Straight Outta Vegas AM

What I Bet - Tuesday January 13th


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Griffin Warner talk betting for Tuesday.

Tuesday’s edition of What I Bet focused on a wide-ranging betting card that moved from the NFL postseason into European soccer and a deep college basketball slate, with an emphasis on market movement, situational spots, and price sensitivity rather than headline chasing. The show opened with a recap of Monday night’s NFL result, noting the end of Pittsburgh’s season and a defensive performance that preserved an under despite late pressure, reinforcing how thin margins define playoff betting value. Attention then shifted to the newly released Wild Card lines, where Buffalo’s trip to Denver stood out after an early favorite position slipped to a pick’em, highlighting uncertainty tied to rest versus rust and the appeal of grabbing whichever side closes as the underdog. San Francisco’s trip to Seattle drew caution as injuries pushed the number to seven and a half, a price that felt heavy given the playoff setting and recent offensive struggles, while Houston’s road matchup in New England was framed as a defensive grind likely to test whether the market would return to a key number of three. The Rams visiting Chicago rounded out the NFL discussion, with cold weather and game script favoring a Bears team positioned as a home underdog despite seeding. From there, the card moved overseas to the German Bundesliga, where scheduling quirks, winter breaks, and postponed matches shaped early season form. Stuttgart versus Eintracht Frankfurt was analyzed through defensive reliability and goal totals, while Borussia Dortmund’s home dominance made fading them uncomfortable despite an inflated spread against Werder Bremen. Matchups involving Mainz, Heidenheim, Augsburg, and Leverkusen emphasized managerial changes, squad depth, and conservative tactical tendencies, steering interest toward under totals and home underdogs where insurance mattered. The final segment ran through a dense college basketball schedule, stressing coaching edges, travel spots, and market overreactions. Games such as Villanova at Providence, Marquette at St. John’s, Texas A&M at Tennessee, and Wisconsin at Minnesota were framed around motivation and number value rather than team reputation. Additional looks at matchups across the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, and West Coast Conference reinforced a theme of patience and selectivity. The official selection landed on Minnesota plus two at home against Wisconsin, citing spot advantage after a recent upset win and skepticism that the Badgers could sustain momentum away from home.


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