Arguing Agile

AA117 - You Should Do Time-Based Estimates (Article Review)


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Should we all just be promising and committing to dates when asked?

Today, we're reacting to an article that seemed to express the opposite opinion of our our Roadmaps episode. On further inspection, we find that it's not exactly what it seemed to be at first glance.

Our Roadmaps Episode: AA113 - Debating Outcome-Based vs Output-Based Roadmaps

A step back into time about the XBox One Launch:
https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2020/11/spencer-microsoft-almost-abandoned-xbox-brand-after-the-xbox-one-launch/

...and another...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidthier/2015/09/09/microsofts-former-xbox-head-xbox-one-launch-problems-were-predictable-and-preventable/?sh=322bcd9d49de

...and another...
https://www.businessinsider.com/how-microsoft-bungled-the-xbox-one-launch-2015-8

0:00 Topic Intro
0:45 Reading the Article
2:24 Moving Along...
5:21 Slinging Dates
8:10 Deadlines & Shell Games
11:00 Valid Date Discussions (or Are They?)
13:09 Being Late is No Big Deal (Unless It Is)
16:07 Accountability Issues
17:55 Cut the Scope, Make the Schedule
20:25 A Basic Untruth
21:45 Questions, Not Statements
25:19 Summarizing the Article
27:31 The Blame Game
29:01 Suggestions for Estimation
30:59 Wrap-Up

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AA117 - You Should Do Time-Based Estimates (Article Review)

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Arguing AgileBy Brian Orlando

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