Stats SA has published the latest gross domestic product (GDP) data covering the first quarter of the year, showing that the economy grew by 1.1% in the first three months of 2021. The growth follows a revised 1.4% rise in real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2020. On an annualised basis, the economy grew 4.6% quarter-on-quarter. Following confusion caused by the annualisation of GDP data in 2020 – amid the Covid-19 pandemic and resulting lock-downs –
Stats SA said it would no longer use the annualised data as the headline GDP statistic. During periods of steady economic growth, annualising is a useful way of expressing quarter-on-quarter performance in annual terms, Stats SA said. However, during periods of economic instability, annualising can be misleading, because it exaggerates growth rates that are unlikely to be repeated.
The official number came in higher than projections from the South African Reserve Bank, which expected GDP growth of 2.7% (annualised) in the first quarter – a figure revised upwards from earlier predictions of 0.2%.
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