Checkmate breaks down Bitcoin's market structure, why treasury companies are flooding in, and whether the four-year cycle has finally broken.

We get into how institutional money is reshaping on-chain dynamics, why long-term holders are behaving differently this cycle, and what the recent 80,000 BTC move signals about dormant supply.

Checkmate also explains the risks and opportunities of corporate treasury plays, premium-to-NAV dynamics, and how the rest of this bull market could play out.

In this episode:

- Treasury company dynamics

- Why Bitcoin’s drawdowns are structurally different this cycle

- The rise of institutional-sized transactions and empty mempools

- What the 80,000 BTC sale tells us about long-dormant coins

- The quantum debate

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Dylan LeClair breaks down the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies, why corporate adoption may be hitting a “gradually then suddenly” inflection point, and whether Michael Saylor’s lead is now insurmountable.

We get into how Metaplanet scaled from a few hundred Bitcoin to 16,000+, what’s driving premiums over NAV, and why public capital markets are becoming the biggest buyers of Bitcoin.

Dylan also explains Saylor’s latest innovation, “Stretch", and explains why this could transform corporate balance sheets and fixed income markets.

In this episode:

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Nik Bhatia breaks down why Bitcoin may have broken free of its four-year cycle and what that means for the next decade.

We discuss Bitcoin's market maturity, compressed volatility, and how new corporate demand are reshaping price dynamics — and why this could mean an end to drawn out bear markets and blow-off tops.

We get into how macro forces like liquidity, rate policy, and U.S. fiscal dominance intersect with Bitcoin, whether Powell vs. Trump really matters, and why Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2032.

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Jeff Booth explains why free markets are naturally deflationary and why this changes everything.

What if the entire economy is built on a lie? Jeff Booth argues our credit-based system fights the natural deflation of free markets through endless money manipulation — and why Bitcoin creates the first truly global free market.

We explore how AI accelerates abundance, why most people are stuck in “Fiatland,” and how Bitcoin adoption will transform everything from housing to global power structures.

In this episode:

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Thomas Pacchia is the co-founder of Pubkey.

In this episode, we get into the evolving culture of Bitcoin, why number-go-up narratives overshadow deeper principles like privacy, self-sovereignty, and freedom. Thomas explains why he believes Bitcoin risks becoming disconnected from its original ethos, and the importance of maintaining a robust, culturally-driven Bitcoin community.

We also discuss the increasing role of institutions, treasuries, and ETFs in Bitcoin, how regulatory frameworks like the Patriot Act and Bank Secrecy Act challenge financial privacy, and why these battles are crucial for Bitcoin's future.

We also discuss Pubkey and it's expansion into DC and Bitcoin culture, and adoption on a global scale.

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Mauricio Di Bartolomeo is the co-founder of Ledn, the largest consumer Bitcoin lender.

In this episode, we discuss how Ledn survived the collapse of BlockFi and Celsius, why they’ve removed all rehypothecation and Ethereum products, and why Bitcoin-backed loans are set to reshape global credit markets.

Mauricio explains how banks entering the space could drive rates lower and why Ledn is focused solely on Bitcoin. Mauricio also shares his personal story of growing up in Venezuela under hyperinflation, discovering Bitcoin, and building Ledn to give people everywhere access to the same financial tools.

Root is a Bitcoin on-chain analyst and the author of the "Bitcoin Strategy Platform" Substack.

In this episode, we discuss the current state of Bitcoin’s bull market, why Root believes there’s no basis for a prolonged bear market, and how institutional demand is changing Bitcoin’s price dynamics. We cover Bitcoin’s structural adoption through ETFs, treasury companies, and sovereign buyers, and why these may limited downside volatility.

We also get into the psychological stages of the market, why 100k could now serve as Bitcoin’s new baseline, and how macro factors like interest rate cuts and Trump’s policies might influence the next leg up.

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Root is a Bitcoin on-chain analyst and the author of the "Bitcoin Strategy Platform" Substack.

In this episode, we discuss the current state of Bitcoin’s bull market, why Root believes there’s no basis for a prolonged bear market, and how institutional demand is changing Bitcoin’s price dynamics. We cover Bitcoin’s structural adoption through ETFs, treasury companies, and sovereign buyers, and why these may limited downside volatility.

We also get into the psychological stages of the market, why 100k could now serve as Bitcoin’s new baseline, and how macro factors like interest rate cuts and Trump’s policies might influence the next leg up.

THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS:

IREN

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Danny Knowles: https://x.com/\_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny

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Mitchell Askew is Head of Research at Blockware and author of The Conservative Case for Bitcoin.

In this episode, we discuss the growing role of Bitcoin treasury companies, how miners are evolving into treasury plays, and why Blockware is betting on mining as a tool for institutional Bitcoin accumulation. We get into companies choosing ASICs over spot Bitcoin, how tax incentives and cash flow denominated in Bitcoin are changing the landscape, and the emergence of global copycats of MicroStrategy.

We also get into the dynamics of hash rate, Bitcoin price, and the impact of ETFs on volatility. Finally, we cover the generational gap in Bitcoin adoption, why Gen Z isn’t saving, and why Mitchell believes the four-year Bitcoin cycle is dead - and that Bitcoin will now “stair-step” its way to $1 million.

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CJ Konstantinos is the Founder of People’s Reserve.

In this episode, we discuss Bitcoin’s rise as digital gold, its role in revolutionising real estate and finance, and why it’s poised to become the ultimate pristine collateral. We get into the maturation of the Bitcoin bull market and the potential for Bitcoin bonds to recapitalise economies. CJ also discusses the importance of free market money, the risks of financialisation, and how Bitcoiners can vote with their money to drive a peaceful financial revolution.

We also cover the implications of using Bitcoin as collateral for mortgages, the dangers of liquidation risk, and why MicroStrategy could become a central bank of the digital economy.

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Follow: Danny Knowles: https://x.com/_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny CJ Konstantinos: https://x.com/CJKonstantinos

Matthew Pines is a the Executive Director at Bitcoin Policy Institute and an advisor to Skywatcher.

In this episode, we explore the evolving landscape of UAPs, why the U.S. government may be sitting on legacy programs involving non-human intelligence, and how the 2017 New York Times article triggered a wave of official investigations and whistleblower disclosures.

We also get into the parallels between Bitcoin and UAPs as epistemic journeys, the UAP Disclosure Act, and why some believe we’re facing a constitutional crisis over secret government programs. Finally, we discuss Skywatcher's effort to gather empirical UAP data, why new physics might be locked behind closed doors, and how the next scientific paradigm shift could reshape our understanding of reality.

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Follow: Danny Knowles: https://x.com/_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny Matthew Pines: https://x.com/matthew_pines