Thinking in Markets

Thinking in Markets

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Thinking in Markets episodes

  • S1E42 - When Gold Stops Obeying Real Yields

    Gold is supposed to struggle when real yields stay high, yet 2025 gave investors a very different picture. Michelle and Vox unpack why gold and silver can keep rising when the usual macro signal stops doing most of the explaining, and what that means for portfolio thinking.

    7 min
  • S1E41 - One Metal, Four Minds

    Gold can look like a hedge, a trade, a bubble, or a dead asset, depending on who is looking at it. Michelle and Vox use Warren Buffett, Ray Dalio, Stanley Druckenmiller, and George Soros to show how the same metal fits very different investing frameworks, and why retail investors often confuse them.

    9 min
  • S1E40 - Why Crypto Falls Twice

    A violent crypto rebound can feel like relief, but relief is not always repair. Michelle and Vox unpack the difference between forced liquidation, short squeezes, and the slower loss of conviction that can pull BTC, ETH, and especially altcoins back toward trouble even after a sharp bounce.

    11 min
  • S1E39 - Why Gold Stays Small in a Pension Portfolio

    Gold gets a great deal of attention when markets feel uneasy, but large U.S. pension funds usually keep it at the edge of the portfolio. Michelle and Vox unpack why liabilities, cash flow needs, governance, and portfolio construction make gold and especially silver a much smaller institutional bet than many retail investors expect.

    7 min
  • S1E38 - Who Pays Is Not the Whole Story

    Michelle and Vox unpack a tariff debate that sounds simple but usually is not. By the end, listeners will understand why the share of a tariff paid through higher U.S. prices is not the same thing as the full economic cost once import volumes, exemptions, and supply-chain shifts enter the picture.

    9 min
  • S1E37 - When a Jobs Report Counts Jobs, Not People

    A weak payroll number can make the labor market look worse than it is, or at least different from what many listeners think it measures. Michelle and Vox unpack the February 2026 U.S. jobs report to show why payrolls, participation, and wages can move in ways that seem contradictory when they are really counting different things.

    7 min
  • S1E36 - When a Zero Mark Is Not the Whole Loss

    A private loan marked to zero sounds final, but the real investing question is who actually takes the loss and how the fund wrapper handles stress. Michelle and Vox use the recent private-credit turmoil around BlackRock, Blackstone, Apollo, and listed lending vehicles to explain valuation marks, redemption caps, and why liquidity terms matter as much as yield.

    9 min
  • S1E35 - When the AI Agent Replaces the Queue, Not the Department

    Customer service is where agentic AI looks most real, but the labor story is less dramatic than the sales pitch. Michelle and Vox unpack why routine tickets can disappear fast while headcount, trust, and complex cases move much more slowly, and what investors should watch in software, BPOs, and service-heavy businesses.

    9 min
  • S1E34 - When the Model Stops Being the Moat

    AI still gets discussed as if the model is the whole business. Michelle and Vox take a quieter view and explain why workflow, private data, and control may become the real source of value, and why that matters for investors over the next few years.

    7 min
  • S1E33 - When Easy Money Misses Main Street

    A large Fed balance sheet can make financing feel easier in markets without making small-business credit easier on the ground. Michelle and Vox unpack reserves, asset prices, and bank lending so retail investors can see why Wall Street and Main Street do not respond to policy in the same way.

    9 min

About Thinking in Markets

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Thinking in Markets focuses on the structure behind global markets — time, liquidity, and the interaction between futures and cash sessions. From macro instruments like rates and FX to equities across…