Straight Outta Vegas AM

What I Bet - Wednesday March 4th


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Griffin Warner talks betting for Wednesday

Griffin Warner’s episode 19 of What I Bet, dated March 4, 2026, covered European soccer and a large Wednesday college basketball slate, ending with a best bet and a Pregame.com promo code. In England, he previewed Aston Villa versus Chelsea as a pick’em with Chelsea juiced and a 2.75 total shaded slightly to the over, saying Villa’s defensive home profile makes them attractive when priced as an underdog and that he was waiting for a move to a quarter-goal dog before likely backing them. For Brighton versus Arsenal, he cited Brighton as three-quarter-goal home underdogs with Arsenal carrying the juice, and a 2.5 total priced heavily to the under, adding that he would need plus one to consider Brighton and that he generally leans under 2.5 in Arsenal matches. Fulham versus West Ham was listed with Fulham a half-goal favorite and the away side taking the juice, with a 2.75 total near even but slightly toward the under; he leaned West Ham and also leaned under while noting he would prefer a three. Manchester City versus Nottingham Forest had City as one-and-a-quarter goal favorites and a total of three heavily juiced to the under, and Warner raised concerns about Forest’s managerial changes and a rest disadvantage after Europa League action. Newcastle versus Manchester United was described as essentially a pick’em that had moved toward United, with a total of three heavily juiced to the over; he questioned United as a road favorite at St. James’ Park and said he was waiting for Newcastle to reach a quarter-goal underdog, expecting to play that and likely the pick’em as well. In Spain’s Copa del Rey second leg, he noted Real Sociedad hosting Athletic Club Bilbao with a 1-0 aggregate edge, describing the two-leg format and listing Sociedad as quarter-goal favorites with a 2.25 total slightly to the over, while he found under 2.25 interesting. In Italy’s Coppa Italia, he discussed Lazio as quarter-goal home underdogs to Atalanta in a first leg with a 2.25 total juiced heavily to the under, leaning to a conservative game state, Lazio plus a quarter, and the under, while also citing advance prices of Lazio plus 2.31 and Atalanta minus 3.15 to advance. In France’s Coupe de France, he covered Lorient versus Nice and Marseille versus Toulouse, noting Toulouse interest if the line reached a full goal. He then ran through college basketball including Creighton at Butler, Minnesota at Indiana, Texas at Arkansas, Providence versus Marquette, Duquesne at Rhode Island, California at Georgia Tech, Ohio State at Penn State, Villanova at DePaul, Purdue at Northwestern, and Baylor at Houston, while repeatedly stressing the importance of checking venues for tournament games. He gave the promo code FREETHROW20 for 20% off at Pregame.com through March 8, and closed with his best bet: SMU minus one-and-a-half at home to Miami, Florida.

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