The State Of It

In this episode, David and Horatio dive into a fortnight of rapid global escalation that threatens to upend energy markets and western security.

As drone attacks target critical bypass pipelines in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, we ask if the world's last "workarounds" for oil are about to fail.

A look at the shock departure of Joe Kent and the growing internal fractures regarding U.S. involvement in the Middle East.

While the West is fixated on Iran, an "open war" has broken out between Pakistan and Afghanistan. We discuss the conflicting narratives, the collapse of diplomacy, and why this border could be the world's most dangerous oversight.

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If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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David and Horatio discuss the escalation in the regional Iranian war. Going into depth about where and when this began and how this conflict may look in the coming months and years. 

We also go over the other current conflicts in the globe right now, Pakistan and Afghanistan and Russia and Ukraine. Mentioning the complex dynamics that are involved in these very different but interlinked situations. 

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Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

Instagram            @Murrinraw

Youtube                David Murrin - YouTube

If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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Horatio and David discuss the past, present and possible future of maritime power. David talks about how and why the Britain rose to dominate the waves in the 18th and 19th centuries, the pivotal lessons from that naval strategy, and the subsequent decline of Western naval supremacy.

Horatio also takes the conversation onto the present and future. Discussing the critical maritime power shift, driven by China’s shipbuilding capabilities. Pivoting also towards modern technologies such as quantum tech and drones and how they might impact navies and modern warfare. Thus pressing the west to overcome the sea blindness that we are currently experiencing before it gets too late to regain a foot in global sea power.

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 Find us on:

Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

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Youtube                David Murrin - YouTube

If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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Horatio and David discuss current UK politics. David argues that Labour’s credibility has been damaged by Angela Rayner’s resignation and Starmer’s handling of it, and that internal Left–Centre tensions are widening. He is scathing about David Lammy’s promotion and predicts Reform UK will overtake Labour well before 2029 due to a looming financial crisis and public disillusionment with both major parties. 

He criticises Starmer’s leadership, the Chagos decision, and the choice of Mandelson, and says UK defence is dangerously under-resourced and over-reliant on US enablers. He argues for missile defence and a stronger nuclear triad. Finally, he predicts a UK-led Western debt crisis driven by commodity-led inflation and policy missteps by Rachel Reeves.

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Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

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If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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In the third episode of the State of it podcast, Horatio and David Murrin discuss a shifting world order: a declining, alliance-strained U.S.-led West versus a rising, industrially scaled China at the centre of an “axis of autocracy.” David argues China has converted economic weight into military power (missiles, drones, hypersonics), created large anti-access/area-denial zones, and now holds the upper hand.

David foresees a decade-long global conflict cycle unless the West urgently mobilises industrially and militarily, coheres alliances, and creates a “firebreak” by decisively backing Ukraine. India and Turkey are portrayed as pivotal fence-sitters; Taiwan is the likeliest trigger, potentially cascading into a wider Pacific war. Murrin is sharply critical of Western leadership—especially Trump—for fragmenting alliances and slowing the response.

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 Find us on:

Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

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If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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In the second episode of Season 5 of the State of it podcast, David and Horatio talk about the state of the Iran Israel conflict and how it may expand into a much larger conflict than what people currently believe.

Get a better understanding of whats really happening in the world. 

Find us on:

Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

Instagram            @Murrinraw

Youtube                David Murrin - YouTube

If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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In the first episode of Season 5, David and Horatio talk about the current state of the world during a tough and confusing time where much too much is going on. Get a better understanding of whats really happening in the world. 

Find us on:

Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

Instagram            @Murrinraw

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If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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In this episode David and Winston continue their conversation concerning the fleets of Pacific nations. The questions under investigation include: Are light carriers effective at power projection? Are frigates genuinely effective in modern naval warfare, or are they inferior to destroyers? Is the Taiwanese Navy disadvantaged through it's reliance on patrol boats? What is the quality of these Navies like? How well would these three nations be able to cooperate in a conflict?

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Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

Twitter                  @Globalforecastr

Youtube                David Murrin - YouTube

If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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Winston and David evaluate and compare the Navies of America and China (with some focus on other aspects of their respective military capabilities). Within the episode a myriad of questions are explored: How would the USN negate missile attacks from mainland China during a conflict? What would be the outcome of a prolonged naval war in the Pacific? What does the shipbuilding capacity of America and China mean for a possible future war? What does the future of naval warfare look like?  What is the effect of extended lines of communication in a Western Pacific American war effort? 

Find us on:

Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster

Twitter                  @Globalforecastr

Youtube                David Murrin - YouTube

If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

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In this first episode of Season 4 David and Winston discuss developments in the situation on the ground in Ukraine. This includes possibilities for a summer offensive as well as the current state of the conflict. The discussion expands to include the wider geopolitical situation and the countries from which both Russia and Ukraine are deriving their main support.

Find us on:
Website                Official website of David Murrin - Global Forecaster
Twitter                  @Globalforecastr
Youtube                David Murrin - YouTube

If you have any questions that you would like David to answer on the podcast, please email David through his website. 

If you like our content, please feel free to follow us and leave a review.

Support the show