(0:00) Chamath and Jason welcome Pete Buttigieg

(1:31) Why the Democrats lost tech

(6:40) Taxes: Federal wealth tax, wealth disparity, billionaires, the role of government in the free market

(23:17) Government efficiency: Democratic DOGE, breaking ranks on debt, his plan to control spending

(33:01) Culture Wars: The costly role of democratic identity politics, navigating a primary with moderate views, the two Democratic Parties

(40:07) Immigration: Trump shutting the border, Biden's failure

(47:38) Working in the Biden Admin: good and bad, gatekeepers, cognitive decline, anointing Kamala Harris vs running a short primary

(52:17) Thoughts on moving NASA under the Dept of Transportation

(54:07) AI: self-driving, automation, and job loss

(1:01:19) Running in 2028, Mamdani in NYC

Follow Pete:

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

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(0:00) Friedberg introduces 2025 Nobel Peace Prize Winner María Corina Machado

(4:27) Venezuela before and after Chavez

(15:25) Why María got involved in politics and why she was expelled

(24:33) Why Maduro was chosen and Chavez's successor, China relationship, why people are fleeing

(31:27) Intimidation tactics by the Maduro regime, response to claims of her being a "Western puppet"

(39:30) Presidential run, election fraud, how different US regimes have viewed Venezuela

(54:23) The rise of socialism in the US

Follow María:

https://x.com/MariaCorinaYA

Learn more about the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize:

https://www.nobelpeaceprize.org/articles/nobels-fredspris-2025-1

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) David Friedberg intros John Martinis, the 2025 recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physics

(0:43) John's history, how he got into physics

(4:54) Explainer on quantum mechanics

(22:57) Quantum tunneling and the 1985 paper that led to this Nobel Prize

(30:37) Understanding qubits, the state of quantum computing, and the impact of AI

(40:56) US vs China in quantum, reactions to winning the Nobel Prize

Learn more about the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics:

https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/2025/summary

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(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:02) CA Billionaire Tax

(17:00) Major NBA gambling scandal

(29:51) Amazon's eventful week: AWS outage and leaked robotic automation plans

(49:55) Tesla earnings, Optimus, Elon's pay package, "corporate terrorists"

(1:03:54) Study shows AI bias

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-05-25/rick-caruso-jeffrey-katzenberg-bicker-los-angeles-mayor-election

https://www.thefp.com/p/rick-caruso-refuses-to-shake-jeffrey-katzenbergs-hand

https://www.latimes.com/la-influential/story/2024-06-16/jeffrey-katzenberg-hollywood-fundraiser-democrats

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/nba-billups-rozier-sports-betting-arrests-gambling.html

https://oag.ca.gov/system/files/initiatives/pdfs/25-0024%20%28Billionaire%20Tax%20%29.pdf

https://x.com/MovieTimeDev/status/1968107643643498744

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/10/23/polymarket-seeks-investment-at-valuation-of-usd12b-usd15b-bloomberg

https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1981119824991322553

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/technology/inside-amazons-plans-to-replace-workers-with-robots.html

https://nypost.com/2024/02/21/business/googles-ai-chatbot-gemini-makes-diverse-images-of-founding-fathers-popes-and-vikings-so-woke-its-unusable/

https://ogletree.com/insights-resources/blog-posts/10-faqs-about-californias-new-algorithmic-discrimination-rules/

https://www.crowell.com/en/insights/client-alerts/artificial-intelligence-in-employment-update-illinois-requires-notice-and-prohibits-discriminatory-impact-in-use-of-ai

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10/23/nyregion/nba-illegal-gambling-arrests

https://x.com/AndrewDBailey/status/1981409771505713650

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4832142-tesla-inc-tsla-q3-2025-earnings-call-transcript

https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1981016949309239616

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-23/polymarket-is-seeking-funding-at-a-valuation-of-up-to-15-billion

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DKNG:NASDAQ?window=1M

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FLUT:NYSE?window=1M

(0:00) Chamath and Jason welcome Senator Joe Manchin!

(4:20) Blocking Build Back Better, defending the filibuster while dealing with paid protestors and death threats

(19:39) How Biden's staff pushed him to the far left, mental acuity, how he "lost the will to fight," why Obama was an "elusive" president

(28:12) Why socialism is on the rise in America, entitlement culture

(37:06) Importance of term limits in Congress, Joe's favorite current senators, cascading issues from the loss of bipartisanship

(52:25) Breaking the Dem/Rep duopoly by opening up primaries, thoughts on midterms in 2026

(57:18) Expectation vs reality for Obama, Trump and Biden presidencies; thoughts on the 2028 election

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Introducing Jan Sramek

(0:51) How California Forever is building America's next great city

Thanks to our partners for making this happen!

Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint

OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/

Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/

IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/

Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/

Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/

BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/

Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/

Follow Jan:

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(0:00) Bestie intros! Dreamforce and another interesting conference take the Bay Area

(3:35) State of crime in SF, do they need the National Guard?

(20:48) US to impose price floors after China puts export controls on rare earths, can America on-shore a full-stack rare earth industry?

(36:15) State of US-China ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting, how we got here, China's elite mercantilism and strong economic history

(52:59) AI PR crisis: Recent datacenters get denied

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/us/marc-benioff-san-francisco-guard.html

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/san-francisco-cleans-up-for-xi-why-not-for-thee-242c67e3

https://x.com/the_jefferymead/status/1978130345200427334

https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/nualabishari/article/san-francisco-harm-reduction-managed-alcohol-19489131.php

https://www.kqed.org/news/11985941/sf-program-isnt-just-free-beer-for-unhoused-its-backed-up-by-research

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/jb-pritzker-won-14-million-vegas-playing-blackjack-rcna237961

https://www.ft.com/content/ca3b3254-e161-41d1-b459-bc3c83004e4e

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/12/business/china-rare-earth-export-controls.html

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115351840469973590

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115350455734003647

https://mpmaterials.com/mountain-pass

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-track-meet-xi-south-korea-bessent-says-2025-10-13/

https://chinapower.csis.org/tracker/china-gdp

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-communist-party-holds-plenum-its-next-five-year-plan-what-does-it-mean-2025-10-15

https://www.economist.com/china/2025/10/09/xi-jinping-is-personally-involved-in-chinas-new-five-year-plan

https://www.amazon.com/Lee-Kuan-Yew-Insights-international/dp/0262019124

https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/The-Australian-November-18-2005.pdf

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/can-china-rise-peacefully-10204

https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/china-imposes-extraterritorial-jurisdiction-and-50-rule-export-controls-rare-earth

https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/commerce-department-issues-affiliates-5215830/

https://www.amazon.com/End-History-Last-Man/dp/0743284550

https://www.amazon.com/Clash-Civilizations-Remaking-World-Order/dp/1451628978

https://www.amazon.com/World-Flat-History-Twenty-first-Century/dp/0374292884

https://x.com/balajis/status/1937517664907460980

https://x.com/chamath/status/1978584886329082098

https://www.datacenterwatch.org/report

https://x.com/chamath/status/1977794775148601541

(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Andrew Ross Sorkin to discuss his new book, "1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History--and How It Shattered a Nation"

(0:38) Why he chose this time period

(3:22) The setup: what led to the 1929 crash

(19:24) The characters: major players in the 1929 crash; what kind of bubble are we experiencing in 2025?

(26:21) Role of journalist vs market participant; characters of the 2025 market

(30:10) AI's potential 1929-like impact on unemployment

(35:16) Why socialism is flaring up now more than it did post-1929

(40:34) Does the US need a 2025 "New Deal" on cutting spending, tariff balancing act

(46:51) Film rights strategy

Buy Sorkin's new book:

https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered/dp/0593296966

Follow Andrew Ross Sorkin:

https://x.com/andrewrsorkin

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered/dp/0593296966

https://archive.org/details/sim_ladies-home-journal_1929-08_46_8/page/n9/mode/2up

(0:00) Introducing Orlando Bravo

(1:53) Orlando's history, Puerto Rico origins, how he got into private equity

(7:10) How he runs Thoma Bravo: small team, outward facing, mentorship, patience in fundraising

(9:01) Role of PE in the American economy, public perception, underwriting AI risks

(15:23) Deal pricing philosophy, acquiring Boeing's avionics business

(19:24) Thoma Bravo's operating playbook after acquiring a company

(26:16) Thoughts on taking Thoma Bravo public

Thanks to our partners for making this happen!

Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint

OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/

Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/

IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/

Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/

Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/

BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/

Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/

Follow Orlando Bravo:

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Intro Music Credit:

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(0:00) Introducing Bryan Johnson

(0:46) Bryan takes the audience through a quick biological age test

(5:53) The single best longevity hack from all of his research

Thanks to our partners for making this happen!

Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana's global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint

OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/

Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/

IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/

Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/

Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/

BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/

Polymarket - The world's largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/

Follow Bryan Johnson:

https://x.com/bryan_johnson

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg