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Episode 50 of Trade and Tariffs with Fexingo explores the surprising rally in emerging market ETFs, with EEM up 3.2% and EWZ jumping 4.2% in the last five days. Lucas and Luna break down what's driving the turnaround: the dollar's slight dip from its peak, China's stimulus hopes, and the Iran deal optimism that's lifting risk appetite. They also look at the laggards—like Vietnam—and ask whether this rally has legs or is just a sugar rush. A concrete look at the numbers and narratives behind the EM rebound in June 2026.
#EmergingMarkets #ETFs #TradeAndTariffs #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EEM #EWZ #StrongDollar #IranDeal #ChinaStimulus #GlobalTrade #June2026 #LucasAndLuna #Economics #Investment #MarketRally #RiskOn #Currency
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In this episode of Trade and Tariffs with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna dive into why the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has surged past 35 in June 2026, even as the S&P 500 sits near all-time highs. They unpack the disconnect between calm headline indices and the chaos beneath the surface—driven by trade policy whiplash, the looming Iran deal uncertainty, and a strong dollar squeezing emerging market exports. Using the latest data on the trade-weighted dollar index hitting 120.1 and the yen sliding past 160 per dollar, they explain why currency hedging and tariff flip-flops are creating a volatility regime that feels more like 2020 than 2025. Lucas points to the jump in the VIX term structure and the spike in currency-hedged ETF inflows as telltale signs that institutional investors are betting on continued turbulence. Luna connects it to the recent surge in the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) and other EM funds, asking whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a genuine repricing. If you want to understand why the VIX is screaming while stocks are smiling, this episode is for you.
#TradeAndTariffs #BusinessPodcast #FexingoBusiness #VIX #VolatilityIndex #S&P500 #StrongDollar #EmergingMarkets #EWY #SouthKorea #IranDeal #TradeWar #CurrencyHedging #InstitutionalInvestors #June2026 #MarketVolatility #MacroEconomics #GlobalTrade
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SpaceX just pulled off the biggest IPO in history, with shares popping 30% on debut and Elon Musk becoming the world's first trillionaire. But this isn't just a space story—it's a global trade story. Lucas and Luna break down how SpaceX's $2 trillion market cap ripples across aerospace supply chains, reshapes satellite-based logistics tracking, and challenges traditional trade finance. They also discuss what the CFRA sell rating signals and why the tariff-friendly SpaceX model matters for emerging market exporters. Tune in for a fresh take on trade through the lens of the biggest market event of 2026.
#SpaceX #IPO #ElonMusk #GlobalTrade #SupplyChain #TradeFinance #Aerospace #Satellites #SpaceEconomy #Logistics #Tariffs #SpaceXIPO #SpaceXStock #SpaceXSPCE #Economics #BusinessPodcast #FexingoBusiness #TradeAndTariffs
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In today's episode, Lucas and Luna explore how the potential US-Iran deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz is already shifting trade dynamics. With oil prices falling on the news and emerging market ETFs like EWY surging 13.6% in a week, they unpack what a diplomatic breakthrough means for shipping costs, inflation, and supply chains. They also discuss why the US dollar remains strong at 120.1 on the trade-weighted index and how that complicates the picture for exporters. A specific look at the numbers behind the headlines.
#IranDeal #StraitOfHormuz #OilPrices #TradeFlows #StrongDollar #EmergingMarkets #EWY #SupplyChains #GlobalTrade #Diplomacy #Economics #TradeWar #Shipping #Inflation #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #TradeAndTariffs #Geopolitics
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Episode 46 of Trade and Tariffs with Fexingo. Lucas and Luna examine why Mexico's export machine is thriving in June 2026, even as the strong dollar crushes many emerging-market peers. They break down the competitive edge Mexico gains from its proximity to the U.S., its deep integration in North American supply chains, and the 'nearshoring' wave that accelerated under the USMCA. With the trade-weighted dollar index at 120.1 and emerging-market ETFs like EEM up 4.5% in a week, they ask whether Mexico's model is durable—or vulnerable to the same currency pressures hitting South Korea and Southeast Asia. Specific data points include the U.S. trade deficit narrowing slightly to $55.9 billion in April, and the yen hitting 160.3 per dollar. No clickbait—just concrete economics.
#MexicoExports #StrongDollar #TradeDeficit #Nearshoring #USMCA #EmergingMarkets #CurrencyWars #SupplyChains #Manufacturing #TradeWar #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #TradeAndTariffs #LucasAndLuna #USDIndex #ExportBoom #June2026
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Lucas and Luna explore how the strong U.S. dollar is squeezing emerging market exports in June 2026. They dive into the trade-weighted dollar index hitting 120.1, the yen sliding past 160 per dollar, and the ripple effects on countries like South Korea, where the EWY ETF surged 11 percent in a week. The hosts discuss why a strong dollar makes exports cheaper for America but creates debt repayment nightmares for EM nations, and whether recent currency moves signal a turning point.
#StrongDollar #EmergingMarkets #TradeBalances #USDAUD #Yen #Won #SouthKorea #EWY #ExportSqueeze #TradePolicy #CurrencyWar #EMDebt #TradeDeficit #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #GlobalTrade #June2026
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In this episode of Trade and Tariffs with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna dive deep into the mechanics of currency hedging and its impact on global trade. They analyze how the strong dollar is squeezing exporters from emerging markets, using Brazil and South Korea as case studies. The hosts discuss recent data showing the trade-weighted dollar index hitting 120.1, and how this affects everything from soybean exports to semiconductor supply chains. They also explore the role of central bank interventions and forward contracts in mitigating risk. This episode provides concrete examples and numbers to help listeners understand the real-world implications of currency fluctuations on international commerce.
#StrongDollar #CurrencyHedging #GlobalTrade #EmergingMarkets #Brazil #SouthKorea #Exporters #TradeWar #CentralBank #ForwardContracts #Soybeans #Semiconductors #TradeDeficit #DollarIndex #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #TradeAndTariffs
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Episode 43 of Trade and Tariffs with Fexingo examines how the trade-weighted US dollar index at 120.1 is reshaping America's trade balance. Lucas and Luna dig into April 2026 trade deficit data ($55.9 billion, slightly improved from March) and explore why a strong dollar makes US exports pricier abroad while cheapening imports, creating a structural headwind for domestic manufacturing. They discuss the J-curve effect, the role of currency pass-through, and how the dollar's 5.6% year-over-year gain is squeezing exporters from Detroit to Dallas. Drawing on recent data and real-world examples, they explain why the strong dollar isn't just a currency story—it's a trade story that touches everything from soybean sales to semiconductor shipments.
#StrongDollar #USTradeDeficit #TradeBalance #CurrencyWars #DollarIndex #ExportSqueeze #Manufacturing #JCurveEffect #CurrencyPassThrough #FederalReserve #Economics #TradeAndTariffs #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #GlobalTrade #June2026 #TradePolicy #Exporters
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China's May wholesale inflation hit a near-four-year high, driven by Iran war costs and AI demand. Lucas and Luna unpack how this shifts the trade balance, why a 120-plus trade-weighted dollar squeezes emerging market exporters differently, and what it means for supply chain rerouting. They also touch on the SpaceX IPO and what retail allocation tells us about market confidence. No ads, just sharp analysis.
#China #PPI #TradeWar #Inflation #AI #IranWar #StrongDollar #SupplyChain #EmergingMarkets #SpaceX #IPO #Economics #Business #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #GlobalTrade #Tariffs #TradeBalance
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In this episode of Trade and Tariffs with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna zoom in on a surprising casualty of the strong US dollar: Southeast Asian exporters. While much of the trade-war attention has been on China and South Korea, countries like Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia are getting crushed as their currencies slide and foreign demand falters. Lucas unpacks the data: the Thai baht is down 8% year-to-date, and Thailand's export-dependent sectors are feeling the pain. They discuss the Taiwan Strait risk premium, the 'boiling frog' problem for central banks, and why the EWT Thailand ETF has dropped 7% in five days. This is a sharp, grounded look at how a strong dollar isn't just a US story—it's reshaping supply chains and investment flows across Southeast Asia.
#StrongDollar #SoutheastAsia #Thailand #Malaysia #Indonesia #CurrencyCrisis #ExportSqueeze #TradeWar #CentralBanks #EWT #EEM #EmergingMarkets #SupplyChains #BoilingFrog #TradeAndTariffs #FexingoBusiness #Economics #BusinessPodcast
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