AEC VC

AEC VC

By Patric HellermannBusinessEntrepreneurship
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AEC VC episodes

  • 006 | Thesis: Warehousing For Construction

    In this episode, I dive into an overlooked opportunity in the construction industry: Warehousing. Is there potentially space (pun) to build a generational company, or not?

    I explore why construction is fundamentally a supply chain business and how the lack of just-in-time logistics leads to operational and commercial issues on job sites. Leading to a first principles need for buffering in this complex, interdependent industry, as manufacturers and 3PLs aren't stepping up to fill that buffer role.

    Finally, I put forward a to-be-validated thesis for entrepreneurs by providing off-site warehousing and just-in-time delivery to contractors.

    Tune in to learn about the compelling numbers behind this play and how it could significantly boost margins for contractors while solving a major pain point in the industry.


    (00:58) Construction is a supply chain game

    (02:38) It is anything but just-in-time

    (03:04) Resulting in inventory lying around on sites

    (03:25) Creating operational = Commercial Issues

    (05:44) Buffering will always be required

    (06:00) Manufacturers = 3PL's won't be the buffer

    (09:43) Thesis: The Opportunity


    Why isn't anyone innovating in construction warehousing and logistics? In this episode, I lay out the thesis for a major opportunity in the building industry: providing warehousing as a service for construction projects.


    Construction is fundamentally a supply chain business, but one that is far from "just-in-time." Jobsites are cluttered with inventory, creating massive inefficiencies and risks.


    By strategically locating secure warehouses near major metro areas, a startup could enable contractors to streamline logistics, cut costs, and boost productivity.


    Studies show 25% greater resiliency and 40% lower logistics spend from improved supply chain visibility. The revenue potential is huge.


    I explain the concept and lay out the numbers. If you're a founder who wants to tackle this opportunity, reach out. Leading contractors are eager for this solution.


    Let me know if you would like me to modify this description in any way. The goal was to provide an intriguing summary that captures the key points and encourages listeners to check out the full episode.

    11 min
  • 005 | Outcome-As-A-Service

    In this episode of the AEC_VC podcast, I dig into the concept of "outcome-as-a-service" - a business model that is enabling a new breed of startups to build massive companies in the architecture, engineering, construction and supply chain sectors.


    I explain how outcome-as-a-service differs from SaaS, targeting huge cost centers by guaranteeing project results vs just providing tools. I lay out the attributes of companies winning with this model, from how they align with project budgets and buying processes, to how they leverage technology behind the scenes to deliver an end service.


    Finally, I share examples of trailblazing companies putting outcome-as-a-service into practice across robotics, managed marketplaces, energy audits, engineering services, and contractor platforms. An old-school approach that is unlocking new opportunities - founders, take note!


    (00:00) Summary/Introduction

    (01:53) Services are the norm in AECS: Here's why

    (03:15) The difference to SaaS

    (07:00) THINK: P&L and purchasing

    (08:11) Framework: The attributes of service winners in AECS

    (09:50) Examples

    13 min
  • 004 | Hidden in Spite of Obvious

    In this episode of my AEC_VC podcast, I share my "Hidden in spite of obvious" framework for identifying contrarian investment opportunities in the architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) sectors. I discuss how the most promising early-stage companies I invest in often pursue ideas that are obvious to industry insiders but remain hidden from outsiders. I emphasize the importance of seeking strong signals, such as customer adoption and cash flow, rather than vanity metrics like fundraising hype. I also encourage founders to develop a deep understanding of the industry's nuances to spot these hidden gems. Tune in to learn how I uncover the next game-changing opportunities in AEC and how you can too.


    (00:00) Summary of this episode

    (00:34) Introduction

    (00:55) B2B / AEC has many nuances

    (02:42) My B2B-vertical framework

    (06:48) Strong Signals v. Poor Signals

    (10:38) Empathy matters early!

    (11:22) Founders in AEC: Follow my Framework

    13 min
  • 003⎢A New Infrastructure Platform Titan?

    In this podcast episode I talk about the following topics:


    • My take on Schneider Electric's reported $16 billion acquisition of Bentley Systems

    • My views on the rise of "infraplatform" titans combining design software and operational platforms

    • The massive global infrastructure upgrade cycle that I believe is driving this strategic rationale

    • The bold thesis I see of controlling authoring to dictate infrastructure hardware choices

    • The risks I foresee around integration, valuation, and executing this mega-merger of contrasting assets


    Timestamps:

    (03:20) Design software for infrastructure and data centers

    (05:52) Why now?

    (08:32) Why Bentley?

    (10:22) Why Schneider Electric?

    (11:49) A Great Thesis!

    (13:54) It's A Strategic Deal

    (15:40) Implication: The CAD War Is On

    17 min
  • 002 | The Macro Thesis No One Sees

    In this episode, I share my unique macro thesis on the AEC (Architecture, Engineering, Construction) technology space. Key highlights include:


    • The distinction between "real world" AEC tech versus property tech, and why the fundamentals of each are vastly different
      • How AEC tech is thriving counter-cyclically, with funding tripling since 2021 and 6x growth over the past 5-6 years
        • The universal pattern I've observed across sectors - once a space hits $5 billion in VC, it typically reaches $50 billion in 6-8 years
          • The critical importance of building robust data infrastructure as the foundation for unlocking the next wave of innovation
            • The potential for significant value creation, with only 16 AEC tech unicorns today but over 100 more expected to emerge

            • Don't miss this insightful look into the macro trends shaping the future of the AEC technology landscape.

              10 min
            • 001⎢1.5 years later: My insulation thesis

              Today, we revisit our very first topic on AEC_VC, cavity insulation in Europe, with a fresh perspective. After 18 months, our backtesting confirms: this insulation opportunity has an outstanding market potential and exceptional margins and cash flows. It has shown me that it can support the next AEC unicorn.

              • Flashback: The insulation opportunity
              • A $100 billion market
              • Exceptional margins and cash flows available
              • Highly standardizable and repeatable
              • The end game: Cloud installation as an infrastructure

              • All content >> https://aecvc.com/

                9 min

              About AEC VC

              From the publisher's feed

              Thesis and reflections of a venture capital (VC) investor in AEC technology. What fascinated me last week. Always in 10 minutes.