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Recent highlights in low back pain research, Part I: Diagnosis and Prognosis

This narrative review synthesizes recent research on the diagnosis and prognosis of low back pain, highlighting five core themes to assist clinical decision-making. The authors emphasize that serious spinal pathologies are extremely rare, suggesting that clinicians should evaluate overall patient risk rather than relying on isolated red flags. The text criticizes the continued overuse of diagnostic imaging, noting that most findings are common in healthy individuals and lack significant predictive value. Furthermore, the review suggests that embracing diagnostic uncertainty and focusing on modifiable lifestyle factors is more effective than providing potentially harmful structural labels. Findings indicate that while many patients recover quickly, recurrences are frequent, and traditional terms like "acute" or "chronic" often fail to reflect actual pain trajectories. Finally, the researchers identify psychological and physical prognostic factors for delayed recovery but conclude that current prediction models are not yet ready for practical implementation.

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