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I continue my conversation with NOAA’s Tom Knutson, diving deeper into the multi-decadal view of hurricane patterns in the Atlantic. Together, we explore the complexities of hurricane frequency and intensity, uncovering why the long-term, multi-decadal variability is crucial in understanding Atlantic hurricane activity.

Tom shares insights into two leading theories explaining Atlantic variability—shifts in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and aerosol cooling from past industrial activity. We also tackle the factors beyond sea surface temperatures that influence hurricanes, such as vertical wind shear and atmospheric moisture. Wrapping up, we discuss how advancements in climate modeling could help us make more accurate long-term projections, emphasizing the importance of integrating scientific understanding into policy decisions.

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