Bitcoin fell below $75,000 to a 10-month low, influenced by U.S. government shutdown and a hawkish Federal Reserve nominee. MicroStrategy's holdings, above its cost basis, spark sell-off concerns that could trigger a significant price drop to $30,000-$40,000. However, market sentiment is expected to stabilize if MicroStrategy avoids liquidation, with prices potentially holding at $75,000. The short-term downside probability is assessed as low, pending resolution of these factors.
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