Straight Outta Vegas AM

What I Bet - Wednesday February 4th


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Griffin Warner talks Wednesday betting and much more. Super Bowl discussion is heating up.

Episode 12 of What I Bet on Pregame.com, hosted by Griffin Warner on the Vegas AM feed, delivered a wide ranging Wednesday betting breakdown spanning the Super Bowl, European soccer cup competitions, and a loaded college basketball slate. Warner opened with the NFL, noting limited movement in the Super Bowl market with New England still laying five to Seattle, a total of 45.5, and slightly heavier juice on the Patriots at BetOnline, as bettors continue to wait on clarity surrounding Drake May’s status. From there the focus shifted to Europe, beginning with the Carabao Cup semifinals where Manchester City host Newcastle in the second leg holding a 2 0 aggregate advantage. City have seen support pushing them to a three quarter goal favorite, with Newcastle facing a difficult road task given long term away struggles and the need to score at least twice to force extra time. In Spain’s Copa del Rey, Warner discussed Valencia hosting Athletic Club Bilbao in a pick em that has seen road money despite Athletic’s injury issues, including uncertainty around Nico Williams, while totals have moved toward the over after heavy early under juice. He also broke down Alaves versus Real Sociedad, another Basque matchup, highlighting fatigue, physical play, and a strong lean toward the under in a low scoring environment. The tour continued through France’s Coupe de France, where Warner reviewed several round of 16 matchups, including Lorient versus FC Paris, Nice laying three quarters of a goal to Montpellier, and Troyes hosting Lens, with limited betting interest but clear observations on form, motivation, and market pricing. In Italy’s Coppa Italia, Inter Milan hosting Torino stood out as a potential low scoring affair given Torino’s scoring issues and possible lack of focus as underdogs. Germany’s DFB Pokal rounded out the soccer slate, with Stuttgart drawing money as a one goal road favorite at Holstein Kiel, reflecting their strength and cup pedigree. Warner then pivoted to college basketball, running through key Wednesday games including Seton Hall at Villanova, Michigan State at Minnesota, Central Florida at Houston, and a long list of conference matchups across the country, while questioning current market behavior in the SoCon and other leagues. He closed by offering a Pregame.com promo code, HOOPS10, good for ten dollars off through February 16, and revealed his best bet for the day, backing Florida Atlantic plus two at home against Tulsa, expecting a bounce back performance after a tough road loss.


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