Russia stages new peace theatrics as Dmitriev heads to Miami, Brussels deadlocks over using frozen Russian assets, and Washington quietly operationalizes a $150M U.S.–Ukraine reconstruction fund to anchor future investment.

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In this episode:

• Dmitriev's Stall Tactics: Putin's envoy heading to Miami for Witkoff-Kushner briefing; Moscow engineering diplomatic delay while vowing to "extend gains"; classic Russian pattern shifting pressure to Kyiv
• Brussels Asset Battle: EU summit deciding €210B frozen assets plan; Belgium blocking demanding liability guarantees; €185B in Brussels Euroclear; Russia threatening lawsuits; von der Leyen vows solution; Ukraine needs $159B by 2027, budget depletes April
• DFC Fund Operational: U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund ready with $150M capital; first investments 2026; targets critical minerals/energy/infrastructure; Alvarez & Marsal appointed; military assistance converts to shares; validates Ukraine long-term investment opportunity
• Season Finale: Taking holiday break, returning 2026 with new season

Referenced Sources:

"Kremlin says preparing for contacts with US on Ukraine" (reuters.com)

"Putin warns Russia will seek to extend gains if West rejects terms" (ft.com)

"EU leaders clash over frozen Russian assets at Brussels summit" (politico.eu)

"DFC Announces U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund Fully Operational and Poised for First Investments" (dfc.gov)

"Ukraine-US Investment Fund Finalizes Policies Ahead of 2026 Launch" (kyivpost.com)

Ukraine offers a major NATO compromise in Berlin talks as Russia holds hard territorial demands, Kyiv sinks a Russian submarine with an underwater drone, and domestic weapons production scales to $35B in 2025.

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In this episode:

• Berlin Progress: 5-hour talks with Witkoff-Kushner-Zelenskyy-European leaders; Ukraine offers NATO membership drop for Article 5-like guarantees; 20-point framework discussed; Putin demands Russian forces stay in demilitarized Donbas and full territorial withdrawal
• Historic Sub Strike: First underwater drone destruction of submarine; Sub Sea Baby hits Kilo-class in Novorossiysk; $300K vs $400M cost asymmetry; 4 Kalibr launchers offline; Black Sea Fleet degraded to 67% capacity; sanctuary basing obsolete
• Defense Production Surge: $35B capacity from $1B in 3 years; 4.5M drones planned 2025; 500 companies; 96% localization; Neptune/Flamingo/missile-drones in serial production; shift to AI/autonomous systems; $60M+ VC investment; Europe co-production partnerships

Referenced Sources:

"Zelenskyy meets with Witkoff and Kushner for talks aimed at ending Ukraine-Russia war" (cbsnews.com)

"Witkoff and Kushner Meet with Zelenskyy – Negotiators Discussed Security Guarantees for 5 Hours" (theconservativetreehouse.com)

"Ukraine drops NATO goal as Trump envoy sees progress in peace talks" (cnbc.com)

"Ukraine Says Its Drones Hit Russian Submarine in Novorossiysk" (bloomberg.com)

"In a first, Ukraine says it struck Russian submarine in Black Sea port with underwater drones" (cnn.com)

"Ukraine claims first Sea Baby underwater drone strike on Russian submarine" (kyivindependent.com)

"Ukraine Forecasts $35B in Domestic Defense Production for 2025" (thedefensepost.com)

"Drone production in Ukraine has increased hundreds of times" (dev.ua)

Territorial concessions re-enter the diplomatic conversation as U.S. and European peace frameworks diverge, while Ukraine’s defense-tech ecosystem breaks records with $105M in early-stage capital—cementing its rise as Europe’s defense innovation hub.

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In this episode:

• Territory Talks: Italy and U.S. officials press Kyiv to show “flexibility,” even as new intelligence says Russia isn’t ready to compromise.
• Split Strategy: Europe and Washington advance competing security frameworks, leaving Ukraine squeezed between two visions of “peace.”
• Defense-Tech Boom: Ukrainian startups raise over $105M, accounting for one-third of Europe’s early-stage defense investment — signaling a major shift in global defense innovation.

Stay informed. Stay ahead. The Ukraine Bulletin delivers clarity in five minutes.

Referenced Sources

• Pressure on Ukraine over territorial concessions (politico.eu)
• U.S. intel sees no sign Russia will compromise (nbcnews.com)
• Italy pushes for ceasefire framework with concessions (repubblica.it / euractiv.com)
• Lavrov comments on Western “acceptance of new realities” (reuters.com)
• EU drafts alternative security guarantees plan (ft.com)
• U.S. seeks early 2026 diplomatic breakthrough (axios.com)
• Ukraine defense-tech investment data — Fedorov announcement (linkedin.com)
• European early-stage defense investment benchmarks (dealroom.co)
• BRAVE1 investment and support structure (united24media.com)

Europe backs Zelenskyy’s refusal to surrender Donbas, Dutch funding jumps by €700M as Washington hesitates, Ukraine hits major Russian energy nodes, and Russia retaliates by striking the Pechenihy Reservoir dam supplying Kharkiv.

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In this episode:

• London Red Lines: Zelenskyy-Starmer-Macron-Merz summit rejects Donbas territorial concessions; Trump claims Zelenskyy hasn't read plan; Coalition of Willing finalizes 35-nation security framework with European enforcement
• Dutch €700M Acceleration: Additional funding from underspent defense budgets\
• Deep Strike Escalation: Ninth strike on Ryazan refinery hits isomerization unit; 17.1M tons annual capacity; Temryuk port 70% fuel tanks destroyed; systematic degradation of Russian refining infrastructure
• Pechenihy Dam Attack: Russia strikes water infrastructure threatening Kharkiv supply; traffic halted; labeled war crime; echoes Kakhovka disaster; Putin signaling willingness to destroy civilian lifelines

Referenced Sources:

"Zelenskyy heads to London for talks with European allies on peace plan and security" (ap.org)

"Zelensky meets European leaders in London as Kremlin praises Trump's new security strategy" (cnn.com)

"Netherlands allocates additional 700 million euros for Ukraine in 2026" (kyivindependent.com)

"Ukrainian drones score 'successful hit' on Russia's Ryazan Oil Refinery, General Staff says" (kyivindependent.com)

"Ukraine braces for 'critical damage' after Russian strike on Kharkiv Oblast dam threatens water supply" (kyivindependent.com)

NATO allies pledge over $1 billion in new PURL packages at Brussels meeting with Germany-Norway-Poland and Germany-Norway-Netherlands each contributing $500M. Belgium rejects EU plan to use €194B frozen Russian assets as collateral for Ukraine loans, citing legal and financial risks to Brussels-based Euroclear. And more about how the Pentagon suspended defense aid to Ukraine without any prior Transatlantic coordination earlier this year.

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In this episode:

Peace Talks Saga: Russia wants more concessions, Trump doesn’t know where things go from here and European leaders privately warn Zelenskyy of a possible U.S. betrayal

NATO PURL Commitments: $1B+ pledged in Brussels; two $500M packages from Germany-Norway-Poland and Germany-Norway-Netherlands; Norway leads with $835M total; targeting $5B delivered by year-end; demonstrates European commitment amid U.S. unreliability

Belgium Blocks Assets: Rejected EU €194B frozen asset collateral plan citing Euroclear litigation risk; wants market borrowing instead; EU vote Dec 18-19; Ukraine budget crisis looms April 2026; exposes limits of European solidarity

Referenced Sources:

"US halts deliveries of certain weapons to Ukraine unexpectedly" (newsukraine.rbc.ua)

"Hegseth halted weapons for Ukraine despite military analysis aid wouldn't jeopardize readiness" (nbcnews.com)

"European leaders warn US could betray Ukraine in leaked call" (politico.eu)

"Kremlin says Putin accepted some US proposals on Ukraine, is ready to continue talking" (reuters.com)

"NATO allies pledge over $1 billion for US arms for Ukraine" (kyivindependent.com)

"Belgium rejects EU plan to use frozen Russian assets for Ukraine" (npr.org)

"Why is Belgium opposed to using Russian assets to support Ukraine?" (aljazeera.com)

Talks advance as Zelenskyy sets firm red lines, Europe deepens weapons co-production with a new Dutch drone pact, and Ukraine escalates by striking Russia’s shadow fleet and the Novorossiysk export terminal.

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Diplomatic Progress: Florida talks productive focusing on prosperity via Ukraine Development Fund and gas infrastructure; Zelenskyy-Macron finalize Coalition of Willing guarantees; Witkoff heading to Moscow; Zelenskyy's red line: Peace Board yes, Capitulation Board no

Build With Ukraine: Netherlands joins drone co-production with both-country manufacturing and Dutch procurement; €250M PURL contribution; EU4UA grants €150K for interceptor drones/radar; European integration of Ukrainian defense tech accelerating

Shadow Fleet Strikes: Sea Baby drones disable Kairos and Virat tankers preventing $70M exports; Novorossiysk terminal operations halted; Kazakhstan protests third "civilian infrastructure" attack; Ukraine enforcing sanctions kinetically

Referenced Sources:

• "Rubio says US-Ukraine talks on ending war 'productive' but 'complicated'" (aljazeera.com)
• "U.S. and Ukrainian officials hold 'very productive' meeting in Florida" (nbcnews.com)
• "Zelenskyy Meets With Macron in Paris as US-Led Peace Negotiations Advance" (military.com)
• "Macron hosts Zelenskyy for Ukraine peace talks in Paris" (thenationalnews.com)
• "Ukraine and Netherlands announce joint drone production" (eurointegration.com.ua)
• "Netherlands and Ukraine to co-produce drones" (nltimes.nl)
• "Ukraine says it hit Russian 'shadow fleet' tankers with underwater drones in Black Sea" (cnn.com)
• "'Successful' Ukrainian naval drone strike disables 2 Russian shadow fleet tankers" (kyivindependent.com)
• "Ukraine Strikes Russian Shadow Fleet Tankers in Black Sea" (navalnews.com)

Yermak steps down as corruption raids hit Kyiv, Europeans push tough security guarantees in evolving peace talks, U.S. envoys meet Russians in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, and Pokrovsk hangs by a narrow supply corridor under massive Russian pressure.

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Welcome to the Ukraine Bulletin — your investor-focused, high-signal briefing on the latest geopolitical, military, economic, and defense-tech developments shaping Ukraine.

Yermak’s resignation rocks Kyiv, Macron and Rubio push new security guarantees, and Russia presses hard for victories in Pokrovsk, Huliaipole, and Siversk. Stay informed — in today’s Ukraine Bulletin from Pravo Intelligence.

In this episode:

Yermak Resigns: A political shock in Kyiv as President Zelenskyy’s powerful chief of staff steps down amid a major anti-corruption probe. What this means for Ukraine’s internal stability — and for Western diplomacy.

Diplomacy Accelerates: The “Coalition of the Willing” meets. Macron pushes for real security guarantees. Rubio backs the diplomatic track. Peace frameworks evolve as Ukrainian, U.S., and Russian officials meet in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, and Witkoff set to meet Putin in Moscow.

Battlefield Pivots: Ukraine is still trying to render Pokrovsk a “victory on credit” for Russia while Huliaipole deteriorates and Siversk faces mounting pressure. With winter near — and negotiations moving — Moscow is desperate for a trophy win.

Stay informed. Stay ahead. The Ukraine Bulletin delivers clarity in five minutes.

Referenced Sources

• Zelenskyy’s chief of staff Yermak resigns amid anti-corruption probe (kyivindependent.com)
• Ukraine anti-graft bureau raids linked to nuclear sector scheme (reuters.com)
• Macron calls for robust security guarantees for Ukraine at coalition meeting (france24.com)
• Marco Rubio backs diplomatic push, says U.S. preparing revised peace framework (cnn.com)
• Reports: Ukraine, U.S., Russia hold parallel talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva (wsj.com)
• Ukraine’s army-cap proposal under revised peace drafts (politico.eu)
• Pokrovsk’s frontline situation deteriorates under 8:1 manpower pressure (kyivindependent.com)
• Russia advances in Siversk amid attempts to break fortress belt (bbc.com)

Europe offers a counter-proposal in Geneva, Ukraine strikes deep into Russia’s power grid, major European defense firms expand Ukraine-linked production, and Pokrovsk sees rare Ukrainian gains despite overwhelming odds.

In this episode:

• Peace Talks Complexity: Geneva talks "productive" with updated framework;
• Deep Strike Winter Warfare: Ukraine prioritizes Russian power grid/heating destruction as retaliation for civilian targeting;
• European Defense Partnership: Kongsberg €67-270M investment for Polish Seawolf maritime drone production; counter-drone systems and MCT-30 weapon stations;
• Pokrovsk Resistance: Ukrainian forces conducting clearing operations pushing Russians back from city center; precision air strikes through fog;

Referenced Sources:

• "In Geneva, U.S. and Ukraine officials report progress on ending war with Russia" (npr.org)
• "U.S., Ukraine agree to change draft of peace plan that Russia favored" (washingtonpost.com)
• "Trump says 'something good just may be happening' in Ukraine talks as EU leaders discuss plan" (cnn.com)
• "U.S. and Ukraine announce 'updated' framework to end Russia's war" (aljazeera.com)
• "Ukraine's military reportedly strikes power plant in Moscow Oblast" (kyivindependent.com)
• "Ukraine strikes Russian Shatura power plant in Moscow region" (euronews.com)
• "Ukraine drone strikes throw power supplies into disarray in Russian cities" (aljazeera.com)
• "Poland to Manufacture Ukraine's Seawolf Drones Under New Defense Deal With Norway's Kongsberg" (united24media.com)
• "Kongsberg will fund manufacturing of Ukrainian Seawolf drones in Poland" (thedefender.media)
• "The Low-Down: Ukraine Has Stalled Russia's Pokrovsk Assault As Air Force Overcomes Weather" (thelowdownblog.com)
• "Ukrainian forces push Russians back building-by-building in fierce Pokrovsk battle" (newsukraine.rbc.ua)
• "Ukrainian army on 'search and destroy' missions to clear Russians from central Pokrovsk" (kyivindependent.com)
• "Ukrainian drone attack sparks fire at Shatura power plant, leading to airport closures around Moscow" (uawire.org)

A secret U.S.–Russia peace plan is proposed, but it would require Ukraine to give up core defensive territory and critical weapons. As Russia launches one of its deadliest missile campaigns yet, the U.S. Army’s top generals land in Kyiv.

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Trump administration drafts secret 28-point peace plan demanding Ukraine withdraw from contested Donetsk, cut military in half, and surrender long-range weapons, reportedly negotiated by envoy Steve Witkoff without Ukrainian input. Highest-level U.S. military delegation led by Army Secretary Dan Driscoll arrives in Kyiv as Russia launches massive 476-drone attack killing 25+ in Ternopil and forcing 17-hour daily power cuts. Ukraine's Skyfall drone manufacturer unveils P1-Sun interceptor at Dubai Airshow with 85% domestic components, as Ukraine scales production toward 1,000 daily interceptor drones with U.S. Army eyeing Ukrainian technology as model.

In this episode:

• Witkoff's Capitulation Plan: 28-point secret plan forces Ukrainian withdrawal from fortress belt Donetsk territory, cuts military 50%, surrenders long-range missiles/drones, bans foreign troops, mandates Russian language/Moscow Patriarchate; negotiated by Trump envoy without Ukrainian input.
• Russian Ternopil Massacre & Power War: 476-drone 48-missile attack kills 25+ civilians including children in apartment block strike; Ukraine facing 17-hour daily power cuts in winter conditions
• Pentagon Delegation & Drone Innovation: Army Secretary Driscoll led highest-level military team to Kyiv; met Zelenskyy amid peace plan pressure; particular focus on Ukrainian drone programs; U.S. Army seeking one million drones over 2-3 years;

Referenced Sources:

"Proposed Witkoff peace plan would help Russia gear up for another strike" (iswresearch.org)

"New Trump-Negotiated Ukraine Peace Plan Promises Russia What It Couldn't Win in 44 Months" (redstate.com)

"Trump's new 28-point plan: What does it want Ukraine to concede to Putin?" (aljazeera.com)

"Ukraine and Russia were already discussing a peace deal until Witkoff derailed the process" (theeconomist.com)

"U.S. Army secretary arrives in Kyiv for high-level talks to restart peace talks" (abcnews.go.com)

"Trump sends Pentagon officials to Ukraine as part of peace talks effort" (ukrinform.net)

"Russian attack kills 25 in Ukraine's Ternopil as Zelenskyy arrives in Turkey" (washingtonpost.com)

"'Destroyed in an instant' — 26 killed, 142 injured, blackouts across Ukraine after Russian mass missile, drone attack" (kyivindependent.com)

"Ukrainian drone-maker Skyfall shows off tech at Dubai Airshow, eyes US, NATO market" (breakingdefense.com)

"Ukraine launches mass production of drones for intercepting Russian Shaheds" (pravda.com.ua)

"Ukrainian Drone Maker SkyFall Unveils P1-SUN Shahed Interceptor At Dubai Airshow 2025" (united24media.com)

Ukraine inks major defense and tech deals with France and Nvidia, expanding its future air force and launching sovereign AI infrastructure. Russia escalates sabotage in Poland and attacks LNG near Romania as U.S. secondary sanctions advance in Washington.

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In this episode:

• Rafales, AI, and More Missiles on the Way: Ukraine secures 100 Rafale F4 jets and 8 SAMP/T systems from France by 2035; Nvidia partnership builds sovereign AI infrastructure for defense applications and Diia AI model; Brave1 advances 18 anti-aircraft and 4 ballistic missile programs; Bars 500-mile cruise missile debuts operationally
• Hybrid Warfare Escalation: Explosive sabotage destroys Polish railway used for Ukraine aid shipments; Russian drone strikes Turkish tanker in Odesa port day after Ukraine-U.S. LNG deal; attacks target NATO allies Turkey and Poland demonstrating undeterred Russian aggression
• Secondary Sanctions Push: Graham-Blumenthal Sanctioning Russia Act gains 85+ bipartisan cosponsors after Trump approval; 500% tariffs threatened on countries buying Russian oil/gas/uranium; targets China, India, Brazil as Putin's financial backers; vote expected soon

Referenced Sources:

• "Ukraine and France ink deal for jets and missile defenses, Paris says" (abcnews.go.com)
• "Ukraine to buy 'up to 100' French fighter jets, Elysee Palace announces" (cnn.com)
• "Ukraine teams up with Nvidia to create sovereign AI" (ukrinform.net)
• "Mykhailo Fedorov announces Ukraine-Nvidia sovereign AI partnership" (linkedin.com)
• "Brave1 announces 18 anti-aircraft and 4 ballistic missile proposals" (brave1.gov.ua)
• "Ukraine's New 'Bars' Missile Drone Can Hit Targets 500 Miles Inside Russia" (united24media.com)
• "Polish train track that helped transport aid to Ukraine destroyed in 'act of sabotage'" (cnn.com)
• "Poland confirms act of sabotage behind explosion that damaged rail line" (notesfrompoland.com)
• "Drone strikes Turkish tanker in Ukraine's Odesa, where US natural gas will go" (abcnews.go.com)
• "Trump 'OK' May Clear Way for Russia Sanctions Bill, Graham Says" (bloomberg.com)
• "Graham: Russia sanctions bill will provide Trump with more tools to end bloodbath in Ukraine" (interfax.com.ua)