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Donald Trump took his free-wheeling stand-up-style routine to a Poconos casino, offering jokes, jabs, and a rosy portrait of the economy that doesn’t quite square with the data. From the pencil rant to the choreographed “Lower Prices, Higher Paychecks” signs behind him, the spectacle contrasts sharply with rising bankruptcies, soaring debt, shaky consumer confidence, and signs of a coming electoral backlash. This breakdown cuts through the spin, the slogans, and the stagecraft to look at what’s actually happening—and why even some conservative voices are sounding the alarm.