TopTradersUnplugged.com

TopTradersUnplugged.com

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TopTradersUnplugged.com episodes

  • SI270: CPI, Trend Reversals & Dalio on US-China War ft. Alan Dunne
    Today, we are joined by Alan Dunne for a wide ranging conversation, covering pressing global macro issues, the latest trend following research, JP Morgan's outlook for the 60/40 portfolio, following a week dominated by the release of the CPI numbers. We discuss how and why Ray Dalio believes the hot war between the US and China is changing and why the US is seeing an unusually low savings rate at the moment and why Alan believes there are plenty of possibilities in the non-trend space. We also discuss the benefits that trend following can add to your portfolio, how Blackstone is boosting the leverage in one of its Credit Funds...and if this seems like a good idea and much more.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Alan on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @AlanJDunne
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes, Spotify or Amazon so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr 6 min
  • OI02: Are QI Strategies Sustainable? ft. Maia Mathieson & Faheem Osman
    Maia Mathieson and Faheem Osman, both Managing Directors at Macquarie Bank in London speak with Moritz Seibert about the bank’s growing Quantitative Investment Strategies (QIS) business and how their rules-based indices can help investors to efficiently access various risk premium strategies across asset classes. Maia and Faheem explain the key return drivers behind their commodity-focused strategies, for example curve carry and congestion, and explain why they believe these to be structurally sustainable. We also discuss their client base and how the Macquarie QIS team focuses on designing robust indices that are not curve-fit to historical data.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @MoritzSeibert
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes, Spotify or Amazon so more people can discover the podcast.
    57 min
  • SI269: Is the Big Bond Short Over? ft. Katy Kaminski
    Today’s conversation with Katy Kaminiski is all about change. We discuss what has been the driver of the changing economic environment that we experience and how changing interest rates affect trend followers, why Katy believes we need a repricing in long term yields and how the yield curve is a key factor in trend followers profitability. Katy also explains her outlook for the markets, how you build portfolios in the current economic environment and much more.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Kary on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @katykam
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes and Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    57 min
  • GM52: The Re-Emergence of the Bond Vigilantes ft. Ed Yardeni
    Ed Yardeni, President and Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research joins us today to discuss the re-emergence of the bond vigilantes, a term Ed coined four decades ago. We discuss why bond investors are pushing up long-term bond yields and what are the prospects are for a debt crisis in the US. Ed outlines his view that we may see “rolling recessions” rather than a sharp economic downturn but that he has recently increased his probability of a hard landing. We examine the parallels between the current cycle and the past, particularly the 1990s and discuss whether the recent improvement can be sustained over the medium term and what it means for equity markets.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Alan on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @AlanJDunne
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes, Spotify or Amazon so more people can discover the podcast.
    56 min
  • SI268: Are Investors Wrongly Positioned for the New World Order? ft. Cem Karsan
    Cem Karsan returns to help us uncover the art of tail hedging and whether he views the January 2024 OpEx as a possible inflection point and start of a new bear market. We discuss the latest events in the macro space, especially regarding the conflict in the Middle East, and how it impacts markets, why Niels believes we are probably heading towards a world where investors are completely wrongly positioned and why it is important to think differently when it comes to asset allocation. Lastly, Cem explains how the incoming holiday season acts as a volatility compression mechanism, what he took away from the recent CBOE RMC Conference and much more.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Cem on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @jam_croissant
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes and Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr 5 min
  • OI1: Cracking the Code of Commodity Spread Trading ft. Mauritz van den Worm
    You are invited to an eye-opening conversation with Mauritz van den Worm, a quant researcher at Polarstar, a commodities-focused hedge fund in Cape Town, South Africa, hosted by Moritz Seibert. In this inaugural episode of the Open Interest series, Mauritz takes us on a journey through the fascinating world of commodity spreads. We explore not only calendar spreads but also delve into cross-market substitution spreads, location arbitrage trades, and processing margin spreads.
    Discover how Polarstar navigates the intricate South African commodity markets and the critical role they play in their portfolio. Additionally, Mauritz shares an intriguing firsthand account of Polarstar's position in the US versus European grain spreads at the onset of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Learn how a simultaneous limit-up in the US and limit-down in Europe led to what Mauritz humorously refers to as "a few gray hairs." This is a must-listen for anyone intrigued by the complexities and strategies behind commodity trading.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @MoritzSeibert
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes, Spotify or Amazon so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr 1 min
  • SI267: A Masterclass in Absolute vs Cross Sectional Momentum ft. Richard Brennan
    In today’s episode, Richard Brennan takes us on a tour around the Australian economy and how the investment landscape is changing. We also discuss how different investment philosophies demand different interpretations and why the “one size fits all” approach does not exist, how cross-sectional momentum differs from absolute momentum. Lastly, we discuss why Richard uses an ensemble of trend following systems and why he always strives for maximum diversification, and why I feel we should not introduce divisiveness in the trend following industry and much more.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Richard on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @RichB118
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes and Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr 26 min
  • ALO17: Inflation, Volatility, and AI: Ruffer's Bold Market Insights ft. Matt Smith
    Today we are joined by Matt Smith, Investment Director at Ruffer for a fascinating discussion on global markets, asset allocation and how history can guide us in the current global macro landscape. Matt explains why Ruffer is defensively positioned at the moment, why he is sceptical of the AI rally in stocks in recent months and where is he sees opportunity in markets at the moment. We discuss the secular outlook for inflation and why Matt believes we sill see greater volatility and a trend higher in inflation over time and what that means for asset allocation. We also delve into the parallels between the current investing and global macro environment versus the past particularly the period between 1940 and 1970 and hear about some of the key books that have influenced Matt as an investor.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Alan on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @AlanJDunne
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes, Spotify or Amazon so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr
  • SI266: Constructing and Assessing Trading Strategies ft. Rob Carver
    Rob Carver is back this week speaking with Alan Dunne about constructing and assessing trend following and non-trend following trading strategies. We delve into mean reversion strategies and over what time frames they might be effective and what are the pitfalls in trying to combine trend following with mean reversion. We also discuss the theory and reality of the benefits of faster trend following, Rob’s experience of this and his approach avoiding over-fitting when constructing trading strategies. We wrap up with some thoughts on AHL’s Trend ETF and how a strategy trading 20 markets might perform versus a more diversified program.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & Alan on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @alanjdunne
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes and Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr 3 min
  • GAL6: UAPs - What Are We Really Dealing With? ft. Larry Hancock
    There is no secret more carefully guarded than that of how to make atomic weapons. Nuclear technology can power us with clean energy or destroy all of human civilization. It has been alleged for decades that there is a correlation between UAP encounters and nukes, a suggestion that seems intuitive because if an advanced civilization was monitoring us, any breakthroughs in nuclear physics would certainly represent a key developmental milestone. In this episode join our Galactic Macro series host David Dorr as he interviews Larry Hancock, one of the preeminent scientific investigators into UAPs and the co-author of UAP Pattern Recognition Study 1945-1975 US Military Warfare Complex and UAP Indications Analysis, 1945-1975 United States Atomic Warfare Complex. Larry gives us a sobering analysis of the data and the facts which make it clear that we are not alone.
    IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book
    Send your questions to [email protected]
    Follow Niels & David on Twitter:
    @TopTradersLive & @daviddorr
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes and Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    1 hr

About TopTradersUnplugged.com

From the publisher's feed

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen | Trend Following Expert | 10-Year+ Podcast with 10M+ Downloads | Talks about Alternative Investments, Hedge Funds, Global Macro, Geo-Politics, Commodities, Quant Investing,…