The Founders Show

Trump Tariff Impact


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Hy and Christopher begin by talking about the impact of the Trump tariffs, and end the show highlighting the festivities this week celebrating the 200th Anniversary of the visit of the Marquis de Lafayette to New Orleans.  Many of the events are free and open to the public, and Christopher will actually be playing then-Governor Henry Johnson on Thursday, April 10 at Chalmette Battlefield. More info at afl-louisiana.com

Most of today’s show, we talk about how high Democratic voter turnout gave a major defeat to Gov. Jeff Landry, and how it might negatively impact Landry’s agenda in looming legislative session, beginning April 14.  Christopher’s column in The Louisiana Weekly explains how…

La. minority voter turnout created ‘Blue Wave’

An interesting phenomenon occurred in the March 29 election. Turnout was so strong in cities, and particularly amongst African Americans, that Louisiana became a “blue state” for one election. 

Not only were the conservative-leaning state constitutional amendments all rejected, but a Democratic candidate also surged in a West Bank Jefferson Parish Council seat – enough so to edge a veteran politician out of the runoff.
     
All four constitutional amendments failed, with approximately 65 percent of the Louisiana electorate opposing. Despite Gov. Jeff Landry’s active support, opposition in GOP parishes tended to trend with the rest of the state. Republican Jefferson Parish shot down Amendment 2 with 66 percent voting against. Uber-Republican St. Tammany Parish only passed Amendment 2 by two percentage points, 51 to 49 percent.  
      
Even Donald Trump Jr.’s active campaigning for the constitutional amendments made little difference. In these two parishes where his father won with 55 percent and 71 percent respectively, and Republicans had carried more than 70 percent of the vote in the gubernatorial contest in the year before, the amendments went down to defeat.
      
However, one could blame the hesitancy of enacting a bad law, if the surge of Democrats versus Republicans had not reflected itself in other races. Anecdotally, the Jefferson Parish 1st District council race was expected to be an all-Republican runoff. The West Bank council seat regularly turns out almost 75 percent for the GOP in statewide and federal elections. However, the total Republican vote added up to 64 percent, with Lafitte Mayor Tim Kerner Jr. earning 36 percent and former Parish Councilman Ricky Templet underperforming at 28 percent.
       
Put another way, Democrat Andrea Manuel had little name recognition, no money, and even less political support. Most prominent Democrats had lined up behind one of the two Republicans. She had no unusual platform ideas which would inspire crossover voters. Manuel stood as an African American and Democrat in a council district hostile to both, yet she massively over-performed.
      
This strong Democratic trend extended across the state. Small towns like Sorrento in Ascension Parish saw Democrats win 57 percent of the vote in councilmanic elections versus Republicans at 43 percent. 
      
Some might argue the state constitutional amendments failed because church groups worried about the taxing potential on nonprofit properties inherent in a provision of Amendment 2, so conservative religious voters turned against them. Still, in “GOP Louisiana’s” 64 parishes, only 11 saw majorities vote “yes” on all amendments. 
      
That does little to explain the other defeats, unless one looks at the disparities of turnout.  Between March 15 and March 22, the early voting period, 99,000 Democrats voted whereas just 66,000 Republicans showed up to the polls. More critically, over 70,000 Black voters cast their ballots ahead of the election. According to pollster John Couvillon, in Orleans Parish, 31 percent of registered voters went to the polls – more than the 27 percent of Orleans voters in October of 2023 when Jeff Landry was elected governor. East Baton Rouge Parish also saw a higher voter turnout than the statewide average, with 26 percent of the parish's voters showing up. In contrast, only 23 percent of the electorate turned out in Jefferson Parish. In Landry’s home parish of St. Martin, only 17 percent of voters showed up at the polls. That contrasts with the 73 percent of the St. Martin electorate who backed Landry in 2023. Moreover, 50 percent of the parish’s voters said “no” to the amendments.
      
Put simply, Democrats came to the polls when Republicans did not. African Americans voted in a greater percentage of their population than Caucasians did. The power of turnout and the willingness to vote swung a critical constitutional vote in Louisiana, and for a day, the red state went blue.
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The Founders ShowBy News Talk 99.5 WRNO (WRNO-FM)