🧭 True North episode 61: Bitcoin meets capital markets as investors explore digital credit, leverage, and macro risk. From MSTR aalysis to portfolio construction, the discussion breaks down adoption, liquidity dynamics, and why Bitcoin is reshaping capital allocation.
🎛️ As of this recording, 4/1/26, Strategy's (MSTR) performance:
Open: $126.18Close: $122.78Volume: 15.4M SharesmNAV: ~1.19Market Cap: ~ $42.4BBTC: 762,099Have questions you want covered in the livestream? Ask them here: https://tnorth.com/ask/
⏱️ TIMESTAMPS & INSIGHTS:
00:00:00 - Episode Intro00:01:20 - Agenda and current events: macro setup, topics, market context00:05:38 - Bitcoin TradFi adoption: allocator perspective on mispricing00:08:49 - Credit structuring mechanics: tranching volatility into yield layers00:11:07 - Tokenization and liquidity: STRC volume, options, market structure00:14:29 - Bear market strategy: building, educating, launching new products00:22:41 - MSTR balance sheet: leverage, BTC holdings, capital strength00:26:45 - Treasury company scaling: efficiency, multiples, capital allocation00:31:01 - Federal Reserve policy: liquidity, rates, balance sheet strategy00:36:09 - Macro complexity risks: second-order effects and system fragility00:38:15 - Liquidity trap dynamics: capital idle, velocity collapse, inflation risk00:43:28 - Debt and macro pressure: deficits, interest burden, systemic risk00:45:47 - Portfolio and digital credit: allocation shift, yield vs volatility00:56:56 - Bitcoin allocation shift: portfolio transition, risk and time horizon00:59:12 - Bitcoin risk framework: counterparty risk, allocation philosophy shift01:05:43 - Equity purpose rethink: cash flow claims vs speculative growth01:10:40 - Scarcity premium thesis: Bitcoin vs traditional monetary assets01:14:14 - Equity capital mechanics: purpose of equity and capital raising role01:19:55 - Equity market incentives: EPS focus, buybacks, capital allocation01:22:50 - Bitcoin adoption curve: talent inflow, ecosystem growth, structural shift01:26:40 - Ownership and concentration: conviction bets vs diversification tradeoffs01:29:40 - Volatility risk framing: perceived volatility vs actual systemic risk01:33:08 - Risk underwriting approach: probability, downside, survivability focus01:41:47 - Dan’s final thoughts: closing perspective on markets and outlook01:42:55 - Grant’s final thoughts: closing perspective on markets and outlook01:44:35 - Jeff’s final thoughts: closing perspective on markets and outlook01:48:20 - Ben’s final thoughts: closing perspective on markets and outlook01:53:00 - Grain’s final thoughts: closing perspective on markets and outlookCheck out our upcoming live events and join us in person! https://tnorth.com/events/
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