The U.S. economic policy seems to be “run it hot,” argues Reid I’Anson, anticipating 50-75 bps in rate cuts this year and higher deficit spending. However, this creates concerns about inflation. “You have to focus on the U.S. consumer this year,” he adds; it really has to “pick up this year.” Abroad, he calls the Chinese economy unbalanced, but thinks its exports will remain strong. However, it is seeking customers outside the U.S., and he says to watch whether places like Europe raise import controls. Reid also comments on what could come out of the unrest in Iran.

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