Trump fired Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026 — and a now $2.5 million market has emerged on who comes next. On this episode of Universal Basic Kalshi Guys, Evan and Amir break down the Kalshi market for Trump's next Attorney General, walk through the leading candidates, assess their real probabilities, and ask the question the market is actually pricing: what does Trump want from the DOJ right now?

We cover: — Why Bondi was fired and what it signals about Trump's priorities at DOJ — Lee Zeldin (EPA Administrator, ~58% on Kalshi): the frontrunner, the reporting behind his lead, and why the market trusts him — Todd Blanche (Acting AG, ~27%): Trump's former personal lawyer and the path-of-least-resistance pick — Mike Lee (Senator, Utah, ~8%): the constitutional conservative who said he's not going anywhere — and whether the market should believe him — Ken Paxton, Harmeet Dhillon, Jay Clayton, and the rest of the field — How to think about this market analytically: what each candidate choice signals about the direction of the next two years of DOJ — The Kalshi vs. Polymarket divergence and what it tells you about contract structure

Kalshi market: kxnextag-29 | Recorded April 5, 2026

Universal Basic Kalshi Guys is a podcast about prediction markets, political forecasting, and the intersection of markets and current events. New episodes drop regularly. Like and subscribe for more.