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After a rocky start, the CDU's polling seems to be on the road to recovery having retaken the lead from the AfD after Merz's recent economic and geopolitical wins. So in this video, we'll break down how this shift occurred and whether it can last.

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Sources:

German Opinion Polls

https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/

https://www.infratest-dimap.de/umfragen-analysen/bundesweit/ard-deutschlandtrend/2025/juni/

https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/forsa.htm 

https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article256266478/umfrage-beliebtheitswerte-von-merz-steigen-ausser-hier.html

https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/zustimmung-zu-merz-nimmt-zu-union-in-trendbarometer-deutlich-vor-afd--linke-etwas-schwacher-13870510.html 

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germanys-far-right-afd-tops-poll-first-time-blow-chancellor-in-waiting-merz-2025-04-09/ 

German Economy

https://www.ft.com/content/ad7b6001-52fa-4cf4-a05a-35b994be878e

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/german-industrial-lobby-group-cuts-2025-economic-forecast-us-tariffs-weigh-2025-06-23/ 

https://www.euronews.com/business/2025/06/17/german-economic-morale-soars-in-june-confidence-is-picking-up 

Merz International Diplomacy

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/06/germanys-merz-says-he-agreed-to-boost-cooperation-with-white-house-on-trade-issues.html 

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/05/14/merz-vows-to-rev-up-german-economic-growth-engine_6741276_4.html 

https://www.politico.eu/article/friedrich-merz-germany-election-united-states-donald-trump-nato/

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Video at Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNsquDqf5q0