I often feel like I’m living two lives. There’s the world I live in that I can see around me. Then there’s the world I can’t see but can feel in my heart. The gap between them seems to be getting wider and wider. Something is amiss. Is there a day of reckoning coming? Is change going to happen? 

John Waters is a man who isn’t afraid to speak the truth. He’s able to put words to how many of us are feeling. In this captivating episode of UPThinking Finance™, John Waters returns to talk about the current state of the world, whether or not we’re in a spiritual war, and how to take steps in the right direction.

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• The current state of Ireland (and the world) [2:07] 
• What can we anchor ourselves to? [12:12] 
• Is change going to happen? [17:51] 
• Are we in a spiritual war? [23:18] 
• The God we found in Alcoholics Anonymous [29:47]
• Taking steps in the right direction [41:08] 
• Live your life to the fullest today [44:07]

Resources & People Mentioned

• The Sibling Society by Robert Bly
• Not God: A History of Alcoholics Anonymous
• John Waters & Dr Thomas Binder on The Abi Roberts Show
• Episode #38: As Goes Ireland, So Goes the World

Connect With John Waters

• John’s Substack
• John’s Website

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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Peter Cavelti is a financial advisor who shares a similar worldview as we do. He was one of the first investment managers to recognize some of the defining trends of our time, such as the ascent of emerging economies and the dramatic reversal of globalization. In this episode of UPThinking Finance™, we have a conversation about his career, his opinion on the US debt, and how he navigates financial planning with the future in mind. 

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• Learn more about Peter Cavelti [3:23]
• Peter’s thoughts on the Covid conversation [7:34] 
• The biggest challenge Peter’s had to overcome [13:36] 
• Is the US debt spiraling out of control? [19:32] 
• How Peter structures their investment portfolio [28:25]
• Navigating the narrative within the industry [36:42]

Peter Cavelti is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers.

Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC.

The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. 

Connect With Peter Cavelti

• Subscribe to Peter’s newsletter at Cavelti & Associates, Ltd.

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

Dr. Tess Lawrie is the Founder and Director of The Evidence-Based Medicine Consultancy (EBMC). She also sits on the steering committee for the World Council of Health, which sponsors The Better Way Conference. She is committed to improving the quality of healthcare through rigorous research. 

She envisions a healthier world in which science and learned wisdom are brought together to empower people to take responsibility for their own health. That’s why she helped found the World Council for Health and The Great FreeSet. Learn what pushed Dr. Lawrie to take a stand—and what you can do to join the Great FreeSet—in this episode of UPThinking Finance™.

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• When Dr. Lawrie worked as an external consultant [3:18] 
• The power of the World Health Organization (WHO) [10:33] 
• Learn about the Great FreeSet and its mission [16:22] 
• Why it's time to do some research [29:20]
• The goal of The Better Way Conference [34:13]

Resources & People Mentioned

• The Great FreeSet
• The Better Way Conference
• World Council for Health
• The Conscience of Medicine
• My Letter to Dr Andrew Hill Video
• Dr. Lawre’s Speech at IICC Conference
• Early Covid-19 Treatment Guidelines

Connect With Dr. Tess Lawrie

• Dr. Lawrie’s Substack
• Connect on LinkedIn
• World Council for Health (WCH) on Twitter

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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Wealth planning is an exercise in risk management. Our role as advisors is to manage risks for our clients. We place our clients and their goals first. That means that we do things differently than most. In this episode of UPThinking finance™, Amy and I will share why “This time is different” and how we operate, keeping our client’s best interests in mind. 

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• Our backgrounds in the financial industry [2:41]
• This time it’s different [9:12]
• Risk definitions for today [13:01] 
• How do we proceed? [16:07]
• We can’t rely on the past [23:25]
• What we’re grateful for [27:35] 

Amy LeNoble and Emerson Fersch are Registered Representatives with, and securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, a Registered Investment Advisor, Member FINRA/SIPC.

The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. 

Resources & People Mentioned

• The Asian Financial Crisis 1995–98 by Russell Napier
• China, Saudi Drive BRICS’ Push to Erase Dollar in Global Economy
• Top 10 Dow Jones Drops
• 2008 Recession: What It Was and What Caused It
• US Debt Clock
• US Government Debt
• Adaptive Asset Allocation

Connect with Emerson Fersch and Amy LeNoble

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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Foresight is an act of thinking about and looking toward the future. Those who engage in foresight are working toward building the future, not just predicting what may happen. Today’s guest, John Smart, has a Master’s Degree in Future Studies and 22 years of experience as a Foresight Consultant. John’s mission is to help others achieve more adaptive futures for themselves, their teams, and their organizations. He shares more about the psychology of foresight and how it should influence the decision-making process in this episode of UPThinking Finance™. 

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• What is the practice of foresight? [3:13]
• Thinking, Fast and Slow (dual-process thinking) [8:10] 
• The importance of dissecting knowns and unknowns [11:23] 
• How “Accelerating Change” affects decision-making [16:45]
• Does God play a role in foresight? [23:07] 
• How John has impacted us personally and professionally [34:30] 
• Getting to the point where we flourish [38:03]

John Smart is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers.

Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC.

The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. 

Resources & People Mentioned

• Introduction to Foresight
• Thinking, Fast and Slow
• Rethinking Positive Thinking
• The Fearless Organization
• Future Shock
• Superforecasting
• Mindset
• The Righteous Mind
• The Dragons of Eden
• CliftonStrengths assessment

Connect With John Smart

• Connect on LinkedIn
• Foresight Development

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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For the last 400–500 years Western Powers controlled and dominated global trade and finance. Alex Krainer believes that the current empire is coming to an end. The world is shifting, both politically and economically. He also believes that these inevitable processes are leading us toward better things. It may seem that the world is falling apart but we might actually be working toward a better future. He shares his thoughts in this episode of UPThinking Finance™.

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• Alex’s thoughts on the world right now [2:57]
• The two forces that can’t be defeated [16:29]
• We need to stop fighting change [30:52] 
• How the movement in Europe impacts the US [37:17] 
• Alex’s message of unity and hope [46:44] 

Connect With Alex Krainer

• Connect on LinkedIn
• Follow on Twitter
• I-System Trend Following
• The Naked Hedgie

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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Almost every financial services firm does the same thing for people. They’re operating following same-old same-old principles. Why is it a problem? Firms are seeking ways to differentiate themselves but are doing so in external ways. Some are trying to leverage technology. Others are focusing on credentials that set them apart. 

Measuring performance via benchmarks has been the most detrimental to today’s investors. Why do they matter? Your investments should be about your individual goals. We’ve been operating in a bubble in an artificially built-up market that is beginning to shift because interest rates are going up. 

I can’t continue to operate and advise clients the same way I was five years ago. We must adapt. Mike Philbrick—the Chief Executive Officer of ReSolve Global—shares why adaptive asset allocation is going to become increasingly important in this episode of UPThinking Finance™.

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• The state of the financial services industry [0:41]
• How Mike landed in quantitative analysis [8:06] 
• The Tetlock study on “Expert Political Judgment” [9:25] 
• The problem with bench marketing [16:13]
• Strategic vs tactical vs dynamic asset allocation [21:06] 
• The role of volatility and correlation in asset management [30:54]
• The importance of dynamic portfolio management [37:10] 
• The point of return stacking and adaptive asset allocation [42:55]
• What retirees should be thinking about [45:32] 

Resources & People Mentioned

• Adaptive Asset Allocation
• Just 10 Stocks Drive Half The Year's Monster $2.5 Trillion Rally
• The Tetlock study on “Expert Political Judgment”
• Against the Gods by Peter L. Bernstein

Connect With Mike Philbrick

• ReSolve Asset Management
• Connect on LinkedIn

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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In today’s interview, you’ll get to meet my business partner: Amy LeNoble. Amy always dreamed of becoming a professional dancer. She attended Loyola Marymount University to pursue her vision, graduating with a bachelor’s degree in dance (while minoring in business administration).

But Amy also developed a passion for finance. Over the last nine years, Amy grew from receptionist to administrative assistant to becoming a Licensed Registered Representative with LPL Financial, the largest independent brokerage in the United States.

Now, Amy is my partner at Capital Investment Advisers. She shares her journey and the value she strives to bring to our clients in this episode of Upthinking Finance™. 

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• Amy’s dream to become a professional dancer [3:55]
• Why Amy made a career shift from dance to finance [11:26] 
• Would Amy do anything differently? [14:53]
• Diving into the world of finance [18:34]
• Amy’s experience climbing the ladder in finance [23:29]
• Amy’s strategy focuses on building relationships [28:43] 
• The changes coming to the Upthinking Finance™ podcast [37:33]

Amy LeNoble is a Registered Rep with securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, a Registered Investment Advisor, Member FINRA/SIPC.

Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC.

The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. 

Connect With Amy Lenoble

• Capital Investment Advisers 
• Connect on LinkedIn

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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Christof Plothe, D.O. is a Dr. of Osteopathic Medicine who currently works as a naturopath in Germany. He’s authored and co-authored numerous books and studies.

He currently serves as a steering committee member of the World Council for Health, which is a global coalition of health-oriented organizations and civil society groups designed to inform people about health and human rights. 

Christof seeks to bring humans back into cooperation with their environment to create a sustainable recovery of humans and the planet. 

Christof shares his thoughts on many topics in this episode, prioritizing our need to advocate for our rights. He covers why what’s happening in the world isn’t just a conspiracy theory, but reality. What can we do to embrace a better way of living? Listen to this episode of UpThinking Finance™ to learn more. 

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• Being raised under the “weight of fear” [2:56]
• Christof’s thoughts on the European Union [6:30] 
• Why is the World Health Organization making policies? [11:31]
• Why what’s happening isn’t just a “conspiracy theory” [13:00] 
• Is money enough for people to compromise integrity? [19:12] 
• The concept of a 15-minute city [24:05] 
• Is technology negatively impacting our bodies? [29:58]

Resources & People Mentioned

• The effects of unregulated digitalization on health and democracy
• Dr. Neal Barnard's Program for Reversing Diabetes
• Association of Vitamin D Status and Other Clinical Characteristics With COVID-19 Test Results
• Could diet and exercise reduce risk of COVID-19 syndemic?

Connect With Christof Plothe, D.O.

• Christof’s website

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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In the early 1980s, John Waters—an Irish thinker, talker, and author—was a correspondent for Ireland’s “The Hot Press,” a Rock & Roll newspaper. He contributed reviews and interviews and wrote a regular radio review column. 

He shifted the paper from rock and folk music to a wider engagement with politics and culture. He’s written several books, including his most recent, “Give Us Back the Back Roads.” 

In this episode of Upthinking Finance™, John joins me to discuss what’s happening in Ireland and how it reflects on the greater world. From a loss of pride in one’s country to a shift in morality, we cover it all. 

You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...

• Notable transitions happening in Ireland [1:38]
• The loss of pride in one’s country [7:27] 
• Covid led to connections [10:51] 
• A discussion of Philip Rieff’s three worlds [16:04] 
• Why are people so easily bought? [22:33] 
• Where is the world headed? [32:55] 

John Waters is not affiliated with or endorsed by LPL Financial or Capital Investment Advisers.

Securities and Advisory services offered through LPL Financial. A registered investment advisor. Member FINRA & SIPC.

The financial professionals associated with LPL Financial may discuss and/or transact business only with residents of the states in which they are properly registered or licensed. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident of any other state. 

Resources & People Mentioned

• Give Us Back the Back Roads
• Trend Following with Alex Krainer
• The Asian Financial Crisis with Russell Napier
• The Wretched of the Earth
• Black Skin, White Masks
• The Collapse of Antiquity
• Good Life Project podcast

Connect With John Waters

• Johnwaters.substack.com
• John’s Website

Connect with Emerson Fersch

• Capital Investment Advisers
• On LinkedIn

Subscribe to Upthinking Finance

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