Unconventional Knowledge by GIS

Central Asian nations are harnessing their strengths in tech, trade and transport, increasing their collective bargaining power on the global stage. An analysis by Eka Tkeshelashvili. Read the full report here. 

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South Asia is grappling with geopolitical tensions, political unrest and demographic pressures, all of which are straining the region’s stability.An analysis by Husain Haqqani. Read the full report here. 

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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Andrew Kureth speaks with Alejandro Peña Esclusa about the unraveling of the authoritarian power network that has shaped Latin America for more than two decades.

The discussion centers on Venezuela’s fragile transition after the removal of Nicolás Maduro, examining whether recent developments signal a genuine break with the past or a controlled reset by the same criminal structures. They assess early indicators to watch, from the withdrawal of Cuban security forces and the release of political prisoners to the prospects for elections and economic stabilization.

From Caracas, the conversation widens to Havana and Bogotá. Peña Esclusa explains how Cuba’s dependence on Venezuelan oil and security cooperation has become a strategic liability, why Washington now views Havana as a national security threat, and how pressure on Venezuela is reverberating through Colombia’s political system ahead of critical elections.

The episode also explores the weakening of the São Paulo Forum, the future of leftist coordination in the region, and the limits of U.S. influence in rolling back China’s economic and strategic footprint across Latin America.

A clear-eyed discussion of power, security, and regime durability, offering concrete indicators for what may determine whether the region stabilizes or enters a new phase of turbulence in the months ahead.

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Since 2022, sweeping Western sanctions have reshaped but not halted Russia’s global oil exports. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here. 

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Governments use stablecoins and CBDCs to generate demand for debt and embed controls that postpone fiscal pain while avoiding market discipline. An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here. 

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Relations between Riyadh and the White House are warming, driven by different but complementary objectives.

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Russia’s war in Ukraine elevates Kyrgyzstan as a China-backed hub for sanctions avoidance, reshaping global trade transparency norms. An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here. 

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Venezuela’s interim leader, Delcy Rodriguez, is guiding the country under U.S. oversight following Maduro’s capture, with amnesty and oil reforms underway. An analysis by Alejandro Pena Esclusa. Read the full report here. 

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Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions lead to military threats and economic risks, despite fragile, indirect talks. An analysis by Giorgio Cafiero. Read the full report here. 

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As a two-year consumer and liquidity-fueled boom petered out in 2025, the economy has transitioned into a complex mix of resilience and stagnation. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here. 

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