Federal Reserve Chair Powell is not an economist. Not everyone can be an economist, but central bank heads probably should be economists. Yesterday, Powell stated reaching 2% inflation was taking longer than expected. The US PCE deflator is 2.5% y/y, the core PCE deflator is 2.8% y/y, and harmonized inflation is 2.4% y/y. Imprecise data means most economists regard a 2% inflation target as meaning a 1%-to-3% range. The fictional owners’ equivalent rent may be taking longer than expected to reach 2%, but that is not the same thing as inflation.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The problems with Powell'

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With US equity markets having reached all-time record closes, Jason weighs the ‘sell in May, and go away’ narrative, and discusses how investors should consider positioning in light of current market levels.  We also reflect on the latest round of inflation data, as well as near-term market drivers.  Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office.  Host: Daniel Cassidy

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Hard over soft

Iranian President Raisi has been killed in a helicopter crash. The first vice president becomes interim president, and elections will be called within 50 days. No change is expected in Iran’s main policy positions as major policy decisions are overseen by Supreme Leader Khamenei. Over the longer term, market considerations will focus on the implications for Khamenei’s successor, and the potential for protests around the elections.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Middle East politics'

We preview the current calendar for US Presidential debates, unpack the FAA Bill and the implications for consumers, and share takeaways from Secretary of State Blinken’s recent visit to Ukraine.  Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US.  Host: Daniel Cassidy

Washington Weekly Podcast: Presidential debates, FAA Bill, Ukraine update

China reported stronger industrial production and weaker domestic retail sales. If these figures are accurate, they present some risks to China’s policy-makers. Production strength seemed focused in politically-sensitive areas, including computing and autos.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'China’s vulnerabilities'

Join members of the UBS Chief Investment Office for some timely thoughts and reflections around the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and what this latest inflation data might mean for monetary policy, and the markets.  Featured are Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, and David Lefkowitz, Head of Equities Americas.  Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The problems with Powell'

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