Unexpected Points

Unexpected Points

Download on the App Store

Unexpected Points episodes

  • Judging Executives' Draft Evaluations, Lamar Contract, Q&A

    View on YouTube:

    Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.



    This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
    48 min
  • Processing the NFL Draft: Hayden Winks, Underdog Fantasy
    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com

    Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) or Underdog Fantasy joins the pod to talk through all that went down in the NFL draft, including:

    * How to properly account for the feedback from NFL teams in our projections

    * What really dictates usage and early career starts for rookie quarterbacks

    * Weighing landing spots versus macro environments

    Watch on YouTube:

    31 min
  • Pod: Analytical Draft Grades

    Another YouTube livestream. Check out the audio or video, plus subscribe on YouTube to catch future episodes and have the ability to ask questions.

    Watch on YouTube:



    This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
    1 hr 4 min
  • NFL Draft Skill Position Rankings: Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis
    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com

    Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) of Sharp Football Analysis and I talk:

    * If there’s a reliable running back other than Bijan Robinson in the class

    * Should Bijan go in the first round?

    * How to think about a weaker and smaller wide receiver class

    * Why Jalin Hyatt might have more NFL value than fantasy

    * How waiting at tight end is the right decision for NFL teams

    * Why he has …

    37 min
  • Research recap, Keeping it analytical goes wrong, Q&A

    Kevin details the Unexpected Points research from this week, plus: -

    * How a couple analytically savvy analyst get it wrong with Lamar Jackson splits -

    * Taking YouTube livestream questions

    Watch on Youtube:



    This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
    1 hr 15 min
  • Evaluating the 2023 NFL draft process: Mike Renner, PFF
    This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com

    Mike Renner of PFF (@PFF_Mike) joins me to talk:

    * How his ranking process incorporates positional value

    * Ranking lower-value positions, like running back and tight end, in a good class at each position.

    * Why he has Bryce Young as the clear QB1.

    * Should teams be thinking more about upside and Anthony Richardson at No. 1

    * Standing out in a lot of draft noise withou…

    29 min

About Unexpected Points

From the publisher's feed

Unexpected Points takes a look at the NFL through a uniquely analytical lens and challenges our assumptions about the game. Each week, data scientist Kevin Cole discusses the topical and macro issues…