Is there a formula to predict the future? Not just the future, but THE INEVITABLE? Here's my draft. It challenges everything we believe about ideas, innovation & our future. And explains why Elon Musk and Donald Trump are powerless against fate. But we are not. A feast for your imagination...with a few halfway-decent jokes sprinkled in.
Links from the episode:
Mike Bloomberg energy editorial
Who killed the electric car? documentary
Calestous Jumaâs excellent book âInnovation and Its Enemies: Why People Resist New Technologiesâ
Amy Schumer, thief? You decide.
 -> Hyperloop?
Why Even Musk Can't Trump The Inevitable
I started thinking about inevitability when President Trump signed an executive order to consummate his weird love affair with âclean coalâ. Trying to breathe life into their black lungs is like me trying to impregnate Betty White. Not happening, no matter how I phrase the consent form. (Iâm not her type. Word on the street is sheâs really into Shaq.) Coal is never coming back. Neither are typewriters, VHS tapes, or Cato Cailin. As Mike Bloomberg explained in the New York Times, alternative fuels have already won. Wind, solar and hydro are cheaper, cleaner, and in-demand. Entire countries like Germany, are almost completely converted. Hell, Kentuckyâs Coal Museum runs on solar! You canât make this stuff up! So, no matter what Trump does, clean fuels are inevitable. But so is everything else.
Then I started thinking about all the other battles we're fighting right now.
Taxis versus Uber
China against free speech, or basically any kind of freedom
Islamic fundamentalists versus women. Working or voting or pretty much doing anything outside the house.
Vegans vs carnivores
Robots/AI vs workers
Climate skeptics vs climate fixers
Health insured vs uninsured
Pro-gun vs anti-gun
Pro-pot vs hardliners
CRISPR superbabies vs regular dumb babies
What if every one of these outcomes, policies and innovations is both foreseeable and inevitable. Just like renewable energy.
I even created a formula that could help predict all this. How to predict the future; all the things that cannot be denied. I call it the 3Iâs of Inevitability, which is really weird, considering that inevitability literally has four Iâs in it. I didn't say I was finished. Or damn mathematician.
Actually, there is a fourth âiâ. That's something I'll leave you a hint at the end - and reveal over the course of this season of The McFuture. Iâd be curious to see if you can guess it.
Hot Tub Time Machine
First, hop into my Hot Tub Time Machine. We're going to the year 1788. To visit Thomas Jefferson, you know the wise founding fatherâŠand slave owner. What do you think would happen if you and I sat down on his super uncomfortable couch and asked, âHey Tom, do you think your great grandkids are still going to own slaves to work your fields for free?â
Take a second. What do you think he'd say?
Now let's jump back into the hot tub. We're going to go to the year 1900. And all these American dudes are casting ballads for President William McKinley versus William Jennings Bryan. Two big Willie's. What percentage of these guys, if you ask them, would think women - who are half the population and half of their own households - would still not be allowed to vote in let's say, 50 years? Or 100? or 200?
The Founding Fathers based the Constitution on freedom and equality. They knew slavery was wrong. Same goes for American men in the late 1800âs. They knew that if Europeans couldnât keep women away from polls, neither would they.
Even when they didnât create them, beneficiaries of lopsided rules are fully aware of their good fortune. How could they not be? Deep down, every single person with some sort of advantage, knows it won't last. What they don't know is exactly when or how our luck will run out. Might be a warning shot, like a wikileak or billion-dollar dick pic. Or,