The Stinger

Covering potential bets and Playoff matchups. Rants on Why the colts missed the playoffs and Brandon Staley. What did their loss really rob all of us of? (A Josh Allen/Justin Herbert Playoff Game).

30-16-1 on the year (Pro Picks) 41-30-1 overall

Week 17 Picks: 3-2

Wins: Tennessee -3.5 vs Miami (Won 34-3), Pittsburgh +3.5 vs. Cleveland (won 26-14), Under 37.5 in Carolina Vs, New Orleans (28 pts scored)

Lost: Detroit +7.5 vs. Seattle (lost 51-29) and Denver +7.5 vs LAC (lost 34-13)

Talking about where i went right to start the year to what actually happened. Right mostly but whiffed big on a few teams. (Unless you were a fan of the team: No body guessed, Cincinatti, Philly and Arizona were going to be this good.) Maybe you guessed Philly (Mike Scarlett). I did have Seattle out of the playoffs to start the year, but did not think they would be this bad.

Betting This year 37-28-1 overall (27-14-1 on pro bets)

Last week: 4-0-1

Won: Colts +5, Miami +3 or -2.5 whatever number you got, Under 39.5 in Miami/New Orleans game (23 pts), Under 42 in Las Vegas/Denver (30 pts)

TIed: Detroit +4 (lost 20-16 to Atlanta)

Acknowledging things i was wrong about. Staley and Harbaugh comparison.

33-28 on the year (23-14 on pro bets). Removed Washington +9.5 from bets due to Covid

Last week:

Won: Houston +4 against Jacksonville

Lost: Atlanta +9.5 (lost 33-13, with two red zone eggs), New England +2.5 (Went with the squares and lost, 1-3 on square bets this year: LAR October 31st -14.5 vs. Houston), Under 41.5 in Miami/New York Jets (scored 55 pts.)

Learned my lesson having 7 bets on the board. Trimmed it to 5. Pro vs. Joe game insight. Why I'm taking the Joe side and the sharps just overthink this one. (NE/Indy)

Year:32-25 (22-11 pro bets)

Last week: 3-4 (All Pro)

Won: Seattle -7.5 vs Houston (33-13), Over of 53 in Buffalo/TB, Under of 44 in New York Jets/New Orleans

Lost: Buffalo +3 vs. Tampa (lost 33-27 in OT), Las vegas +10 at KC (lost 48-9: worst bet of the year), Detroit +9.5 against Denver (lost 38-10), Lost the under of 43.5 in Denver/Detroit

Sean Mcdermott, Brandon Staley, Vic Fangio. Everyone has given too much respect to Andy Reid. And because of Tom Brady's success without Belichick. Forgot about him and that's a mistake.

29-21 on the year (19-7 pro)

Pro Picks Last week: 5-1

Won: Detroit +7.5, Arizona -7, Over 45 in Philly/NYJ, Over 48 in Cincy/LAC, Miami -2.5

Lost: Denver +9.5

Went 4-4 last week, 24-20 on the year, 14-6 pro picks, 10-14 college picks. I am done betting college, I do not watch the games enough to pick them accurately and will stay away unless there is one that stands out to me.

Lost:

Rutgers +1.5 got blown out by Maryland, UNLV +18 got blown out by Airforce, UTEP +13.5 got blown out by UAB, Steelers +4.5 got blown out by The Bengals

Won:

Cincinnati (Bearcats) -14, The Over of 45 Steelers and Bengals (51 pts. scored), Buffalo -5.5, Denver +3

20-16 on the year (10-5 pro picks).

Wise guys were right about Houston and Pittsburgh. Two bets i would have stayed away from. I'm 1-2 on "square" bets so far. So If I bet square, don't bet it.

Last week went 4-4

Won: MIami -3.5 over New York Jets (Miami won 24-17), Indianapolis +7 over Buffalo (Indy won 41-15), Minnesota +1.5 over Greenbay (Minn won 34-31), Umass +37 over Army (UMASS Lost by 16, 33-17).

Lost: New York Giants +12.5 over Tampa bay (NYG Lost 30-10), New Orleans +3 over Philly (New Orleans lost 40-29), SMU +10.5 over Cincinnati (SMU Lost 48-14), Michigan State +19 against Ohio State (MSU lost 56-7).

Vrabel, Payton and Reid. Things do well and things they don't do well. Betting lines for pro and college. What to look for when you're betting. Currently 8-6 on record. 

Last week went 2-1 pro (Tampa bay -5: Lost to New Orleans, Giants +10: lost by 3, LA Rams -14.5: beat Houston)

Went 2-2 in college (Stanford -2: lost to UW, Fresno +1.5: Won by 10, Buffalo -12.5 lost to Bowling green by 12, Tulane +25.5: lost by 19 to #2 Cincy). 

Bowling green was an anomaly and hadn't scored more than 27 all year. Ok to lose that one.