TopTradersUnplugged.com

We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss why investors worried about inflation need to be invested in Trend Following strategies, the Russell 2000 being mainly comprised of companies that are losing money, long and short positions when Trend Following on ETFs, the difficulties in combining simple methods into a balanced and profitable system, open trade equity risk and if it can predict future returns, the perils of over-optimisation, embracing the mindset of Trend Following, and the results of an experiment where retail investors traded the same stocks as a professional fund, leading to different outcomes.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Rob on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @InvestingIdiocy

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Mark Rzepczynski returns this week to discuss the recent decline in commodity prices, perceived hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, trading narratives versus trading price action, the feasibility of Trend Following on options, the increased time & labour of short-term trading, the benefits of huge sample sizes, the differences between trading single stocks versus index futures, how investing rules offset our natural human tendencies, whether Technical Analysis contributes to typical Trend Following strategies, and Mark explains the ‘3 D’s’ of inflation.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Mark on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @MRzepczynski

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆.

Jerry Parker joins us on the show today to discuss why CTAs could be mistaken in excluding single stocks from their strategies, the possible benefits of having exposure to multiple trading systems, why price action is more important than predictions derived from fundamentals, recommended books for learning about Trend Following, the differences between paper-trading and disciplined execution of real trades, comparing Bitcoin futures to commodity futures, and the extent of simplicity a good trading system should have.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Jerry on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @RJParkerJr09

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Special guest Eric Crittenden returns to the show today to discuss the fallacies of the typical 60/40 portfolio, the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to begin tightening fiscal policy, Eric’s last appearance on the show which was at the March 2020 stock market bottom, different speeds of Trend Following, why stable returns doesn’t always equate to low risk, the difficulty in being comfortable with doing the opposite of what we’re wired to do, how managed futures can help investor’s portfolios, negative interest rates and flight out of fixed income, what could Trend Following bring to the crypto space, and changing the narrative around Trend Following.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

What happens when an unexpected major event occurs and all of your supposedly diversified investments suddenly become correlated, before heading sharply to the downside?  Jason Buck and his partner at Mutiny Fund have been thinking about this question for a long-time, and have created a portfolio designed to protect against these ‘Black Swan’, high-volatility events.  You may have seen Jason Buck alongside another volatility-expert (and previous guest of Top Traders Unplugged) Chris Cole on Real Vision, or listened to his ‘Pirates of Finance’ podcast with co-host Corey Hoffstein (another previous guest of Top Traders Unplugged), but he’s also been a long-time listener of the show, so it was only right that I invited him on  to discuss some of the methods and thinking behind Mutiny Fund, and how these approaches can provide protection and profits during all market environments.

In This Episode, You'll Learn:

•How Jason got to where he is today

•If the initial risks Jason set out to protect his clients against, have changed

•Why CTAs could be considered ‘long-volatility’ assets that provide protection during broad market selloffs such as 2020

•The benefits of ‘ensemble’ investing

•The opposite requirements of building wealth versus keeping wealth

•Why a sample size of 100 years is still just an anomaly

•Why the typical ‘diverse’ portfolio might be riskier than investors realise

•What a ‘long-volatility’ asset looks like

•The history of long-volatility assets

•The term ‘crisis alpha’ and what it means to him and his clients

•How to overcome the challenges of educating investors about volatility-event risks

•Whether the addition of long-volatility components to portfolios today has affected his initial approach

'The problem with Sharpe Ratio is that it was originally built as a portfolio tool to measure the portfolio level, but now we measure individual strategies or individual managers with Sharpe, and that was never the intention.’ - Jason Buck

•Why the Sharpe Ratio is often misunderstood as a risk measurement tool

•How much, and why, returns vary among different long-volatility managers

•How to approach position sizing with black swan events in mind

•Some of the common investor mistakes

•How to choose between different Trend Following managers

•How to create a strategy for inflationary and deflationary environments

•If less-liquid assets can be safely incorporated into a portfolio

•How to analyse backtests properly

•If Jason uses Gold and Bitcoin in his long-volatility strategies

•What keeps Jason up at night in terms of risks

Connect with Mutiny Fund:

Visit the Website: MutinyFund.com

Follow Jason Buck on Twitter: @JasonMutiny

Rob Carver is on the show with us today to discuss why Elon Musk & the Chinese government might be proving that Bitcoin may not be as decentralised as first assumed, whether you should adjust your system according to the instrument being traded, some processes for reinvesting profits into your portfolio over time, thoughts on position sizing, different ways of defending against inflation, if short-term Trend Following may actually be as good as long-term Trend Following, and the sweet spot for number of different futures contracts a good system should trade.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Rob on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @InvestingIdiocy

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss China’s move to ban Bitcoin trading, the Federal Reserve’s announcement of research into a new central bank digital currency, some of the issues around inflation and how it might affect trading, the psychology of drawdowns and the time in between new highs, how inflation can distort price signals, the recent rise of the ‘Misery Index’, Michael Burry’s huge bet against Tesla, the importance of exits in Trend Following strategies, and matching the right ‘Operation Tempo’ for your trading personality.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Mark on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @MRzepczynski

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Jerry Parker joins us today to discuss the benefits of prioritising price over other factors, navigating a high-inflationary environment, how bad markets for average investors can often be great for Trend Followers, how public awareness of a market uptrend can often precede large price drops, the potential drawbacks of trying to standout too much as a money-manager, how classical Trend Following is an increasing rarity in the CTA space, the benefits of investing in Trend Following via a proven manager, the similarities between amateur golfers and traders, the point at which a trend has been ‘confirmed’, and conquering the fear of losses.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Jerry on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @RJParkerJr09

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆

Moritz Seibert returns to the show today to discuss the Berkshire Hathaway annual general meeting, the possible raise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, today’s great environment for Trend Following, the unpredictable nature of the markets and future trends, decentralised finance, increasing ESG requirements in the investment industry, the meteoric rise of Lumber prices, new and smaller Bitcoin futures contracts being listed on the CME, thoughts on Ethereum and Ethereum futures, and the possible advantages of being in a Trend Follower in the cryptocurrency space versus the buy & hold speculators.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @MoritzSeibert

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆.

We’re joined today by Rob Carver to discuss the process of selecting single stocks for a Trend Following system, Rob’s holy trinity of security selection, the JP Morgan-backed fund making huge bets, via options, on the market remaining quiet, the knock-on effects from funds who make large, risky bets, the sweet-spot for average holding periods in a Trend Following system, ‘caveman-style’ Trend Following versus scaling in and out of positions, how to hedge against inflation, how Trend Following historically has performed really well in rising interest-rate environments, and thoughts on Tesla’s recent earnings, a lot of which were from government subsidies and selling bitcoin.

If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here: https://www.speakpipe.com/ttuvoicemail

Check out our Global Macro series here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/category/global-macro/

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here: https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/

IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here: http://bit.ly/36bzny2

And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here: www.toptradersunplugged.com/book

Send your questions to [email protected]

Follow Niels & Rob on Twitter:

@TopTradersLive & @InvestingIdiocy

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆