09 |
0:00:00 Start
0:00:45 What are the Sustainable Development Goals?
0:02:12 Biophysical Planetary Boundaries – Staying in the Holocene
0:04:11 Social Planetary Boundaries – can we live within the doughnut?
0:04:50 These biophysical and social boundaries are fundamentally different
0:06:09 What is a complex system?
0:08:05 Emergence
0:11:47 Self organization – Attractors
0:14:51 Complexity versus Chaos
0:18:25 History of the world in two graphs: 1, Population and technology
0:20:15 History of the world in two graphs: 2, Population and wealth
0:21:02 Attractors in the Human-Earth system
0:22:38 The Malthusian trap-a social attractor for most of human history
0:26:45 Escaping the Malthusian Trap
0:28:37 In the Post-industrial World, a minimal description of the Human-Earth System must include societal dynamics
0:30:27 We will try to construct a systems description
0:30:59 Population: the Fertility-mortality balance and its link with wealth
0:34:20 The Key Feedback from Mortality to Fertility
0:38:23 Fertility-mortality balance-the effect of urban living
0:39:47 Generation of wealth
0:41:10 Generation of wealth-economic output
0:44:17 Social State
0:52:51 Transitioning between Natural State and Open Access Order
0:57:53 Not a new Idea
0:59:02 Social State
1:00:39 Biospheric State
1:01:27 Tracing the links and feedbacks between the four state variables
1:02:17 Population
1:03:49 Economic output
1:05:09 Societal State
1:07:50 State of the Biosphere
1:13:32 Emergence and Coarse graining
1:14:50 Effect of climate change on suitability of land for growing crops
1:20:20 Syrian Civil War
1:24:39 The known Unknowns
1:25:40 We can examine the system description
1:27:30 Can the trajectory of the human-earth system be understood...?
1:28:27 some first conclusions
1:30:33 can understanding the human-earth system as a complex system help?