An AI-generated attack ad against James Fishback aired during the World Cup final and it's so absurd we watched it three times! Jacob and Garth break down why AI ads are about to be everywhere in 2028, who's actually behind this one, and whether the "$10 million ad buy" claim passes the smell test. (Actual ad here: https://x.com/TeamFishback/status/2078957886403670411/video/1)

Then the real news: Lindsey Graham's sister, Darline Graham Nordone, has been sworn in to finish his term — but the August 11 special primary is where it gets interesting. Traders have her at 67 cents against Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, and the guys debate whether a Trump endorsement plus the family name makes her inevitable or whether this primary blows up.

Plus: Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins 49-46 in the first Maine poll since Platner's exit (don't run away with it), AOC won't rule out 2028 and Jacob calls her 55-cent "runs for president" contract the bargain of the week, and the fundraising numbers that should terrify Republicans: Talarico's $54.5M to Paxton's $3.9M in Texas, Ossoff sitting on a mountain in Georgia.

Chapters:

00:00 The AI attack ad (watch #1)

06:50 Arizona primary results

07:40 Graham's seat: Darline, Fry, Norman and the Aug 11 primary

17:12 Maine: Troy Jackson's first poll vs. Collins

20:35 AOC and the 2028 market

22:30 Fundraising blowouts: Texas, Georgia, Alaska

25:40 The ad, one more time (watch #3)

Full episode also on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and iHeart.

Markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

#AIAds #LindseyGraham #PredictionMarkets