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Why Hyperliquid Is Will's Biggest Conviction Buy | Ep 45📈🤑
Good now revolutionaries— Will runs Market Watch solo from his parents' place in Maine. Bitcoin already rolling over as the show opens — sub $64K, broken below the 12/21/55 EMAs on the 4-hour chart with plenty of room to the downside. Daily chart: short signal triggered going into the full moon. Weekly: rounding-over pattern, $62.4K is the line in the sand (200-week SMA) — break that and $51K–$45K opens up. Three-month chart is the one he's watching — stochastic RSI still not in oversold territory, which is what historically marks the end of every bear market. Probably one more candle to go (~3 more months) before that flips. Bull market base case: end of summer / early fall.
Stock picks: Circle (CRCL) at $80, target $65 to fill the IPO-day gap from February — Will is bullish into that buy zone. Bullish on Coinbase too. Both should outperform Bitcoin on percentage gain when sentiment turns. Saylor selling 1,000+ Bitcoin instead of his recent 32 would be the panic catalyst that flushes BTC to $30K or even a $22K wick — Will would buy as much as he could in that scenario. Power law chart eyeballs as a better long-term DCA model than the rainbow chart.
Hyperliquid is his highest-conviction bet — would make it his biggest position. Buyback math: ~$2–2.8M/day in bear-market conditions = ~30–50k tokens/day = ~11M–18M tokens/year = ~4% of total supply absorbed annually. Half the supply is already in circulation. He's hoping for HYPE to drop to $40–50 range to load up. Pudgy Penguins / Pengu thesis: if Igloo IPOs, the stock outperforms the meme coin. Aerodrome strong because of the Coinbase-to-Base flywheel.
TA roundup on viewer requests: Solana = bear flag, 9th red monthly candle in a row, target $46 (DCA range $46→$25); SUI = no real adoption growth, ugly chart; Polkadot = too late to the interoperability game, well-funded but no users; Aster = OK adoption but ugly chart; Tron = double top, $0.317 critical; Cardano = sad chart, near weekly oversold; WorldCoin = take profits (caller up 79% from $0.34, short signal flashing 8h); Cypher + TerraWolf = profit-taking range, bearish divergence on TW; Wormhole = great solution, terrible coin. Plus a one-week-out preview: macro corner with PCE inflation + Q1 GDP final revision Thursday.
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☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.
🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗
LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.
📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.
⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐
LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.
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By Rise Up MediaGood now revolutionaries— Will runs Market Watch solo from his parents' place in Maine. Bitcoin already rolling over as the show opens — sub $64K, broken below the 12/21/55 EMAs on the 4-hour chart with plenty of room to the downside. Daily chart: short signal triggered going into the full moon. Weekly: rounding-over pattern, $62.4K is the line in the sand (200-week SMA) — break that and $51K–$45K opens up. Three-month chart is the one he's watching — stochastic RSI still not in oversold territory, which is what historically marks the end of every bear market. Probably one more candle to go (~3 more months) before that flips. Bull market base case: end of summer / early fall.
Stock picks: Circle (CRCL) at $80, target $65 to fill the IPO-day gap from February — Will is bullish into that buy zone. Bullish on Coinbase too. Both should outperform Bitcoin on percentage gain when sentiment turns. Saylor selling 1,000+ Bitcoin instead of his recent 32 would be the panic catalyst that flushes BTC to $30K or even a $22K wick — Will would buy as much as he could in that scenario. Power law chart eyeballs as a better long-term DCA model than the rainbow chart.
Hyperliquid is his highest-conviction bet — would make it his biggest position. Buyback math: ~$2–2.8M/day in bear-market conditions = ~30–50k tokens/day = ~11M–18M tokens/year = ~4% of total supply absorbed annually. Half the supply is already in circulation. He's hoping for HYPE to drop to $40–50 range to load up. Pudgy Penguins / Pengu thesis: if Igloo IPOs, the stock outperforms the meme coin. Aerodrome strong because of the Coinbase-to-Base flywheel.
TA roundup on viewer requests: Solana = bear flag, 9th red monthly candle in a row, target $46 (DCA range $46→$25); SUI = no real adoption growth, ugly chart; Polkadot = too late to the interoperability game, well-funded but no users; Aster = OK adoption but ugly chart; Tron = double top, $0.317 critical; Cardano = sad chart, near weekly oversold; WorldCoin = take profits (caller up 79% from $0.34, short signal flashing 8h); Cypher + TerraWolf = profit-taking range, bearish divergence on TW; Wormhole = great solution, terrible coin. Plus a one-week-out preview: macro corner with PCE inflation + Q1 GDP final revision Thursday.
RUMS Purple Wallet
Want the safest way to store your crypto? The Arculus cold storage wallet keeps your assets completely offline, away from exchanges, away from hackers, and fully in your control. Get your exclusive RUMS x Arculus cold storage wallet today!
Crypto Payment · Card Payment
Support the show
—
Want to hang out with us after the show, get live answers to your questions, or join future giveaways?
Join our free community where the show lives 24/7:
community.rumshq.com
—
☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.
🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗
LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.
📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.
⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐
LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.
—
WANT MORE?
👉Connect w/us on your favorite social: https://rumshq.com
👉Become a guest or sponsor: [email protected]
👉Join our free community: https://community.rumshq.com
FOLLOW OUR HOSTS:
☮️ Evan Mann: https://beacons.ai/conversationswithevan
🤬 Alex Popovic: https://alexpopovic.info
🐬 Will Watson: https://c...