My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

Leans in order
Chief Wallabee
Renegade
Further Ado
Commandment
The Puma
Potente

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My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

MLB
TEX +100
MIL -1.5 +110
LAD -1.5 -105
KC/SEA Under 7 -103

Toadstool Sports (May 1): Rough Day Recap + MLB Best Bets (Rangers ML, Brewers RL, Dodgers RL, KC/SEA Under) + NHL/NBA Leans

Toad opens the May 1 episode after a brutal prior day, recapping a strange Astros/Orioles doubleheader result, venting about the Celtics forcing another Game 7 with Jayson Tatum’s calf injury, and noting a Ducks win as hockey playoff results improve. He previews the MLB slate, passing on D-backs/Cubs, then gives four official plays: Texas Rangers moneyline (+100) vs Detroit, Brewers -1.5 (+110) at Washington behind a major starting-pitching edge, Dodgers -1.5 (about -105) at St. Louis in a bounce-back/rest spot, and Royals/Mariners under 7 with Ragans vs Wu. He also discusses several other matchups (including rest/travel and bullpen usage), leans such as White Sox 1st 5 vs Padres and Blue Jays/Twins over, and closes with NHL and NBA playoff thoughts and show plugs.

00:00 Cold Open Hold On
01:27 Show Intro Bad Beats
01:50 Astros Doubleheader Recap
02:59 Celtics Collapse Rant
05:20 Hockey Playoffs Check In
06:13 Chat Sixers Flop Hate
07:37 Today Card Setup
08:15 Cubs Diamondbacks Breakdown
14:26 Best Bet Rangers Moneyline
21:35 Pirates Reds Handicapping
28:02 Brewers Run Line Play
34:26 Doubleheader Fade Angles
35:03 Yankees Orioles Spot
40:02 Astros Red Sox Preview
42:23 Red Sox Starter Mystery
44:40 Bullpen Edge Team Total
47:05 Phillies Marlins Spot
48:29 First Five Under Lean
51:51 Giants Rays Rest Angle
53:58 Ray vs McClanahan Breakdown
58:34 Blue Jays Twins Over
01:03:03 Dodgers Run Line Play
01:06:30 Sheehan vs Liberatore
01:12:47 Braves Rockies Coors Read
01:19:54 Mets Angels Pitching Mystery
01:26:34 White Sox Padres Breakdown
01:27:27 Bullpen and Offense Edges
01:28:52 Noah Schultz First Five Lean
01:30:23 Fading Marquez at Home
01:32:18 Guardians Athletics Matchup
01:33:36 Cantillo vs Ginn Pitching Angles
01:36:39 First Five Under and Side Lean
01:37:57 Royals Mariners Under 7
01:40:28 Ragans and Wu Pitching Case
01:45:05 NHL Playoff Leans
01:45:14 Lightning Canadiens Elimination Game
01:48:17 Bruins Sabres Home Spot
01:50:04 Golden Knights Closeout Talk
01:53:34 NBA Playoff Slate
01:53:40 Pistons Magic Game Six
01:56:44 Raptors Cavs Betting Value
02:00:47 Lakers Rockets Zigzag Angle
02:05:37 Final Card and Sign Off

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
BOS -6

NHL
ANA +110

MLB
HOU (G1 - Lambert v Bassitt, Pitchers Must Start) F5 +100

April 30 Betting Picks: Astros F5 (Game 1), Ducks ML, Celtics -6 | MLB Doubleheaders Breakdown

Toad opens by venting about a brutal betting slump, then gives his Thursday, April 30 card across MLB, NHL, and NBA. He recaps an easy Yankees/Rangers under win and a Cavaliers spread loss, mentions Red Sox pitching injuries, and notes Philadelphia fired its manager. On the MLB slate—complicated by rainouts and doubleheaders—his only official baseball play is Houston Astros first five innings moneyline in Game 1 vs Baltimore (Lambert vs Bassitt), emphasizing “listed pitchers must start” and fading Houston’s bullpen. He leans through other matchups including Tigers/Braves, Giants/Phillies doubleheader, Pirates with Paul Skenes, and more. In hockey he plays Anaheim moneyline vs Edmonton. In the NBA he backs Celtics -6 at Philadelphia, with additional leans on Hawks and an under in Nuggets/Timberwolves.

00:00 Slump Spiral Montage
01:34 Show Intro and Recap
05:01 Detroit Atlanta Breakdown
10:00 Doubleheader Setup
11:26 Astros Orioles Game One Pick
16:06 Astros Orioles Game Two Lean
19:29 Giants Phillies Game One
23:37 Giants Phillies Game Two Mystery
28:27 Cardinals Pirates Skenes Day
33:18 Rockies Reds Total Talk
38:41 Nationals Mets Blowout Recap
39:29 Philly Manager Spark
40:19 Mets Nationals Breakdown
43:48 Mets Team Total Angle
44:59 Dbacks Brewers Pitching
49:08 Royals As Total Debate
53:44 Jays Twins First Five
59:23 Hockey Series Setup
01:01:57 Ducks Upset Pick
01:05:41 NBA Hawks Lean
01:09:02 Celtics Bounce Back Bet
01:13:23 Nuggets Wolves Under Lean
01:18:44 Wrap Up Plays And Plugs

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
CLE -9

MLB
NYY/TEX Under 8.5 -105
HOU F5 +102

MLB Picks: Yankees/Rangers Under + Astros F5 | NBA Playoffs: Cavs Bounce-Back

Toad opens by venting about recent slumps, then recaps going 3-0 on the previous show with wins on the St. Louis–Pittsburgh over, Mariners full game, and Bruins low-scoring play. He notes market-percentage data issues and outlines his approach of straight betting rather than parlays. For April 29, he gives two MLB plays and one NBA play: Yankees–Rangers under 8.5 (citing Texas’ strong under trends at home, pitching matchup with Eovaldi and Yankees debutant Elmer Rodriguez, and bullpens) and Astros first five moneyline vs. Baltimore (backing Peter Lambert over struggling Chris Bassitt while avoiding Houston’s bullpen). His NBA play is Cavaliers minus the points vs. Toronto, expecting a home bounce-back and offensive regression. He also discusses several lean-only games, quick NHL thoughts, and plugs his social channels, podcasts, and upcoming Derby and NFL win totals content.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Montage
01:32 Show Intro and Recap
03:46 Today Card and Process
05:03 Betting Strategy and Parlays
06:03 Rays vs Guardians Breakdown
11:29 Angels vs White Sox Pass
15:43 Mariners vs Twins Read
19:15 Play Under Yankees Rangers
27:03 Red Sox Jays Over Lean
32:23 Marlins Dodgers Preview
35:51 Dodgers Run Line Debate
37:09 Cubs Padres Series Breakdown
40:26 Waldron Knuckleball Angle
43:16 Astros First Five Play
49:26 Rockies Reds Lean
54:15 Giants Phillies Pitching Edge
59:18 Break Then Cardinals Pirates
01:05:18 Nationals Mets First Five
01:09:31 Tigers Braves Bullpen Edge
01:10:23 Braves Tigers Breakdown
01:12:15 Atlanta Underdog Lean
01:13:58 Diamondbacks Brewers Preview
01:15:14 E Rod vs Sprout Angles
01:18:02 Royals Athletics Over Spot
01:19:29 Waka vs Severino Picks
01:24:01 NHL Slate Market Reads
01:24:07 Lightning Canadiens Series
01:25:56 Flyers Closeout Talk
01:27:47 Golden Knights Home Edge
01:29:23 NBA Magic Pistons Leans
01:33:22 Cavs Bounceback Play
01:37:43 Rockets Lakers Injury Math
01:41:05 Final Card and Signoff

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NHL
BOS +1.5 -175 / +145

MLB
STL/PIT Over 8.5 +100
SEA -125

Toad Stool Sports: Slump Rant + Picks (Apr 28) — Mariners ML, Cardinals/Pirates Over, Bruins Puck Line

Toad opens in frustration over a prolonged betting slump, then recaps going 1–2 the previous day, noting missed “leans” (Red Sox, Nuggets team total) and a narrow Vegas OT win while other plays failed. He breaks down the MLB slate with situational and pitching notes across multiple games, ultimately adding Cardinals vs. Pirates over 8.5 (action, due to Pittsburgh’s uncertain starter and heavy bullpen usage) and locking in Mariners moneyline (fading Joe Ryan, citing Seattle’s bullpen edge and strong Gilbert matchup history vs. Minnesota). He skips NBA plays, gives opinions on Celtics–76ers, Hawks–Knicks, and Spurs–Blazers, and makes an NHL play on the Bruins using a split “make your own” +1.5 puck line with a moneyline sprinkle against heavily public Buffalo. He closes with plugs for social, audio, Loser Cast, and upcoming Kentucky Derby content.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:32 Show Intro and Recap
03:15 Today’s Card Setup
03:50 Rays vs Guardians Breakdown
08:12 Astros vs Orioles Preview
11:47 Rockies vs Reds Pitching Edge
15:28 Giants vs Phillies No Play
21:10 Cards vs Pirates Total Play
25:59 Red Sox vs Blue Jays Young Arms
31:13 Nationals vs Mets Bounce Back Spot
36:03 Tigers vs Braves Lean Detroit
41:18 Angels vs White Sox First Five Under
46:09 Dbacks vs Brewers Travel Angle
47:48 Kelly vs Brewers Breakdown
48:59 Patrick vs Arizona Uncertainty
50:02 Stay Away Lean Brewers
53:28 Seattle Pick After Slump
56:10 Gilbert vs Ryan Matchups
59:27 Yankees Rangers Pitching Duel
01:03:40 Cubs Padres Pitching Edge
01:07:40 Royals A's Travel Spot
01:11:17 Marlins Dodgers Ohtani Start
01:16:07 Bruins Elimination Bet
01:20:34 Stars Wild Game Five Lean
01:22:40 Oilers Bounceback Angle
01:25:13 NBA Closeouts And Leans
01:33:59 Final Plays And Signoff

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
DET -3

NHL
VGK -115

MLB
CHC/SD Under 8 -110

MLB Picks & Playoff Bets (Cubs/Padres Under 8, Vegas Knights ML, Pistons -3) | ToadStool Sports 4/27

Toad opens by venting about a brutal slump, then recaps going 1–1 yesterday to keep a strong overall run intact. He breaks down Monday’s lighter MLB slate with situational angles (travel, sweeps, bullpen usage) and leans including Cleveland over Tampa, Anaheim over the White Sox, a Seattle/Minnesota first-five under look, and value on the Red Sox as a dog against Toronto, plus an under lean in Yankees/Rangers. His official MLB best bet is Cubs/Padres Under 8, citing San Diego’s return from Mexico City, a pitcher-friendly park, solid bullpens, and confidence in Boyd/Vazquez. In the NHL, he backs Vegas Knights moneyline to bounce back versus Utah. In the NBA, his play is Pistons -3 vs Magic in Game 4, with additional thoughts on Thunder/Suns and an over/nuggets team total idea in Nuggets–Timberwolves amid injuries.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open
01:33 Reset and Recap
02:57 Today’s Betting Card
03:42 Rays vs Guardians Breakdown
08:33 Cardinals vs Pirates Spot
14:05 Red Sox at Blue Jays Angle
20:05 Angels vs White Sox Lean
25:53 Mariners vs Twins Total Talk
32:24 Yankees at Rangers Preview
36:06 Yankees Rangers Under
36:56 Cubs Padres Travel Spot
40:07 Pitching Bullpen Breakdown
41:17 Boyd vs Vazquez Matchups
45:02 Marlins Dodgers Prop Angle
53:00 NHL Picks Vegas Bounceback
58:54 NBA Pistons Zigzag Play
01:02:13 Thunder Suns No Read
01:05:07 Nuggets Wolves Injury Chaos
01:09:07 Final Picks Outro

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
CLE -3.5

MLB
MIL -120

MLB & NBA Picks (Apr 26): Brewers ML to Avoid the Sweep + Cavaliers Bounce-Back Playoffs Bet

Toad opens the show venting about a severe betting slump, then recaps yesterday’s mixed results across MLB and the NBA playoffs, including Seattle cashing despite a poor Brian Woo start, the White Sox failing to score, and Denver’s fourth-quarter collapse versus Minnesota while praising Oklahoma City’s outlook. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen usage, pitching stats, market ticket/cash splits, and situational angles like teams avoiding sweeps, noting the Red Sox’s 17–1 win and Alex Cora’s firing, plus a Mets–Rockies doubleheader. His only MLB bet is Milwaukee moneyline (-120) versus Pittsburgh. He discusses several NHL playoff games but ultimately passes on a hockey play. In the NBA, his featured wager is Cavaliers -3.5/-4 to bounce back after Toronto’s outlier shooting, and he gives leans on other playoff games.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Intro
01:33 Recapping Yesterday’s Bets
04:48 Red Sox Reset After Cora Fired
12:53 Phillies Braves Pitching Breakdown
18:16 Guardians Blue Jays No Play
22:53 Mets Rockies Doubleheader Angles
32:28 Tigers Reds Avoiding the Sweep
37:34 Twins Rays Sweep Spot Preview
41:19 Twins Rays Fade Pitching
42:28 Yankees Astros Sweep Spot
46:20 Brewers Pick To Avoid Sweep
52:24 Nationals White Sox Bullpen Game
58:34 Mariners Cardinals Motivation
01:04:59 Athletics Rangers Divisional Clash
00:03 Brutal Slump Rant Reset
01:12:30 Marlins Giants Side And Total
01:18:49 Padres Dbacks Mexico City Total
01:21:14 Padres vs Dbacks Mexico City
01:23:32 Cubs Dodgers Rubber Match
01:27:52 Angels Royals Peacock Nightcap
01:32:15 Rays Pitching Change Fallout
01:34:19 NHL Card No Official Play
01:35:38 Bruins Sabres Home Bounce
01:37:04 Avalanche Kings Series Read
01:39:52 Lightning Canadiens Lean
01:41:24 Oilers Ducks High Total
01:43:31 NBA Best Bet Cavs Bounceback
01:47:28 Spurs Blazers Injury Theory
01:49:52 Celtics Sixers Game Plan
01:52:40 Rockets Avoid The Sweep
01:58:03 Final Plays And Signoff

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
DET/ORL Over 213.5
DEN -1

MLB
SEA -145
CWS F5 -145

Toad Stool Sports (Apr 25): MLB Picks (Mariners ML, White Sox F5) + NBA Plays (Pistons/Magic Over, Nuggets -1)

Toad opens by venting about a brutal betting slump before recapping a 3–0 day and stressing the importance of getting the best line. He skips hockey betting again due to lack of clear zigzag spots, then breaks down the MLB slate with matchup, bullpen, and market/ticket splits, including discussion of Red Sox–Orioles (leaning under), Mariners–Cardinals (official play: Seattle moneyline behind Brian Woo vs Matthew Liberatore), and White Sox–Nationals (official play: White Sox first five moneyline backing rookie Noah Schultz vs Jake Irvin while avoiding bad bullpens). He also touches on other games, Mexico City’s high-elevation Padres–Diamondbacks spot, and various leans. For the NBA playoffs he gives two plays: Pistons–Magic over (expecting shooting/free-throw regression) and Nuggets -1 vs Timberwolves as a zigzag bounce-back after a blowout, then closes with show plugs.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Montage
01:33 Back on a Heater
04:02 Today’s Card Setup
05:16 Red Sox Orioles Breakdown
11:41 Seattle Moneyline Pick
16:26 Seinfeld Detour
17:00 Guardians Blue Jays Lean
21:48 Marlins Giants Pitching Duel
26:49 Mets Rainout and Rant
27:37 Twins Rays Uncertain Read
33:32 White Sox First Five Play
41:53 Murakami Signing Talk
42:22 Mexico City Series Setup
44:53 Pitching Matchups Breakdown
47:57 Total and Side Leans
49:52 Athletics at Rangers
56:36 Angels at Royals Mystery
01:04:34 Mexico City History Check
01:08:39 Draft Detour Then Back
01:09:43 Yankees at Astros Over Angle
01:17:26 Pirates at Brewers Bounceback
01:23:50 Tigers at Reds Preview
01:26:40 Tigers Reds Total Talk
01:27:59 Phillies Braves Breakdown
01:28:56 Wheeler Return Questions
01:32:12 Market Leans And Totals
01:33:33 Cubs Dodgers Pitching
01:36:53 Dodgers Fade Over Lean
01:38:51 Hockey Playoff Leans
01:46:41 NBA Picks And Angles
01:47:39 Pistons Magic Over
01:53:27 Thunder Suns Zigzag
01:55:52 Knicks Hawks Regression
01:59:50 Nuggets Bounce Back
02:05:33 Plays Recap And Signoff
02:06:31 Extra Plugs And Chatter
02:10:04 Netflix Beef Outro

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
BOS -7
SA -2.5

MLB
PIT/MIL F5 Under 3.5 -110

Brutal Slump, MLB Board Breakdown & Friday Best Bets (Skenes/Woodruff F5 Under + NBA Plays)

Toad opens with frustration over a prolonged betting slump, then recaps going 1-1-1, including a Padres/Rockies over win and a Knicks loss he blames on Atlanta’s hot three-point shooting and late coaching decisions. He previews the day’s slate with situational angles (teams returning home from road trips, rest, bullpen usage), covering multiple MLB matchups but largely passing due to uncertainty, public sides, and market movement. His only official MLB play is Pirates–Brewers first five under 3.5, citing Paul Skenes vs. Brandon Woodruff and avoiding unreliable bullpens. He skips NHL, then gives two NBA playoff bets: Celtics -7 in a Game 3 bounce-back spot and Spurs -2.5, noting injury/line overreaction and situational edges.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:33 Show Intro and Reset
01:56 Recap Padres Over and Knicks Collapse
05:42 Today Card NBA Focus
06:25 MLB Tigers at Reds Breakdown
13:34 Red Sox at Orioles Frustration
20:14 Guardians at Blue Jays Travel Spot
25:28 Rockies at Mets Odds and Total
32:44 Twins at Rays First Five Under
39:25 Phillies at Braves Situational Angle
42:16 Phillies Slump and Painter
44:14 Holmes Breakdown and Market
46:02 First Five Betting Angles
47:22 Angels Royals Spot
49:12 Starters and Matchups
51:47 Market Move and Unders
53:32 Best Bet Skeens Under
58:34 Skeens vs Woodruff Deep Dive
01:03:24 Nationals White Sox Over Lean
01:07:15 Opener Twist and Action
01:12:04 Quick Break and Reset
01:13:58 As Rangers Pitching Edge
01:20:34 Yankees Astros Letdown Spot
01:27:02 Seattle Cardinals Mismatch
01:27:34 Mariners Cardinals Breakdown
01:31:49 Cubs Dodgers Betting Angles
01:38:13 Nationals Pitching Change Update
01:39:14 Marlins Giants Late Game
01:45:02 NHL Playoff Slate Read
01:52:04 Celtics Bounce Back Spot
01:58:04 Rockets Must Win Analysis
02:02:52 Spurs Value With Injury
02:07:06 Plays Recap And Signoff

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NBA
NYK ML -110

MLB
SD/COL Over 11 -108

MLB Picks & Playoff Bets: Padres/Rockies Over 11, Knicks ML + Full Slate Breakdown

Toad opens venting about a brutal betting slump, then recaps going 1-1-1 the prior day (Penguins loss, Mariners push/win amid a bizarre Logan Gilbert “jersey catch” ruled a single, and a Pistons win). He breaks down the day’s MLB card with situational and bullpen/market notes (Braves-Nationals, Brewers-Tigers with Skubal, Phillies-Cubs sweep/look-ahead angles, White Sox-Diamondbacks, Dodgers-Giants, Yankees-Red Sox with Cam Schlittler vs prospect Peyton Toley, Twins-Mets with Joe Ryan vs debuting Christian Scott, and Pirates-Rangers with deGrom). His only MLB bet is Padres-Rockies Over 11 at Coors (fading Waldron/Feltner and fly-ball risk). He previews NHL playoff games and leans to Colorado over LA, then gives one NBA play: Knicks moneyline in a tied series vs Atlanta, discussing regression factors and market support.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:33 Show Intro and Recap
02:28 Mariners Rule Weirdness
04:57 Today’s Card Setup
05:28 Braves Nationals Breakdown
11:37 Brewers Tigers Pitching Duel
16:47 Phillies Cubs Sweep Spot
23:53 Coors Field Over Pick
29:39 Long Ball Larry Drop
33:07 Mexico City Lookahead
34:26 Bullpen Mistrust Spot
35:21 Offense Rising Angle
36:03 Martin vs Soroka Breakdown
37:58 First Five Under Lean
40:09 Dodgers Giants Sweep Setup
41:46 Glasnow vs Webb Matchup
43:55 Dodgers Side and Total
45:50 Yankees Red Sox Meltdown
47:31 Schmidt vs Toley Preview
53:08 Fenway Park Hitting Factors
56:27 Mets Momentum After Streak
58:30 Twins Mets Pitching Edge
01:04:07 Pirates Rangers Chandler deGrom
01:07:26 deGrom vs Pirates Total
01:08:55 Market Moneyline Debate
01:10:07 Quick Card Recap Break
01:11:30 Bruins Sabres Game 3
01:13:49 Canes Sens Zigzag Spot
01:18:41 Avs Kings Road Favorite
01:22:27 Knicks Hawks Best Bet
01:27:44 Cavs Raptors Stay Away
01:31:38 Nuggets Wolves Lean Only
01:34:39 Wrap Up Plays Promo
01:35:31 Draft Talk Win Totals
01:37:29 Shows Patreon WNBA Rant
01:41:17 Final Sign Off

#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs