Transcription of the begining:
Good afternoon everyone. It is Tuesday, May 4 And we have a weather map that to me looks a little bit complicated to explain, but nobody else feels that way so I'm just gonna go right for it, we have with the St. Louis National Weather Service says that there's a piece of energy over in Minnesota, which they're calling the northern piece of energy another piece of energy is over in the northern Texas and Oklahoma area, and the one that the St. Louis National Weather Service says we'll be affecting their area, the most, and perhaps really the only thing that will be affecting that area is going to be the low pressure system in northern Texas and Oklahoma. Now if you look at a weather map, you'll see that there is a low pressure system up north. There's another low pressure system down south and they're connected by a front, and the one up north is 29.6. And that is exactly what the marine forecasts are saying that there's low pressure of 29.6 So we'll be moving across the lake Michigan and Lake Huron and Lake Ontario today. And then, they don't discuss the one down in the south, because that is not relevant, exactly to the boaters on Lake Michigan, except the Detroit National Weather Service, I think it was the Detroit one did point out that the southern low pressure system is going to increase the wind speeds on Lake Michigan. So there will be some type of an interaction between the two, and therefore they did make mention that there are two of them. And really it's the one down south that's going to be producing a lot of heavy rain, severe thunderstorms for many areas, especially places like an Alabama and Mississippi, Tennessee has reported already severe thunderstorms as of this morning, places rendre tornado tornado watches until 4pm Other places under a tornado watch until 6pm places in Louisiana, Texas as well, Alabama, Mississippi, and there's even some areas in the Carolinas that have already seen, severe thunderstorms today, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, this was the big shocker to me, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania is included in the severe thunderstorm potential, and it's just shocking to see it go all the way up there just for almost no reason at all it just goes up there, then it goes right back down. It's pretty far up north in, if you ask me, But, especially considering that many of these other cities like St. Louis, Missouri. I think they are in the heavy rain potential but I don't think they are in the severe thunderstorm potential. If they are, it's very very minor to 5% Chance within a 25 mile radius, but some of those places down in the middle like in Arkansas and Mississippi and Louisiana are in the enhanced risk area which is already a 30 or even 35% chance of seeing your weather within a 25 mile radius. Now, this is unique. This storm system is unique for this year, because usually the severe weather threat so far this year has been large hail, in every single one, this one, there is a severe weather threat of large hail, especially when you go down to the Gulf Coast, all the way down there, but the main threat is going to be the damaging winds and the frequent cloud to ground, the ground to score is cloud to ground lightning. In fact, they're even using a different language, some of the national weather services are no longer saying frequent cloud to ground lightning. There have been warnings issued where they're saying continuous cloud to ground lightning this that's something that occurred in the Texas thunderstorms last week, and that is what's going to be occurring in these storms as well, they already did occur in many places in Tennessee and Memphis National Weather Service issued some mornings over there and there's places in Kentucky as well, Alabama, Mississippi, we've already mentioned there's some areas in Arkansas, New Orleans, Louisiana is on the border of a marginal risk to a slight risk so I guess you could say, They're about 20% chance or 15 20% chance or so...
