As we head into the final stretch of 2026, investors are navigating a market shaped by strong corporate earnings, resilient economic data, stubborn inflation, and elevated interest rates. In this episode, we look beneath the headlines at recent market performance, volatility, valuations, employment trends, and what the Federal Reserve may be watching next. We also explore what history can—and cannot—tell us about market behavior during midterm election years.
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Key Topics
-Recent stock market performance and the current low-volatility environment
-Whether today’s market appears overextended or in a bubble
-Understanding stock valuations and price-to-earnings ratios
-Why strong corporate earnings continue to support current market prices
-The risks created by increasingly high earnings expectations
-Recent employment data and what it may mean for the Federal Reserve
-How rising prices and interest rates are affecting the economy and the market
-What history shows about markets during midterm election years
-Why political outcomes should not drive long-term investment decisions
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Chapters
00:00 September 2026 market update
3:46 Market volatility and the VIX
5:13 Are markets overextended?
8:21 Understanding stock valuations and Price-to-Earnings ratios
9:24 Corporate earnings and market fundamentals
11:34 Exceptional earnings growth in 2026
15:02 The risk of elevated earnings expectations
16:10 Employment, inflation, and the Federal Reserve
18:49 Understanding the Fed’s dual mandate
23:55 Midterm elections and historical market trends
25:22 Why politics should not drive investment decisions
27:04 Closing thoughts and resources
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John Moore Associates | Arizona
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Scottsdale, AZ 85260
Phone: 480.565.6100
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Albuquerque, NM 87113
Phone: 505.881.5100
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John Moore & Associates Inc. is registered as an investment advisor with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. The information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities or investment advisory services. Additionally, the information presented is believed to be factual and up to date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. Nothing discussed should be interpreted to state or imply that past performance is an indication of future performance. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Registration of an investment adviser does not imply a certain level of skill or training.