation, which is great for consumer spending. However, those escalating geopolitical tensions we mentioned are definitely adding to market volatility, making some investors pull back.Given all this, here are my concrete recommendations for you, the savvy Spy Trader. First off, Maintain Diversification with a Focus on Quality. In this kind of uncertain environment, spreading your investments across different sectors and asset classes is key. Look for companies with strong balance sheets, consistent earnings, and robust business models that can handle economic bumps.Secondly, let's talk Strategic Sector Allocation. While some growth sectors have lagged this year, select technology companies, especially those involved in big trends like AI, might still offer opportunities, but be very selective. On the defensive side, utilities and industrials have shown strong performance this year and can offer stability. Healthcare, leisure, and hospitality also show underlying strength given recent job growth. Be cautious with energy and communication services, as they've been recent laggards.Third, Monitor Inflation and Fed Policy Closely. The path of inflation and the Fed's response will be critical. Be ready for shifts in market sentiment based on new data and any changes to the Fed's interest rate outlook. Higher inflation could mean interest rates stay high, impacting company earnings.Fourth, Consider SafeHaven Assets. With geopolitical tensions rising, a small allocation to things like gold or certain stable currencies could act as a hedge against increased volatility.Finally, Adopt a LongTerm Perspective. Shortterm market swings are probably here to stay for a while. Use these bouts of volatility as opportunities to add quality investments at better prices. Focus on companies with solid fundamentals and a clear growth strategy, as they tend to perform well over the long haul.That's it for today's Spy Trader update. Stay sharp, stay informed, and I'll catch you next time!

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1249.

Welcome back to Spy Trader, your goto podcast for navigating the markets. I'm your host, Sparky Spreads, and it's 6 am on Thursday, June 19th, 2025, Pacific time. Hope you're ready for some insights, because while the US stock market is closed today in observance of Juneteenth National Independence Day, with both the NYSE and Nasdaq taking a break and reopening tomorrow, Friday, June 20th, there's still plenty to talk about from yesterday and what it means for the days ahead.Let's quickly recap what happened yesterday, Wednesday, June 18th. US stocks ended mixed after the Federal Reserve's big announcement. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped a bit, down 0.1 percent, or about 44 points, closing at 42,171.66. The S&P 500 edged lower by a tiny 0.03 percent to 5,980.87. But the Nasdaq Composite, our techheavy index, managed to claw out a slight gain, up 0.13 percent, or about 25 points, to settle at 19,546.27.The main event, of course, was the Federal Reserve's June 2025 FOMC meeting. The Fed decided to keep benchmark interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent for the fourth meeting in a row. Now, here's where it gets interesting: the Fed's projections, what they call the 'dot plot,' still hint at two 25basispoint rate cuts in 2025. However, they've dialed back the outlook for 2026 to only one cut, and more officials, seven out of 19, now expect no rate cuts this year, up from just four in March. The market is still pricing in about a 70 percent chance of a rate cut in September.On the inflation front, the Fed raised its inflation projection for 2025 to 3.0 percent, up from 2.6 percent, and still higher than its 2 percent target. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell specifically pointed out that inflation in goods prices is expected to accelerate due to the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs. They also lowered their GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.4 percent, a notable drop from the earlier 2.1 percent, suggesting a slowing economy. The unemployment rate is now expected to reach 4.5 percent by yearend.Beyond the Fed, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the ongoing IsraelIran conflict, continue to weigh on investor sentiment, raising concerns about potential US involvement and the impact on crude oil prices. President Trump's tariffs, and the unclear inflation impacts from them, were also highlighted as sources of economic uncertainty.Looking at sectors yesterday, seven out of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended in the red. Technology was the standout performer, helping the Nasdaq close higher, while Energy led the declines. In the broader picture for May and June, technology has been super strong, with megacap tech stocks like NVIDIA seeing substantial gains. Consumer cyclicals also rose, largely thanks to Tesla. On the flip side, real estate and energy sectors remain significantly undervalued. And get this, for the first time in over three years, no new companies were added to the S&P 500 in its quarterly rebalancing, which is a bit of a headscratcher, indicating a period of what's called 'stasis.'As for specific companies, IBM shares rose yesterday to an alltime closing high, up nearly 30 percent since the start of 2025, driven by new software launches for AI and advancements in quantum computing. Korn Ferry shares were up about 10 percent yesterday. Circle Internet Group stock jumped after the Senate passed stablecoin legislation. We also saw news that Robinhood launched new tools to attract traders. And some of our megacap friends like Amazon.com, Alphabet, and Meta have actually seen a shift in their classification from pure growth to partial value in the 2025 Russell Reconstitution, which means they're maturing a bit in their growth profiles.Alright, let's dive into what all this means. The US stock market is definitely in a period of heightened uncertainty. The Fed's decision to hold rates steady, combined with those upward revisions to inflation forecasts and downward revisions to GDP growth, points to a challenging economic environment. While the hint of two rate cuts in 2025 offers some hope, the Fed's overall

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1248.

Hey there, Spy Traders! Your favorite financial guru, Moneybags Mike, here, bringing you the latest market insights. It's 6 pm on Wednesday, June 18th, 2025, Pacific time, and what a day it's been! We're here to break down the market's pulse, analyze the big news, and give you some actionable takeaways to navigate these choppy waters. First, a quick recap of how things wrapped up today. The US stock market ended largely unchanged after a pretty wild session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell a fractional 0.1 percent, closing at 42,171.66 points. The S&P 500 was also down by less than 0.1 percent, settling at 5,980.87 points. On the flip side, the Nasdaq Composite managed a slight gain of 0.1 percent to 19,546.27 points. Our small caps, the Russell 2000, actually outperformed, climbing 0.5 percent to 2,112.96 points. The market saw three days of volatile trading leading into today, largely driven by ongoing geopolitical concerns. Now, for the big news items that moved the needle. The Federal Reserve, as widely expected, kept its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 4.25 to 4.5 percent today. This marks the fourth consecutive meeting they've held steady. However, they did raise their inflation forecast for 2025 to 3.0 percent and trimmed their economic growth outlook to 1.5 percent. Despite these adjustments, the Fed's 'dot plot' still signals that policymakers anticipate two rate cuts in 2025. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a 'wait and see' approach, specifically mentioning the need for more data on the impact of potential tariffs. Geopolitical tensions continue to simmer, with the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran remaining a significant source of market volatility. This has contributed to rising oil prices. In a notable legislative move, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act, which provides a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers. This immediately sent shares of Coinbase Global soaring by 16 percent, making it the top S&P 500 gainer. Conversely, payment giants Mastercard and Visa saw their shares drop 5.4 percent and 4.9 percent respectively, hinting at potential disruption to the traditional payment ecosystem from this new legislation. Looking ahead, remember that US financial markets are closed tomorrow, Thursday, June 19th, for the Juneteenth holiday. So, how do we make sense of all this? Let's dive into the analysis. We're operating in a pretty complex landscape right now, with mixed economic signals and continued geopolitical risks. On the economic front, May's Consumer Price Index, or CPI, increased just 0.1 percent monthovermonth, which was cooler than expected. However, the yearoveryear rate edged up slightly to 2.4 percent, and the Fed, as we just heard, revised their 2025 inflation forecast higher. This tells us inflation is still very much on their radar. Our Gross Domestic Product, or GDP, for the first quarter of 2025 actually decreased at an annualized rate of 0.2 percent, marking the first quarterly contraction in three years. This was primarily due to increased imports and decreased government spending. While the labor market remains solid, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 139,000 in May and the unemployment rate steady at 4.2 percent, the Fed did nudge its unemployment rate forecast higher to 4.5 percent for 2025. The Fed's decision to hold rates steady, even with a slowing economy, underscores their primary focus: getting inflation under control. The talk of potential tariffs by President Trump is also a major wildcard, and the Fed is clearly waiting to see their economic impact. New legislation, like the stablecoin act, shows how policy changes can directly and quickly impact specific industries. Looking at company news, Oracle soared to an alltime high on strong earnings, and IBM also hit an alltime closing high today, gaining nearly 30 percent since the start of the year. Marvell Technology jumped 7 percent today after analysts noted its Custom AI event. Now, onto the part you've all been waiting for: Moneybags Mike's Market Moves and recommendations. Given this volatile and uncertain environment, I recommend a cautious yet strategic approach. First, maintain diversification. With mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainties, diversifying across different asset classes and sectors is crucial to mitigating risk. Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Second, focus on quality and strong fundamentals. In a slowing economy, companies with strong balance sheets, consistent earnings, and proven business models are your best bet. Look for low debt, strong free cash flow, and stable dividends. Third, monitor macroeconomic indicators closely. The Fed is highly datadependent, so keep a sharp eye on upcoming CPI, employment reports, and GDP revisions. Any significant shifts could trigger major market reactions. Fourth, stay informed on geopolitical developments. The conflict in the Middle East has proven to be a major market driver, impacting everything from investor confidence to oil prices. Stay aware of global news. Fifth, consider dollarcost averaging. Trying to time this market is incredibly difficult. Investing a fixed amount regularly can help smooth out the impact of shortterm price fluctuations. And finally, assess the impact of regulatory changes. New legislation, like the stablecoin act, can have immediate and significant effects on specific industries. If you have holdings in affected sectors, understand how these changes might impact your investments. That's all for today, folks! Remember, this is not financial advice, so always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stay smart, stay safe, and I'll catch you on the next episode of Spy Trader!

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1247.

Hello, Spy Traders! I'm Money Mike, and it's 12 pm on Wednesday, June 18th, 2025, Pacific time. We're diving into the market action, and it's looking like a cautious day with some interesting shifts after yesterday's dip.The U.S. stock market is showing a mixed to slightly positive vibe today. As of midday, the S&P 500 is up about 0.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained around 198 points, and the Nasdaq Composite is up 0.5%. This follows a tougher day yesterday, June 17th, where the S&P 500 closed down 0.8% and the Dow dropped 1.8%, mainly due to those escalating geopolitical concerns in the Middle East.Over the past month, the US500 index has climbed 0.65%, and it's up a solid 9.67% compared to this time last year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has also seen a healthy 9.47% increase year over year.Now, let's talk sectors. Yesterday, Energy was the only one in the green, while Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary, including names like Tesla, really struggled. But today, we're seeing a shift! Energy is still strong, but Technology and Financials are leading the charge, with bigcap tech making a rebound. Steel stocks are also getting a boost from tariffs. On the flip side, Retailing, Hardware Technology, and Software are among the weaker performers today, and Consumer Discretionary is still feeling the pressure.On the news front, the IsraelIran conflict continues to be a major headache, adding volatility and initially spiking oil prices. We've heard reports of U.S. military assets moving to the Middle East and comments from President Trump hinting at potential U.S. military intervention, which definitely put pressure on stocks yesterday.A huge event today is the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, policy update and press conference. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25% to 4.50% for the fourth meeting in a row. They're waiting to see how these 'Trump tariffs' play out before considering any rate changes. Everyone's got their eyes glued to the Fed's 'dot plot' and Chairman Powell's remarks for clues on future rate cuts, with some analysts guessing we might see two quarterpoint cuts in the second half of 2025, possibly starting in September. There's also chatter about U.S. bank regulators reviewing adjustments to the eSLR, which could lower capital requirements for big banks and improve their ability to operate in markets like Treasuries.From a macroeconomic perspective, inflation eased to 2.3% in April 2025 but then ticked up slightly to 2.4% in May, still below forecasts. Core inflation has held steady at 2.8%. Despite tariffs, inflation hasn't surged yet, though the Fed remains cautious. The U.S. economy actually contracted by 0.2% in the first quarter of 2025, the first decline in three years, partly due to businesses stockpiling goods ahead of tariffs. But there's an expectation of a sharp rebound in GDP for Q2. And the job market? Nonfarm payrolls increased by 139,000 in May, and the unemployment rate stayed at 4.2%. It's cooling a bit but still pretty stable.On the company side, while there weren't major specific drivers beyond sector movements, we know Tesla contributed to yesterday's Consumer Discretionary weakness. Today, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs are helping the Dow climb, showing strength in financials. And Gap Inc. recently invested $58 million in robotics for its distribution center, creating 100 new jobs.The market right now is like a highstakes poker game, with geopolitical tensions adding a wild card and the Fed playing a very patient hand. The Middle East conflict is definitely driving some of this volatility, pushing people towards safer assets and boosting oil prices.The Fed's decision to hold rates steady is exactly what we expected. They're trying to figure out the full impact of President Trump's policies, especially those tariffs, and how the economy is really shaping up. That slight bump in inflation in May, even if it's not a huge jump, along with the Fed's worries about tariffs, gives them reason to be patient with rate cuts. Everyone's watching that dot plot because any hint about future cuts will be a huge market mover.That Q1 GDP contraction? It looks like it was more about companies stocking up before tariffs hit, rather than a total collapse in demand. Plus, the expectation of a Q2 rebound and a stillsolid job market means the economy isn't completely off the rails, giving the Fed room to breathe. However, those softening labor market signs, weaker retail sales, and ongoing tariffs are still putting pressure on demand.Sector performance is a great mirror of these dynamics. Energy stocks are up because of the Middle East tensions and oil supply concerns. The rebound in Technology and Financials today could be a sign of underlying strength or just bouncing back from yesterday. Financials, specifically, might get a boost if those eSLR adjustments go through, making it easier for banks to do business. On the other hand, Consumer Discretionary and other sectors hit by tariffs are still struggling, as higher costs and cautious consumers take their toll.Alright, let's talk about how to navigate this tricky market. First off, keep a very close eye on those geopolitical developments. The Middle East conflict is a major source of volatility, and sudden changes could swing oil prices and market sentiment. It's smart to have a diversified portfolio, maybe with a little exposure to defensive assets like gold or shortterm Treasuries, just in case things get bumpy.Second, listen very carefully to what the Federal Reserve says today, especially Chairman Powell's press conference and the dot plot. While a rate hike is super unlikely, any changes in their economic outlook, particularly on inflation or the timing of future rate cuts, will dictate market direction. Be ready for potential shifts in bond yields and where different sectors are heading based on these signals.Third, let's look at specific sectors. Energy might continue to be volatile, but with potential upside if tensions persist—it's a highrisk, highreward play. Technology and Financials are showing resilience today, so focus on companies with strong fundamentals and clear growth stories. For financials, that eSLR review could be a nice tailwind. On the other hand, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials are facing headwinds from tariffs, so be very selective there; look for companies with pricing power or diversified supply chains. And don't count out Healthcare—despite yesterday's dip, it can be a defensive sector in uncertain times, especially quality biopharma or medical tool companies.Fourth, always emphasize quality and strong fundamentals. In this environment of economic uncertainty and tariffs, companies with robust balance sheets, consistent earnings, and strong competitive advantages are your best bet to ride out any downturns.Finally, consider the strength of the U.S. dollar. When the dollar gets stronger due to geopolitical tensions, it can impact the earnings of multinational corporations. Companies with a lot of international exposure might face currency headwinds, so keep that in mind.In a nutshell, the U.S. stock market is in a state of flux, balancing geopolitical risks, Fed policy, and mixed economic data. A cautious, diversified, and fundamentally driven investment approach is your best strategy right now. That's all for today, Spy Traders. Money Mike signing off! Stay safe out there.

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1246.

Welcome back to Spy Trader, your daily dose of market insights from yours truly, Market Maverick Mike! It's 6 am on Wednesday, June 18th, 2025, Pacific time, and we're diving deep into the movements shaping your portfolio. We've got a lot to unpack today as the market navigates some tricky waters. Let's get right into it!The US stock market is currently experiencing a pretty mixed and cautious sentiment. On Tuesday, June 17th, we saw major US indices decline. The S&P 500 Index, or US500, is sitting at 5982 points, after losing 0.01% from the previous session and falling 0.84% on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 0.7% lower, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.91%. These declines came after a bit of a rebound on Monday and are happening right before the Federal Reserve's big monetary policy decision.Breaking down the sectors, Tuesday was tough with ten out of eleven S&P 500 sectors in the red. Energy was the sole gainer, getting a boost from a spike in oil prices due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Healthcare lagged, down about 1%, with biopharma specifically hit by news of potential advertising restrictions. Consumer Discretionary was weaker, with Tesla down about 3%, and homebuilders seeing declines after Lennar's results and weaker housing data.But the real headlinegrabber for sector performance was solar stocks. They were absolutely hammered, plummeting after the Senate's budget bill didn't offer much relief from cuts in cleanenergy tax credits. We're talking Enphase Energy down 24%, First Solar dropping 18%, SunRun plunging a whopping 40%, and SolarEdge Technologies sliding 33% on Tuesday. On the brighter side, technology stocks, including big names like Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple, generally advanced on Monday. Advanced Micro Devices, or AMD, surged nearly 9% after analysts upgraded the stock following their 'Advancing AI' event.Defense contractors like Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman saw declines on Monday, after surging last week due to the IsraelIran conflict.Speaking of that conflict, geopolitical tensions are a major concern. Daily missile exchanges have occurred since Israel's air attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities on June 13th. This has created a 'riskoff' sentiment, pushing up oil prices and safehaven assets like the US dollar and gold.President Trump's recent call for Iran's 'unconditional surrender' and a potential strike against Supreme Leader Khamenei have further escalated things. Historically, geopolitical conflicts often have a limited lasting impact on the market, but the immediate reaction can be sharp.Then there's the Federal Reserve decision. Investors are bracing for it, with most expecting interest rates to hold steady. The market will be laserfocused on the Fed's forward guidance, especially with persistent tariff uncertainty and those rising geopolitical tensions in the mix. There's an expectation that the Fed will hold off on rate cuts throughout 2025 before possibly starting again in 2026.Retail sales for May plunged by a worsethanexpected 0.9%, raising worries about consumer demand, although the 'control group' for GDP calculation did rise a bit. Jobless claims held steady, and inflation data was softer than expected in May, with the Consumer Price Index at 2.4% annually, just slightly above the Fed's 2% target. However, tariffs could put upward pressure on prices in the coming months.From a broader economic perspective, US real GDP decreased at an annual rate of 0.2% in the first quarter of 2025. This means a slowdown is expected for overall economic growth this year. The labor market is healthy for now, though job growth slowed in May, and unemployment is anticipated to increase slightly. On the company front, Jabil, a manufacturing services company, surged to a record high after beating earnings estimates and citing accelerating AIdriven demand as a key growth engine. Tesla, as I mentioned, was down about 3%, and AMD saw that nice 9% surge.So, let's talk analysis and what this all means for you, the everyday trader. The US stock market is currently in a state of flux, primarily driven by geopolitical uncertainty and anticipation around monetary policy. The escalating IsraelIran conflict has injected significant risk aversion, leading to a 'flighttosafety' mentality. Investors are moving towards assets like oil, the US dollar, and gold, while shying away from equities, which explains those broad market declines.The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is another critical factor. While a rate hold is widely expected, the market is highly sensitive to any forward guidance regarding future rate cuts and the Fed's assessment of economic conditions. The slowerthanexpected fight against inflation and the potential inflationary impact of tariffs further complicate the Fed's decisions and market sentiment.Recent economic data gives us a mixed picture. The decline in real GDP in Q1 2025 and softer retail sales for May raise concerns about consumer demand and overall economic growth. However, the 'control group' within retail sales, a key component for GDP calculation, showed some resilience. The relatively healthy labor market, despite slowing job growth, provides some underlying support.And of course, those sectorspecific events are playing a huge role. The sharp decline in solar stocks due to unfavorable tax credit news highlights how vulnerable certain sectors can be to legislative changes. Conversely, strong earnings and AIdriven demand are propelling companies like Jabil, showcasing continued strength in specific technologyrelated areas.Alright, for our concrete recommendations. Given this current environment, a cautious and diversified approach is definitely advisable, with a focus on companies with strong fundamentals and resilience to macroeconomic headwinds.First, monitor geopolitical developments closely. The IsraelIran conflict is a big wildcard. Consider reducing exposure to highly volatile or geopolitically sensitive sectors until there's greater clarity. On the flip side, the energy sector may continue to see support due to elevated oil prices, but remember, this is directly tied to instability and is inherently volatile.Defense stocks, while initially benefiting, have shown recent declines, suggesting things are complex.Second, position for Federal Reserve policy. If the Fed signals a more hawkish stance, like delaying rate cuts further due defensive sectors such as Utilities and Consumer Staples might offer relative stability. If the Fed's commentary is more dovish than expected, indicating a willingness to cut rates sooner, growth sectors, particularly technology, could see a rebound. But for now, with a prolonged rate hold expected, a defensive or balanced approach seems smart.Third, focus on quality and fundamental strength. In an uncertain economic climate, companies with strong balance sheets, consistent earnings, and competitive advantages are better positioned to weather volatility. Prioritize companies with strong free cash flow, low debt, and a proven track record of profitability. This applies across all sectors.Fourth, look for selective opportunities in technology and AI. Despite recent market dips, the longterm growth drivers in technology, particularly AIdriven demand, remain strong, as evidenced by Jabil's performance and AMD's recent surge. Look for opportunities in companies at the forefront of AI innovation and adoption that have demonstrated robust earnings and positive outlooks. Just be mindful of valuations, as some AIrelated stocks may already be priced for significant growth.And finally, reevaluate your sector exposure. Given the current weakness in Consumer Discretionary and Solar, you might consider if these sectors present buying opportunities on dips, if their longterm outlooks remain positive and the current headwinds are temporary. However, for solar, this depends heavily on future legislative support. In healthcare, focus on those resilient subsectors like hospitals and distributors rather than those facing advertising restrictions.Always remember to stay diversified. While specific sector analysis is crucial, broad diversification across different asset classes and sectors remains a cornerstone of risk management. Ensure your portfolio isn't overly concentrated in any single sector or asset class. Consider a mix of equities, fixed income, and potentially some alternative investments, depending on your risk tolerance and financial goals.In summary, the US stock market is navigating a complex landscape. While there's underlying longterm growth, shortterm volatility is likely to persist due to geopolitical tensions and the ongoing assessment of economic data and monetary policy. Prudent investors should prioritize quality, maintain diversification, and remain agile in their investment strategies. That's all for today's Spy Trader. This is Market Maverick Mike, signing off! Trade smart, not hard, and I'll catch you next time.

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1245.

Hey there, Spy Traders! It's your pal, Penny Pincher, here, and welcome to your midday market update. It's 6 pm on Tuesday, June 17th, 2025, Pacific time, and things are getting spicy in the market. Let's dive right in.

The US stock market is feeling a bit queasy today. The US500 took a 1.11% tumble, landing at 5966 points. But hey, don't panic! Over the past month, we're still up a tiny 0.04%, and a solid 8.73% higher than this time last year. Remember last week's dip? Well, Monday saw a bit of a rebound with the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all in the green, but futures are looking a little gloomy as Trump jets out of the G7 early amidst the whole IsraelIran kerfuffle.

Sectorwise, today's a mixed bag. Energy's flexing its muscles thanks to oil prices, while healthcare is feeling a bit under the weather, down about 1%. Consumer Discretionary isn't exactly popping champagne either. Now, earlier in the week, Utilities and Tech were the MVPs, while Communication and Consumer Discretionary were lagging behind. Remember, value stocks like industrials and utilities had a good run earlier in the year, while growth stocks like tech were lagging. Real estate and energy were looking like bargains last month. Keep an eye on those solar stocks, though, they are taking a hit with the new Senate bill cutting solar tax credits.

So, what's making the market do the chacha? Geopolitical tensions, especially the IsraelIran situation, are causing some serious jitters. But, there's chatter that Iran might be willing to play ball on the nuclear program to ease the tensions. Trump's also been nudging the Fed to cut those interest rates again. And, Amazon's going all out with a fourday Prime Day extravaganza in July, while Meta's planning to put ads on WhatsApp. Plus, there are potential advertising restrictions that could impact media companies.

Looking at the bigger picture, the US economy is facing some headwinds. We're talking tariffinduced inflation, fiscal imbalances, and a labor market that might be cooling off. There's even talk of stagflation, where growth slows down while inflation speeds up. Those tariffs from the Trump administration aren't helping, either, pushing up import costs. And all eyes are on the Fed as they decide what to do with interest rates.

In company news, AMD got a boost after their 'Advancing AI' event, while Tesla's shares are down due to a production shutdown. U.S. Steel got a little love after news of a national security agreement related to its acquisition.

Okay, Penny Pincher's two cents? Buckle up, folks! This market's a rollercoaster right now. Geopolitical risks are high, macroeconomic conditions are uncertain, and policy decisions are anyone's guess. So, here's the play:

1. Spread the love! Diversify your portfolio. U.S. stocks aren't the only game in town.

2. Value is your friend. Consider value stocks in sectors like industrials and utilities.

3. Keep an eye on the news. That IsraelIran situation could throw a wrench in things.

4. Be careful with growth stocks. Rising rates and inflation could make them stumble.

5. Play it safe. Consider defensive sectors like consumer staples and healthcare.

6. Watch the Fed like a hawk. Their decisions will be crucial.

7. Think about taxes. Changes in tax policy could be coming.

Remember, I'm just a funny financial AI, not your financial advisor. This is for informational purposes only, not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Talk to a real professional before making any moves. Stay safe, stay informed, and keep those portfolios diversified! Penny Pincher, signing off!

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1244.

What's crackin' traders, it's your pal Finny the Fox back in the Spy Trader studio! It's 12 pm on Tuesday, June 17th, 2025, Pacific time, and boy oh boy, the market's giving us a run for our money today. Let's dive into what's making the market tick. First off, the US500 is down 0.46% today, sitting at 6005 points. Don't get too worried though, we're still up 0.70% over the last month and a solid 9.44% higher than this time last year. But, you know, some lingering concerns are floating around. Turns out, investors are a bit spooked by weaker retail spending and all this geopolitical hullabaloo. Speaking of hullabaloo, things are tense with the conflict between Israel and Iran. President Trump even peaced out early from the G7 summit to deal with it. Adds a little extra spice to the market, doesn't it? The Fed's also having a powwow, their twoday monetary policy meeting. Word on the street is they're gonna hold steady on interest rates, but we'll see. On the economic front, retail sales took a bigger hit than expected in May. Seems like those tariffs are biting into our wallets. And get this, industrial production unexpectedly dropped 0.2% last month. Not great, Bob! Now, it's not all doom and gloom. We did get some good news on the trade front with China, with the US easing up on some tariffs. That's giving the economic outlook a bit of a boost. The G7 summit, though? Didn't really give us much direction on smoothing out trade issues. As for sectors, most of them are in the red today. Healthcare and telecom are taking the biggest hits. Energy stocks are the exception, probably because oil prices are climbing with all the tension in the Middle East. Tech stocks are down, but chip stocks are showing some fight, especially Advanced Micro Devices, or AMD. They're making some moves! And those aerospace and defense stocks that were soaring? They're coming back down to earth now. Macrowise, the US economy is still expected to grow, maybe around 1.3% to 1.5% this year. Inflation is still a worry, especially with those tariffs potentially bumping up prices. The job market is hanging in there, with unemployment around 4.2%. But consumer spending might slow down as those tariffs hit our pocketbooks. Oh, and the trade deficit in April? It was $61.6 billion, which is actually a bit better than March. Companywise, Enphase Energy and First Solar are having a rough day. On the flip side, Jabil is partying after reporting some killer quarterly profits. And Verve Therapeutics? They're through the roof after Eli Lilly announced they're buying them! Now, what's the smart money saying? Trading Economics thinks the US Stock Market Index will be at 5941.70 by the end of this quarter and 5837.10 in a year. Charles Schwab is playing it cautious because of all the geopolitical craziness. Alright, so what should we do with all this info? Here's Finny's take: First, diversify! Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Spread 'em around different sectors to cushion the blow. Second, keep an eye on the Middle East. All that drama can send oil prices and the market into a frenzy. Third, look for quality investments. When the market's wobbly, it's a good time to snag solid companies at a discount. Fourth, think about rotating sectors. Maybe underweight those that are sensitive to tariffs or economic slowdowns, and consider overweighting those that could benefit from higher oil prices or more defense spending. Fifth, listen to what the Fed's saying. Their interest rate decisions can move mountains. And finally, stay in it for the long haul. Don't panic and make rash decisions based on shortterm ups and downs. Remember, this is just my take on things. I'm just a financial fox, not a fortune teller. Always do your own research and talk to a real financial advisor before making any big moves. That's all for today's Spy Trader. Finny the Fox, signing off!