Mark Zandi calls a 50 basis point cut “premature” given “uncomfortably high” inflation. He’s concerned about the job numbers as well, saying that if anything else “goes off script, we’ll be right into recession.” He argues that we are “very, very close” to recession, and layoffs could upend the apple cart. He discusses the dangers of stagflation and the numbers he’s looking for in jobs reports that would signal the tide has turned.

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