Straight Outta Vegas AM

What I Bet - Thursday February 5th


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Griffin Warner talk betting for the Super Bowl, college basketball and much more.

Griffin Warner returned with episode 13 of What I Bet on the Pregame.com podcast network, airing on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed, breaking down the February 5, 2026 betting card across multiple sports with a focus on value and line movement. Warner opened with a brief recap of the prior best bet on Florida Atlantic, which pushed after the team lost a large first half lead amid injuries and illness, noting that such volatility is part of college basketball. He then turned to the Super Bowl, where the line remained steady with the New England Patriots as five point underdogs and a total of 45 and a half in Santa Clara, highlighting the Patriots’ undefeated road record, their preference for white jerseys, and the long running trend of underdogs performing well in the Super Bowl. Shifting to Major League Baseball futures, Warner discussed the St. Louis Cardinals, a team he has monitored closely this offseason as they strip payroll and reset the organization following years of decline. He cited the trade of Brendan Donovan, the departure of Nolan Arenado with the club absorbing much of his contract, and organizational fallout after the Houston scandal as signs of a franchise at rock bottom. With the Cardinals listed at 69 and a half wins at BetOnline, Warner noted the under priced at minus 130 and suggested the number could continue to drop given the direction of the roster. The show then moved into European cup soccer, starting with the Coupe de France round of 16 match between Strasbourg and Monaco. Warner outlined Strasbourg’s unique situation under Chelsea ownership, including the recent poaching of their manager and a roster heavy with Chelsea loanees, while noting late market movement that made Strasbourg a quarter goal favorite at home. He expressed reservations about Strasbourg’s mindset and leaned toward Monaco if the price held, while observing a high total driven by both teams’ attacking tendencies. In the Coppa Italia, Warner analyzed Atalanta versus Juventus in Bergamo, explaining that earlier market support for Juventus had shifted and that he preferred Atalanta at a pick given their midseason managerial change and home advantage, with some interest in the under pending lineups. The Copa del Rey matchup between Real Betis and Atletico Madrid followed, with Warner highlighting Betis as a live home underdog in a temporary stadium setting, pointing to Atletico’s long term road struggles and Betis’ motivation to win silverware beyond European qualification. The latter portion of the show covered a light college basketball slate, including Penn State as a large road underdog at Michigan, West Virginia at Cincinnati in a low total defensive matchup where the under appealed, Maryland catching seven at home against Ohio State despite poor form, and Memphis visiting UAB in a key American Athletic Conference game. Warner was critical of Memphis under Penny Hardaway, citing poor shooting and lack of trust in coaching despite talent, while praising UAB coach Andy Kennedy. After sharing a Pregame.com promo code offering fifteen dollars off through February ninth, Warner closed the episode with his best bet, UAB minus one and a half at home against Memphis, calling it a fade of a Memphis team he does not believe in and endorsing UAB’s stability on its home floor.

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